R Caget
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 110 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 13% (39 runs, true-first definition).
It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (0% over 85 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.68). Cyriaque Santerne rode 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.58). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 31 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.44 across 75 runners (1.3% strike, −61.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Georges de Talhouet-Roy at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2006, £54,310). The stable star of the record was Drole De Drame (FR) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 560 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 560 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 April 2005 to 19 September 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is R Caget's strike rate?
- R Caget has won 30 of 433 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does R Caget do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 24 wins from 242 runners (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for R Caget?
- Cyriaque Santerne, with 76 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.3%).
- What is R Caget's Fair A/E?
- 0.58, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.