What is M Drean's strike rate?

M Drean has won 9 of 94 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Drean do best at?

Chantilly by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M Drean's Fair A/E?

1.43, from 93 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Drean

94 runners in the last 5 seasons · 14 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–94

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=94

24 (26%)

Placed

1.43

Fair A/E

n=93 · 1.16 incl. margin

+22.50

£1 level stake

n=93 at SP · +24.2%

£131k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13%+3.4

n=23 · A/E 2.65 · £1 +24.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%+0.4

n=10 · A/E 2.47 · £1 +14.80

Debutants · first career start

0%−9.6

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−9.6

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+15.4

n=4 · A/E 5.18 · £1 +22.00

When favourite

37.5%

n=8 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +3.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

22.2%+12.6

n=9 · A/E 4.23 · £1 +33.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chantilly 15.9% vs 9.6% · n=44

Over 1m – 1m1f 13.7% vs 9.6% · n=51

With a new jockey booking 5.3% vs 9.6% · n=38

On Standard (AW) going 10.2% vs 9.6% · n=59 · A/E 1.45

In Flat races 9.6% vs 9.6% · n=94 · A/E 1.43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 59 6 10.2% +21.30

Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −3.00

Good 7 1 14.3% −1.60

Soft 6 1 16.7% +8.80

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 44 7 15.9% +29.50

Deauville (FR) 26 2 7.7% +17.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Longchamp (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Mans (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 3 37.5% 1.93 +3.10

2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.70 −5.60

4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00

7th+ in betting 62 5 8.1% 2.22 +37.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Baileys Eclair (FR)from R Chotard 18 1 3 7 Oct 26

Alcotan (FR)from C Laffon-Parias 16 2 2 14 Sep 26

Black Hawk (FR)from P & J Brandt · then Mme L Pontoir 15 0 6 10 Apr 24

The First Lady (FR)from Mme Sophie Geffriaud 13 4 7 14 Apr 25

Clean Bowled (FR)from M Boutin 5 1 3 16 Oct 26

Gordini Road (FR) 5 0 0 2 Feb 24

Don Papa (FR)from B Legros 5 0 0 19 Oct 22

Wil'dream (FR) 4 0 0 5 Oct 26

Concerto (FR)from Philippe Lacroix 4 0 1 31 Jan 26

Lovely Angel (FR)from M Seror 3 1 2 19 Feb 26

Johnny Drive (FR)from M Boutin 2 0 0 20 Oct 26

Baileys Eclair 2 0 0 22 Jul 26

All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Boutin (2); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

25002900713152000

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Thomas Trullier 15 2 13.3% +27.20

Eddy Hardouin 11 2 18.2% −2.90

Malone Favriaux 10 2 20% +20.80

A Baron 7 0 0% −7.00

Hugo Boutin 7 0 0% −7.00

Dorian Provost 6 0 0% −6.00

Christopher Grosbois 4 0 0% −4.00

Fabrice Veron 3 0 0% −3.00

Mme Frida Valle Skar 3 0 0% −3.00

David Breux 3 1 33.3% +2.40

Theo Bachelot 3 0 0% −3.00

Marie Velon 3 2 66.7% +27.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£203k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Papi Fernand (FR) — Prix du Rond Adam (Handicap) (Straight) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Apr 2009

£9,223

Lovely Angel (FR) — Prix du Centre Calamel (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026

£9,174

Alcotan (FR) — Prix de l'Etang de Toutevoie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2025

£8,719

Notable horses

The First Lady (FR) Alcotan (FR) Papi Fernand (FR) Proci Road (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lightning Spear (GB) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 11.2% of 605 runs since 2008 (53 horses).

Recoletos (FR) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 9.1% of 798 runs since 2008 (113 horses).

Scissor Kick (AUS) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 7.9% of 393 runs since 2008 (39 horses).

American Devil (FR) 30.8% · 4–13

Progeny have won 7.8% of 540 runs since 2008 (78 horses).

Dobby Road (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 4% of 274 runs since 2008 (16 horses).

Elarqam (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 9.4% of 181 runs since 2008 (34 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 166 · newest first

The latest 50 of 166 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 November 2007 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Johnny Drive (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Px Merc. 21.10.2026-dern. Journ. Des Anim. Equidays(px D.l'et. D.vtes)12f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 18/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 5/2F

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De Saint-imier9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 3/1F

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 22/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Johnny Drive (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Lesieur (Prix Du Chene)12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 5th 40/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Clean Bowled (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Equidia (Prix De Parislongchamp)Class 4 · 6.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran — 16/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Miss M Rollando Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 18/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Canal Des Druides8f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 20/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Canal Saint Jean8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 13/2

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix Du Lieu Dieu7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 80/1

01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De L'etang De ToutevoieClass 3 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 6th 6/1

01 Sep 26 Deauville (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Du Camp De CesarClass 3 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 5th 22/1

14 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Les Ammos Benerville (Prix De Saint-Jouin)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 7/1

08 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix De CreponClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 12/1

30 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Wil'dream (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Bon Mot12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 125/1

28 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Alcotan (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Devouement Pour Les Courses By L'aedg - Prix De La Vallee De L'automneClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 14/1

22 Jul 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Claude RougetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 7/2

11 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Baileys Eclair (FR)J: A Baron Prix Du Chemin Du Tocq4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

11 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Baileys EclairJ: A Baron Prix Du Chemin Du Tocq4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Drean's strike rate?: M Drean has won 9 of 94 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Drean do best at?: Chantilly by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M Drean in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Drean's Fair A/E?: 1.43, from 93 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.