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Trainer profile

Robert Luke

39 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2022 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–39
Wins / Runs
12.8%
Strike rate
n=39
13 (33%)
Placed
1.39
Fair A/E
n=39 · 1.19 incl. margin
−18.83
£1 level stake
n=39 at SP · −48.3%
£21,627
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−12.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +0.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20.8%+8.0
n=24 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −3.83

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 28 5 17.9% −7.83
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 1 5.9% −13.00
Good to Soft 11 2 18.2% +0.67
Soft 6 1 16.7% −3.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 1 50% −0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 7 0 0% −7.00
Cheltenham 6 2 33.3% +5.67
Newton Abbot 5 2 40% +2.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Ffos Las 5 0 0% −5.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Taunton 3 1 33.3% −1.50
Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Exeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 4 10 2 20% +1.67
Class 6 10 3 30% −1.50
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 1.25 +0.17
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 1.64 +0.00
4th–6th fav 6 1 16.7% 3.42 +4.00
7th+ in betting 23 0 0% 0.00 −23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
58.3% completed · 36 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 71.4% 2 0 6 0 0
Hurdle 8 12.5% 0 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Chosen Milan (IRE)from David Rees 13 4 8 29 May 15
Tiermore (IRE)from David Rees · then Ian Cobb 9 1 4 30 May 14
Good Greef (GB) 8 0 0 24 Nov 22
Wiston Dreamer (GB) 2 0 0 19 Feb 14
Oca De Thaix (FR)from Ian Stark · then Keith Goldsworthy 2 0 1 5 May 10
General Picton (IRE)from David Rees 1 0 0 22 Nov 21
Cider Drinker (GB) 1 0 0 1 Apr 21
Full Print (IRE) 1 0 0 21 Mar 21
Doctor Supremo (IRE)from D M Grissell 1 0 0 23 Apr 10
Seaforde (IRE)from M F Morris 1 0 0 14 May 09
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Rees (3); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0330201100···0·
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Evan David 16 4 25% +0.17
Alan Johns 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Richard Patrick 8 0 0% −8.00
Nick Scholfield 2 0 0% −2.00
David Prichard 2 0 0% −2.00
Michael Byrne 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Rhys Hughes 1 0 0% −1.00
Lorcan Williams 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
5
Archived wins
£21,627
Prize money
2015
Best season · 2 wins
Chosen Milan (IRE) — Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2015 · Class 4
£3,743
Chosen Milan (IRE) — Hunt Staff Benefit Society Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Challenge Cup) Cheltenham · Apr 2014 · Class 4
£3,743
Chosen Milan (IRE) — Richard Williams Memorial Hunters' Chase (For The Richard Williams Memorial Trophy) Taunton · Feb 2015 · Class 6
£1,976
Notable horses
Chosen Milan (IRE) Tiermore (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Bob's Return (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Geordieland (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 714 runs since 2008 (71 horses).
Bulington (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.6% of 207 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Dreams End (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 4.1% of 196 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Apple Tree (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.7% of 584 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 114.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Robert Luke's 39 archived runners, from 14 May 2009 to 24 November 2022, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Nov 22 Taunton Good Greef (GB)J: Richard Patrick Watch On Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 15 ran PU 125/1
06 Nov 22 Ffos Las Good Greef (GB)J: Richard Patrick Follow Vickers.Bet On Twitter Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran PU 125/1
14 Jul 22 Worcester Good Greef (GB)J: Richard Patrick RM Contractors Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 100/1
16 Jun 22 Ffos Las Good Greef (GB)J: Richard Patrick AB Glass Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 80/1
02 Jun 22 Ffos Las Good Greef (GB)J: Richard Patrick Beacon Detection /HHF Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 33/1
22 Nov 21 Ludlow General Picton (IRE)J: Richard Patrick Thank You Andrew Ballham Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran PU 125/1
10 May 21 Ffos Las Good Greef (GB)J: Nick Scholfield Turf Services Ltd Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 150/1
23 Apr 21 Worcester Good Greef (GB)J: Nick Scholfield David Pipe Racing Club Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1
13 Apr 21 Newton Abbot Good Greef (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Newton Abbot Maiden Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 12 ran UR 33/1
01 Apr 21 Ffos Las Cider Drinker (GB)J: Richard Patrick Milford Waterfront Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 125/1
21 Mar 21 Chepstow Full Print (IRE)J: Richard Patrick Coming Soon Biowavego International Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 250/1
29 May 15 Stratford Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (57th Running)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 8/1
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 4/6F
09 Apr 15 Aintree Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Crabbie's Fox Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 29 ran F 20/1
13 Mar 15 Cheltenham Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David St. James's Place Foxhunter Chase Challenge CupClass 2 · 26.5f · Soft · 24 ran 5th 16/1
26 Feb 15 Taunton Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Richard Williams Memorial Hunters' Chase (For The Richard Williams Memorial Trophy)Class 6 · 23f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 1/2F
07 Jan 15 Taunton Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Geoffrey Bosley 'tally Ho' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 7/2
30 May 14 Stratford Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2
30 May 14 Stratford Tiermore (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Aga Dual Control National Open Horse Championship Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1
30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Chosen Milan (IRE)J: Mr Evan David Hunt Staff Benefit Society Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Challenge Cup)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Luke's strike rate?
Robert Luke has won 5 of 39 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Robert Luke's Fair A/E?
1.39, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).