No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 20% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%−12.3
n=13 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−20.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
20%+0.0
n=5 · A/E 4.07 · £1 +2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
66.7%+46.7
n=3 · A/E 6.49 · £1 +10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−20.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +3.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%−14.1
n=17 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −8.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase17529.4%+10.75
Hurdle700%−7.00
NH Flat6116.7%+1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft900%−9.00
Good to Soft7342.9%+11.25
Good7228.6%+2.50
Heavy500%−5.00
Good to Firm2150%+5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Folkestone1218.3%−6.00
Plumpton5240%+8.00
Fontwell500%−5.00
Kempton22100%+10.25
Sandown100%−1.00
Southwell100%−1.00
Wincanton100%−1.00
Huntingdon100%−1.00
Lingfield11100%+2.50
Market Rasen100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 412216.7%+3.00
Class 59222.2%+0.50
Class 66116.7%+1.00
Class 33133.3%+0.25
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3266.7%2.08+3.75
2nd–3rd fav4250%4.50+8.00
4th–6th fav9222.2%2.37+7.00
7th+ in betting1400%0.00−14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f13215.4%+0.00
2m5f – 3m8112.5%+1.00
Over 3m500%−5.00
1m5f – 2m4375%+8.75
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200823626.1%+11.75
2009700%−7.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps18527.8%+9.75
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners11545.5%+17.75
14-16 runners900%−9.00
11-13 runners5120%+1.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 14 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Diana Grissell (4) and D B Feek (3); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
067430100·00··00
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Green Gamble (GB) — intercasino.co.uk Handicap Chase Kempton · Mar 2008 · Class 3
£6,263
Isle de Maurice (GB) — Crown Racing Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Jan 2007 · Class 3
£4,595
Perange (FR) — Big Jackpots At intercasino.co.uk Handicap Chase Kempton · Mar 2008 · Class 4
Progeny have won 0% of 14 runs since 2008 (4 horses). A small sample.
Environment Friend (GB)75% · 3–4
Progeny have won 8.2% of 645 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 108.
Perrault (GB)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12% of 25 runs since 2008 (7 horses). A small sample.
Lord Americo (IRE)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Groom Dancer (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 90 · newest first
The latest 50 of 90 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 October 2006 to 27 January 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is D M Grissell's strike rate?
D M Grissell has won 6 of 30 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is D M Grissell's Fair A/E?
2.31, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
D M Grissell·SR 20%·A/E 2.31
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