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Trainer profile

Seamus Larkin

41 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2015 100% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–41
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=41
4 (10%)
Placed
0.76
n=41 · 0.57 incl. margin
−35.00
£1 level stake
n=41 at SP · −85.4%
£12,048
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.1%+0.7
n=32 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 22 0 0% −22.00
Chase 10 1 10% −4.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 8 1 12.5% −2.00
Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 8.30 +5.00
4th–6th fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
7th+ in betting 36 0 0% 0.00 −36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.1% completed · 32 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 60% 0 2 2 0 0
Hurdle 22 86.4% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dante Anna (IRE)from E Sheehy · then W J Martin 9 1 3 17 Jul 15
Speedy Tortice (IRE) 6 0 0 5 Apr 12
Mel Del (IRE)from L Byrne · then Michael T Moran 4 0 1 13 Oct 10
Golden Belief (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Dec 13
Muckys Mate (IRE)from Daniel Miley 2 0 0 13 Apr 13
Malibu Gold (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Apr 13
Artic King (IRE)from Paul Nolan 2 0 0 7 Feb 13
Neds Grey (IRE)from David M O'Brien 2 0 0 26 May 10
Kyle Prince (IRE) 1 0 0 3 Jun 15
Herdeacey (IRE) 1 0 0 30 May 15
Alphabrook (IRE) 1 0 0 21 Apr 14
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David M O'Brien (2) and L Byrne (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000017000·000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr K Cogley 15 0 0% −15.00
Mr D J Cogley 6 0 0% −6.00
Brian O'Connell 3 0 0% −3.00
Sean Flanagan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr C L Murphy 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr R J Kiely 2 0 0% −2.00
Jonathan Moore 2 0 0% −2.00
David Mullins 2 1 50% +4.00
Tom Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
A E Lynch 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr A J Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
A P Heskin 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
1
Archived wins
£12,048
Prize money
2015
Best season · 1 win
Dante Anna (IRE) — Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-95) Tramore · May 2015
£6,728
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Anshan (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Carroll House (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since 2008 (133 horses).
Bishop of Cashel (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.8% from 105.
Gold Well (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Minardi (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 1.9% of 105 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
Gothland (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.3% of 254 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 41 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Seamus Larkin's 41 archived runners, from 17 April 2010 to 17 July 2015, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Larkin's strike rate?
Seamus Larkin has won 1 of 41 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Seamus Larkin's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 41 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).