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Jockey profile

Tom Doyle

1,851 rides in the lifetime window · 787 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2013 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
134–1,851
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=1,851
384 (21%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=1,850 · 0.83 incl. margin
−469.09
£1 level stake
n=1,851 at SP · −25.3%
£2.40m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 310 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (150 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,851 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov 27.3% when favourite Michael Hourigan: 6.8% from 207 LTO winners: 12.7% Rode the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Leopardstown (1.5% over 66 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.7% (n=150, Fair A/E 1.02), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 4% (n=730, Fair A/E 0.81). Michael Hourigan supplied 11% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Firm going (16.7%, n=42) and beyond 3m (15%, n=40). 22 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (Jul 2011, £156,600). The standout partner of the record was Coolcashin (IRE) — 6 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4%−3.2
n=730 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −378.20
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.7%+5.5
n=150 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −41.58
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.9%−1.3
n=422 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −164.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=66 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.29
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.9%−1.3
n=1,261 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −479.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9%+1.8
n=189 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −9.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With T J Nagle Jr 17.3% vs 7.2% · n=52
On Firm going 16.7% vs 7.2% · n=42
With Kieran Purcell 13.6% vs 7.2% · n=103
Beyond 3m 15% vs 7.2% · n=40
On last-time-out winners 12.7% vs 7.2% · n=150
At Leopardstown 1.5% vs 7.2% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,248 82 6.6% −358.45
Chase 601 52 8.7% −108.64
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 636 43 6.8% −274.50
Heavy 505 44 8.7% −54.96
Good 378 23 6.1% −60.25
Good to Firm 151 9 6% −66.50
Good to Soft 139 8 5.8% −43.38
Firm 42 7 16.7% +30.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 165 9 5.5% −65.00
Punchestown 151 11 7.3% −60.92
Fairyhouse 128 9 7% −57.50
Cork 120 8 6.7% −40.50
Clonmel 117 10 8.5% −10.75
Thurles 114 9 7.9% −24.59
Gowran Park 113 13 11.5% −5.25
Navan 108 3 2.8% −55.00
Tramore 79 5 6.3% −25.20
Naas 68 5 7.4% +1.50
Listowel 68 8 11.8% −13.50
Killarney 67 6 9% +16.75
Leopardstown 66 1 1.5% −62.75
Wexford 61 5 8.2% −14.75
Tipperary 58 5 8.6% +17.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 200 18 9% +30.25
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 1 50% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 88 25 28.4% 1.25 +9.96
2nd–3rd fav 294 42 14.3% 1.08 −54.55
4th–6th fav 496 42 8.5% 1.28 +23.50
7th+ in betting 973 25 2.6% 0.82 −448.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.2% completed · 1,849 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 601 75% 31 14 98 5 2
Hurdle 1,248 88.5% 26 4 102 8 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Regal D'estruval (FR) 23 2 8 24 Sep 12
Coolcashin (IRE) 23 5 8 5 Nov 11
The Bishop Looney (IRE) 20 5 6 14 Feb 13
The Sneezer (IRE) 16 3 3 27 Dec 12
Andrea's Answer (IRE) 16 0 4 22 Feb 12
Whatuthink (IRE) 15 2 3 19 Feb 13
Burrenbridge Lodge (IRE) 14 5 7 14 Oct 12
Bennys Quest (IRE) 14 1 5 29 Aug 11
Earth Magic (IRE) 14 0 1 13 Dec 09
On The Way Out (IRE) 13 3 5 1 Dec 12
Tubber Gael Holly (IRE) 13 2 5 8 Aug 09
Toomdeely (IRE) 12 1 1 24 Jan 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 787 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6787985481196
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMichael Hourigan
11% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.07
TrainerRWSR£1
Michael Hourigan 207 14 6.8% −81.75
J H Culloty 167 16 9.6% −33.25
Kieran Purcell 103 14 13.6% +93.50
Patrick Neville 78 7 9% −13.00
Michael J Bowe 71 6 8.5% −11.59
Oliver McKiernan 62 6 9.7% +62.50
L Byrne 56 3 5.4% −33.00
T J Nagle Jr 52 9 17.3% +15.25
J P Fogarty 49 4 8.2% −24.42
Paul W Flynn 35 3 8.6% +6.50
John Brassil 34 4 11.8% +11.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
255
Archived wins
22
Pattern / graded wins
£3.81m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 56 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Moon Dice (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (grade A) Galway · Jul 2011 · Grade A
£156,600
Follow The Plan (IRE) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · May 2011 · Grade 1
£96,000
Follow The Plan (IRE) — Betfred Bowl Chase (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2012 · Class 1
£84,405
Notable horses
Coolcashin (IRE) The Bishop Looney (IRE) Burrenbridge Lodge (IRE) Trafford Lad (GB) Lord Windermere (IRE) The Sneezer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oscar (IRE) 17.6% · 15–85
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Beneficial (GB) 4.8% · 4–84
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Presenting (GB) 10.3% · 8–78
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Taipan (IRE) 12.1% · 7–58
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,212 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 159. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 6% from 133.
Flemensfirth (USA) 4.3% · 2–47
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–42
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,074 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,074 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 2 March 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Mar 13 Navan Zardsky (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr Newgrange Handicap Chase (0-123)24f · Soft · 14 ran PU 10/1
19 Feb 13 Navan Whatuthink (IRE)T: Oliver McKiernan Ladbrokes Boyne Hurdle (Grade 2)21f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 10/1
14 Feb 13 Thurles Master Oisin (IRE)T: Stephen Kelly Devils Bit Beginners Chase21f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 25/1
14 Feb 13 Thurles The Bishop Looney (IRE)T: T J Nagle Jr Happy St Valentine's Day Handicap Chase (0-130)24f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 12/1
13 Feb 13 Thurles Kiltipford Lady (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Holy Cross Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 33/1
07 Feb 13 Clonmel Slap Of A Hurl (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Surehaul Race Day Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 16th 33/1
03 Feb 13 Punchestown Petit Garson (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Anna Gannon 80th Birthday Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran F 100/1
26 Jan 13 Leopardstown Hard To Swallow (IRE)T: J H Culloty Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 8/1
26 Jan 13 Leopardstown Ballyadam Brook (IRE)T: Terence O'Brien Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade A)21f · Heavy · 18 ran 12th 33/1
26 Jan 13 Leopardstown Lord Windermere (IRE)T: J H Culloty Boylesports.com - Bet On Your Mobile Novice Chase (Grade 2)21f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 3/1
24 Jan 13 Gowran Park Toomdeely (IRE)T: Patrick Neville Kclr 96fm Heart Of Carlow Kilkenny Carey's Cottage Cup Handicap Chase (0-123)20f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 16/1
23 Jan 13 Limerick Killcara Boy (GB)T: Patrick Neville Greenmount Beginners Chase19.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 9/2
23 Jan 13 Limerick Master Oisin (IRE)T: Stephen Kelly Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Beginners Chase17f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 66/1
19 Jan 13 Naas Whatuthink (IRE)T: Oliver McKiernan Limestone Lad Hurdle (grade 3)19f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 8/1
17 Jan 13 Thurles Paddy Pub (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Leugh Handicap Hurdle (81-123)22f · Heavy · 16 ran 15th 20/1
13 Jan 13 Navan Spring Heeled (IRE)T: J H Culloty Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Beginners Chase17f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 5/1
13 Jan 13 Navan Hard To Swallow (IRE)T: J H Culloty Navan Golf Course Maiden Hurdle23f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 7/1
13 Jan 13 Navan Smart Money (IRE)T: J H Culloty 2013 Navan Membership Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 5th 12/1
05 Jan 13 Cork Hatrick Harry (IRE)T: Kevin F O'Donnell Mccarthy Insurance Group Beginners Chase20f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 12/1
01 Jan 13 Tramore Dubh Go Leir (IRE)T: Kevin F O'Donnell Waterford & Tramore Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle21f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 5/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Doyle's strike rate?
Tom Doyle has won 134 of 1,851 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Doyle do best at?
Listowel by strike rate: 8 wins from 68 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Doyle ride most for?
Michael Hourigan, with 207 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (6.8%).
What is Tom Doyle's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 1,850 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).