Skip to content
Trainer profile

Daniel Miley

421 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
19–421
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=421
68 (16%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=421 · 0.68 incl. margin
−227.00
£1 level stake
n=421 at SP · −53.9%
£202k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (213 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 421 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Feb Alain Cawley: 9.2% from 65 Claiming riders: 6.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (7.7%, n=39), clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2% strike, Fair A/E 0.47 and −81.00 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alain Cawley rode 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.2% vs 4.5%, A/E 1.73) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (8.8%, n=68). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 30 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.43 across 151 runners (2% strike, −111.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−2.5
n=101 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −81.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
2.4%−2.1
n=42 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%+0.5
n=20 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −16.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
15.4%
n=13 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.1%+1.6
n=213 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −66.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With A P Heskin 11.4% vs 4.5% · n=35
With Alain Cawley 9.2% vs 4.5% · n=65
Off a 31-60-day break 8.8% vs 4.5% · n=68
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 4.5% · n=30
In Flat races 2% vs 4.5% · n=151
At Punchestown 7.7% vs 4.5% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 162 11 6.8% −67.75
Flat 151 3 2% −111.75
NH Flat 58 3 5.2% −14.00
Chase 50 2 4% −33.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 137 7 5.1% −80.75
Heavy 98 4 4.1% −36.00
Good 64 3 4.7% −42.50
Standard (AW) 52 2 3.8% −22.75
Good to Firm 38 1 2.6% −31.00
Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00
Firm 7 2 28.6% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 50 1 2% −24.00
Gowran Park 44 1 2.3% −40.25
Punchestown 39 3 7.7% −16.00
Fairyhouse 32 1 3.1% −17.00
Navan 29 1 3.4% −3.00
Naas 28 1 3.6% −20.00
Thurles 27 3 11.1% −4.00
Leopardstown 26 1 3.8% −15.00
Wexford 23 1 4.3% −12.00
Limerick 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Down Royal 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Curragh 14 0 0% −14.00
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 6 2 1 50% +1.25
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 2 12.5% 0.76 −5.75
2nd–3rd fav 36 6 16.7% 1.52 +2.75
4th–6th fav 84 8 9.5% 1.49 +9.00
7th+ in betting 285 3 1.1% 0.36 −233.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Forty Foot Tom (GB) 45 4 12 29 Jan 17
Vino Vino Cavo (IRE) 23 2 5 12 May 15
Caffeine Craze (IRE) 21 1 6 24 Mar 11
Sky Captain (IRE) 20 2 3 9 Apr 11
Tresilian (IRE)from Gerard Keane 19 1 1 7 Jul 11
Rosa Dieci (IRE) 16 0 4 19 Aug 11
Whatyoumaycallit (IRE) 15 0 2 6 Dec 13
Afterburn (IRE) 15 1 5 13 Mar 10
Noeleens Moon (IRE) 14 0 2 23 Jun 11
Croi Eile (IRE) 12 0 2 12 May 11
Mystic Mayfly (IRE)from Sean Osborne 12 0 1 10 Mar 10
Croi Mo Ri (IRE)from P D Deegan 11 0 1 21 Jul 11
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs Prunella Dobbs (3); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6744120030029
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlain Cawley
15% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.73
RiderRWSR£1
Alain Cawley 65 6 9.2% −5.00
A P Heskin 35 4 11.4% −5.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£222k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Forty Foot Tom (GB) — Racing Post All You Need For Irish Racing Handicap Chase Leopardstown · Dec 2014
£16,250
Sky Captain (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-109) Naas · Jan 2009
£9,329
Sky Captain (IRE) — Fairyhouse Membership 2009 Handicap Hurdle (rated 81-109) Fairyhouse · Dec 2008
£8,638
Notable horses
Forty Foot Tom (GB) Afterburn (IRE) Vino Vino Cavo (IRE) Sky Captain (IRE) Road Runner (IRE) Caffeine Craze (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Captain Rio (GB) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Redback (GB) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Turtle Island (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Winged Love (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 491 · newest first

The latest 50 of 491 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2005 to 23 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Boatrace (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Windsor Bar & Restaurant Handicap (45-70)6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 25/1
12 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Boatrace (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Dundalk Stadium Business Club 2018 Maiden6f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 11/1
16 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Boatrace (IRE)J: W J Lee At The Races Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 66/1
02 Feb 18 Dundalk (AW) Boatrace (IRE)J: W J Lee Ready Mixed Concrete Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 40/1
20 Aug 17 Curragh (IRE) Jills Back (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Breast Cancer Research Handicap6.5f · Soft · 26 ran 25th 25/1
27 Jul 17 Leopardstown Jills Back (IRE)J: Colin Keane Stunning Handicap (45-75)8f · Good · 20 ran 11th 16/1
28 Jun 17 Naas Jills Back (IRE)J: Colin Keane Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 66/1
10 Jun 17 Curragh Jills Back (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden10f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 100/1
23 May 17 Gowran Park Jills Back (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 14th 33/1
29 Jan 17 Leopardstown Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: Davy Russell 'Club 30' Membership Handicap Chase (0-123)21f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 20/1
26 Dec 16 Leopardstown Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: Sean Flanagan 'bet Through The Racing Post App' Handicap Chase17f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 16/1
27 Nov 16 Navan Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: Jonathan Burke Davis Civil Engineering Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 16th 25/1
07 Nov 16 Fairyhouse Lonelyasacloud (IRE)J: Adam Short Your Clubs Fundraiser At Fairyhouse, Enquire Today Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 15 ran 15th 25/1
01 Jun 16 Punchestown Lonelyasacloud (IRE)J: David Splaine Festival Dreams Begin In Ireland With Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 15th 100/1
14 May 16 Punchestown Lonelyasacloud (IRE)J: Mark Enright Kildare Hunt Club Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 25 ran 14th 80/1
05 Mar 16 Gowran Park Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: A P Heskin Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase (grade B)18f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 8/1
24 Jan 16 Leopardstown Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: A P Heskin Sandyford Handicap Chase17f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 12/1
26 Dec 15 Leopardstown Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: A P Heskin 'Download The Free Racing Post Mobile App' Handicap Chase17f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 5/1
06 Dec 15 Punchestown Forty Foot Tom (GB)J: A P Heskin Follow Us On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 25/1
08 Aug 15 Kilbeggan Kahar (GB)J: Mr M R Byrne Tom Birmingham Menswear Flat Race16f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel Miley's strike rate?
Daniel Miley has won 19 of 421 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel Miley do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 runners (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daniel Miley?
Alain Cawley, with 65 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.2%).
What is Daniel Miley's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 421 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).