T Fourcy
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23).
The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (26.5%, n=34) and in Flat races (18.2%, n=88). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 4.5% over 44 runners, 9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.65 across 50 runners (8% strike, −28.12 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 133 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 133 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2014 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Fourcy's strike rate?
- T Fourcy has won 18 of 133 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Is T Fourcy in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is T Fourcy's Fair A/E?
- 1.23, from 130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.