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Trainer profile

Thibault Speicher

235 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
21–235
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=235
67 (29%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=235 · 0.77 incl. margin
−56.82
£1 level stake
n=235 at SP · −24.2%
£409k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 235 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (15.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (2.1% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.35). The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (14.9%, n=74).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%−0.9
n=50 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −4.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.2%+9.3
n=22 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +30.30
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.9
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.7%−2.2
n=15 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
25%
n=24 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −4.92
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.8%−6.1
n=36 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −20.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Chantilly (FR) 2.1% vs 8.9% · n=47
Over 6f – 7f 14.9% vs 8.9% · n=74
With C&D winners 16.1% vs 8.9% · n=31
At Longchamp (FR) 15.2% vs 8.9% · n=33
With claiming riders up 2.8% vs 8.9% · n=36
At Saint-Cloud 2.9% vs 8.9% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 104 8 7.7% −44.40
Good to Soft 56 5 8.9% +8.80
Soft 49 5 10.2% −9.32
Good 15 2 13.3% −3.90
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 74 7 9.5% −28.70
Chantilly (FR) 47 1 2.1% −32.70
Saint-Cloud 35 1 2.9% −27.90
Longchamp (FR) 33 5 15.2% +37.10
Dieppe (FR) 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Vichy (FR) 7 2 28.6% +9.00
Compiegne (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 2 1 50% +0.88
Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Mans (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Touquet (FR) 1 1 100% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 16 1 6.3% −5.00
Class 4 12 2 16.7% −3.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 6 25% 0.98 −4.92
2nd–3rd fav 44 5 11.4% 0.80 −15.20
4th–6th fav 80 6 7.5% 0.90 −32.60
7th+ in betting 87 4 4.6% 1.23 −4.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Favory Chop (FR)from V Sartori 24 2 6 30 Oct 26
Red Nude Rouge (GB)from S Kobayashi 19 2 7 24 Jan 25
Alkidan (GB) 15 0 3 13 Sep 26
Zoom Chop (FR)from Y Barberot 14 1 6 6 Sep 26
Rage Chope (FR) 12 0 3 2 Nov 26
Mia Julia (FR) 9 1 2 3 May 26
Fanzi Chop (FR) 8 1 2 16 Oct 26
Falou Chope (FR)then F Guyader 8 2 2 23 Jan 26
Spring Lily (FR)from M Delzangles 7 0 1 13 Oct 26
Miss Tarken (FR) 7 1 3 18 Aug 26
Ishraq (FR)from L Gadbin 7 1 1 26 Oct 23
Silver Reel (FR) 6 1 2 5 Nov 26
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Delzangles (5) and Yoann Bonnefoy (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Mme C Auvray (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
190019136710130134
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Augustin Madamet 27 2 7.4% −17.62
Eddy Hardouin 24 2 8.3% −17.90
C Demuro 23 3 13% −3.30
Maxime Guyon 19 2 10.5% −3.10
M Favriaux 13 0 0% −13.00
Hugo Journiac 12 0 0% −12.00
Mme Maryline Eon 11 1 9.1% +4.50
J Moutard 11 2 18.2% +2.00
Pierre Remoue 10 3 30% +42.10
X Bergeron 10 0 0% −10.00
M Barzalona 7 2 28.6% −1.00
Mickael Berto 7 1 14.3% +7.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
21
Archived wins
£409k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 14 wins
Favory Chop (FR) — Prix du Bassin du Commerce (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2026
£11,261
Buti (FR) — Prix du Bassin du Commerce (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2023
£11,062
Golden Run (FR) — Prix Vincent De Gournay Saint-Malo (FR) · Aug 2026
£10,500
Notable horses
Favory Chop (FR) Red Nude Rouge (GB) Falou Chope (FR) Grignette (FR) Buti (FR) Zoom Chop (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Captain Chop (FR) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 4.6% of 366 runs since 2016 (62 horses).
Born To Sea (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,292 runs since 2016 (311 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 868. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Charm Spirit (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,832 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.
Gutaifan (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,768 runs since 2019 (302 horses).
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Goken (FR) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,101 runs since 2020 (247 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 235 · newest first

The latest 50 of 235 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2022 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Silver Reel (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Domaine De Valgenceuse8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 10/1
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Rage Chope (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Alexandre Roussel8f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 14/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Zarakiva (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Du Square De LiegeClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/2
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Ametis Chope (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 12/1
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Storm Run (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Nonoalco6.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/2
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Storm Run (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Nonoalco6.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/2
30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Favory Chop (FR)J: Mme Angela Daifi Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1
28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Country Club (FR)J: Enzo Corallo Prix De RoyeClass 3 · 11f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 8/1
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Colchester (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De Caen7.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 20/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Spring Laurel (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Artus De Maille11f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 5/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Fanzi Chop (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des Bouleaux8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 15/2
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Golden Run (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Guemul8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 6/1
13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Spring Lily (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De Pre-saint-gervais12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 11/1
11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Country Club (FR)J: Antonio Orani Prix Jean Cuvelette12f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 3/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Favory Chop (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 10/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Silver Reel (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des OeilletsClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 22/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Colchester (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix D'aigne9.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 6/4F
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Country Club (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Yumpal10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 9/2
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Fanzi Chop (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Pietro9f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/1
01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Spring Lily (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thibault Speicher's strike rate?
Thibault Speicher has won 21 of 235 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thibault Speicher do best at?
Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Thibault Speicher in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thibault Speicher's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 235 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).