What is Mario Baratti's strike rate?

Mario Baratti has won 75 of 596 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mario Baratti do best at?

Deauville by strike rate: 21 wins from 132 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mario Baratti?

C Demuro, with 300 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (12.7%).

Is Mario Baratti in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mario Baratti's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 594 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mario Baratti

596 runners in the last 5 seasons · 146 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.8% of 277 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

75–596

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=596

206 (35%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=594 · 0.94 incl. margin

−24.87

£1 level stake

n=596 at SP · −4.2%

£2.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 596 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 13.9% 38.1% when favourite C Demuro: 12.7% from 300 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8% (n=150, Fair A/E 1.04). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 13.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +14.80 to a £1 stake over 137 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. C Demuro rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good going (19.6%, n=51). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 6.7% over 45 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Emirates Poule d'Essai des Poulains at Longchamp (FR) (May 2024, £322,965). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.9%+1.3

n=137 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +14.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%−2.6

n=30 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −9.10

Debutants · first career start

10%−2.6

n=110 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −13.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.5%−2.1

n=76 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −12.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−4.3

n=12 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −6.70

When favourite

38.1%

n=63 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +13.66

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4%−8.6

n=25 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −20.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−4.6

n=150 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +1.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 4% vs 12.6% · n=50

On Good going 19.6% vs 12.6% · n=51

In Class 1 7.7% vs 12.6% · n=155

In Group / Graded races 8% vs 12.6% · n=150

On Heavy going 6.7% vs 12.6% · n=45

With A Pouchin 16.9% vs 12.6% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 175 23 13.1% −20.20

Good to Soft 162 18 11.1% −28.74

Soft 157 21 13.4% +9.25

Good 51 10 19.6% +30.20

Heavy 45 3 6.7% −9.38

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 172 25 14.5% +56.20

Saint-Cloud 133 12 9% −49.75

Deauville 132 21 15.9% +15.10

Longchamp (FR) 91 11 12.1% −7.20

Compiegne 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 6 1 16.7% −0.60

Clairefontaine (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Toulouse (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Ascot 5 0 0% −5.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 5 1 20% −3.09

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Craon (FR) 4 1 25% +1.60

Vichy (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 3 2 66.7% +2.87

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 155 12 7.7% −3.60

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 65 25 38.5% 1.39 +15.16

2nd–3rd fav 149 22 14.8% 0.90 −42.13

4th–6th fav 208 19 9.1% 1.03 −6.80

7th+ in betting 174 9 5.2% 1.40 +8.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Starzo Fal (FR) 19 1 8 29 Dec 25

Saidi El Fal (FR) 17 4 8 10 Oct 26

Milad (FR) 14 1 6 10 Dec 24

Geopolitical (FR) 12 1 1 19 Oct 26

Aura (FR) 12 2 5 19 Oct 26

Rika De La Vis (FR) 12 3 4 7 Nov 25

Alhaeba (USA) 11 2 5 18 Jun 26

Gualda (IRE) 11 3 6 19 Dec 25

Spinello (FR) 11 1 5 1 May 25

Ponderado (IRE) 10 0 2 15 May 26

Monteille (GB)from P Bary 9 2 2 4 Oct 26

Marie's Picnic (FR)from J Reynier 9 1 2 27 Oct 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Bary (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for M Seror (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

141781014151316207106

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderC Demuro

50% of all rides
12.7% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

C Demuro 300 38 12.7% −42.05

A Pouchin 83 14 16.9% +43.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.95m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 25 wins

Metropolitan (FR) — Emirates Poule d'Essai des Poulains (3yo Colts) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2024 · Group 1

£322,965

Rubis Vendome (GB) — Prix du Lys Longines (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 3

£35,398

Misunderstood (FR) — Prix des Chenes (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2024 · Group 3

£34,783

Notable horses

Saidi El Fal (FR) Rika De La Vis (FR) Gualda (IRE) Entei (IRE) Metropolitan (FR) Aura (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 5.6% · 2–36

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Hello Youmzain (FR) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 10.2% of 990 runs since 2008 (162 horses).

Zelzal (FR) 23.1% · 6–26

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,665 runs since 2008 (238 horses).

Lope De Vega (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Zarak (FR) 25% · 5–20

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,965 runs since 2008 (326 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 363. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 21.1% from 242. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7% from 201.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,628 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 707 · newest first

The latest 50 of 707 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 February 2020 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Aura (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 11/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Geopolitical (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 14/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Allez Papa (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Equidays (Prix Habitat)9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 7/4

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Wild Pacific (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 25/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Abbey Road (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 11/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Sholpana (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De La Chapelle9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 6/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Alain Rose (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Jardin Anglais6f · Good · 6 ran 6th 40/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) La Suissesse (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix D'hotot-en-auge8f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 16/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Sunkar (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De Saint-desir8f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Oiseau Bleu (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Tanerko6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 15/8

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Saidi El Fal (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De CoyeClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 5/2

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Sky Dream (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De Senlis6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 10/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Riscal (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Des Terroirs De France7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Monteille (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Gafara (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Arqana Series - Haras de Bouquetot Criterium d'AutomneClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 16/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Breckenbrough (GB)J: Sean Levey Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 28/1

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Etincelle (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix CoronationClass 1 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 7/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Inju (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De BonnevalClass 1 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 20/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Mirabilia (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De La Troublerie9f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 2/1F

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Geopolitical (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Du Salon VioletClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mario Baratti's strike rate?: Mario Baratti has won 75 of 596 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mario Baratti do best at?: Deauville by strike rate: 21 wins from 132 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mario Baratti?: C Demuro, with 300 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (12.7%).
Is Mario Baratti in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mario Baratti's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 594 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.