What is Jerome Moutard's strike rate?

Jerome Moutard has won 55 of 748 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jerome Moutard do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 86 rides (10.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jerome Moutard ride most for?

Gerald Mosse, with 67 rides since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9%).

Is Jerome Moutard in form?

In the last 14 days: 34 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.4% since 2022.

What is Jerome Moutard's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 746 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jerome Moutard

748 rides in the last 5 seasons · 381 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

55–748

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=748

209 (28%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=746 · 0.79 incl. margin

−239.00

£1 level stake

n=746 at SP · −32.0%

£1.33m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 748 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 29.3% when favourite Gerald Mosse: 9% from 67 Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −38.60 to a £1 stake over 172 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gerald Mosse supplies 9% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 3 (14.6%, n=48) and in Class 4 (14.6%, n=48). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 42 rides, 7.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.4%−1.0

n=377 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −130.95

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

4.1%−3.3

n=49 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −33.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.7%−2.7

n=172 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −38.60

When favourite

29.3%

n=41 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +2.55

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−7.4

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.1%−0.3

n=397 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −83.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.4

n=41 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −41.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mme J Le Stang 15% vs 7.4% · n=40

In Class 3 14.6% vs 7.4% · n=48

In Class 4 14.6% vs 7.4% · n=48

In Class 1 0% vs 7.4% · n=42

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 7.4% · n=41

With P Groualle 14.7% vs 7.4% · n=34

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.2% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 746 55 7.4% −237.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 331 24 7.3% −145.85

Soft 164 10 6.1% −50.00

Good to Soft 128 15 11.7% +46.05

Heavy 65 1 1.5% −52.20

Good 59 5 8.5% −36.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 214 14 6.5% −89.15

Chantilly 192 13 6.8% −90.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 103 4 3.9% −33.60

Longchamp (FR) 86 9 10.5% +10.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 17 3 17.6% +8.80

Compiegne (FR) 15 0 0% −15.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 13 4 30.8% +10.50

Dieppe (FR) 12 2 16.7% +26.00

Vichy (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.75

Craon (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Le Touquet (FR) 7 3 42.9% +7.50

Vittel (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Nancy (FR) 7 1 14.3% −6.00

Le Mans (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 48 7 14.6% −25.25

Class 4 48 7 14.6% +11.50

Class 1 42 0 0% −42.00

Class 2 9 2 22.2% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 13 27.1% 1.11 +1.05

2nd–3rd fav 120 17 14.2% 0.95 −31.65

4th–6th fav 180 13 7.2% 0.93 −68.90

7th+ in betting 398 11 2.8% 0.92 −139.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kliff Bere (FR) 25 2 12 3 Nov 26

Princesse Blonde (FR) 12 2 6 7 Nov 26

Prince Aubois (FR) 12 1 3 15 Oct 26

Havana Six (FR) 11 2 6 7 Nov 26

Hypercore (GB) 11 3 6 5 Nov 26

Diva Donna (FR) 11 1 4 16 Dec 23

Love Affair (FR) 10 0 3 21 Feb 25

Achki (FR) 8 1 3 15 Sep 25

Sous Influence (IRE) 8 0 4 17 Apr 25

Paintello (FR) 7 0 3 27 Oct 26

Caregiver (FR) 7 1 1 24 Apr 25

Gold Palace (FR) 7 1 4 27 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 381 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 34 5.9% · −1.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

5-season base7.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

117273212710877

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGerald Mosse

9% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

Gerald Mosse 67 6 9% −34.50

Gianluca Bietolini 57 2 3.5% −47.30

B Audouin 51 3 5.9% −13.60

Mme J Le Stang 40 6 15% +43.30

Mme Stephanie Penot 36 2 5.6% −17.00

P Groualle 34 5 14.7% −17.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 26 wins

Kliff Bere (FR) — Prix du Chateau de Bayeux (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Nov 2024

£23,043

Lilly Kafeine (FR) — Prix des Belles de la Cote (Handicap) (3yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2017

£22,094

Bolide Porto (IRE) — Prix du Carrefour du Chene Sec (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2023

£15,044

Notable horses

Hypercore (GB) Kliff Bere (FR) Princesse Blonde (FR) Dagobert Duke (GB) Havana Six (FR) Lilly Kafeine (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Whitecliffsofdover (USA) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 3.3% of 428 runs since 2021 (64 horses).

Charm Spirit (IRE) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,833 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.

Dream Ahead (USA) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,712 runs since 2015 (529 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Inns Of Court (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,257 runs since 2023 (232 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 151.

Intello (GER) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,498 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.

Planteur (IRE) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,536 runs since 2017 (165 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,346 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,346 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2016 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Princesse Blonde (FR)T: Mme J Le Stang Prix De L'operation GoodwoodClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 18/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Havana Six (FR)T: Gerald Mosse Prix De L'operation WindsorClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Sin City (FR)T: S Cerulis Prix De L'operation SpringClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 9/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Indy (FR)T: Francois Monfort Prix De Bricquebec-en-cotentin12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 22/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Belle Harmonie (FR)T: Gerald Mosse Prix De La Pigeonniere7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 7/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Czajkowski (FR)T: Alicja Karkosa Prix Du Poteau Des Brulis9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 5/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) The Wheel Of Time (FR)T: Mme V Dissaux Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 9/2

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Hypercore (GB)T: P Groualle Prix Du Bois De La TuilerieClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 5/6F

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Got Man (FR)T: Mme J Le Stang Prix Miguel Et Christophe Clement12.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 7/2F

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Zolia (FR)T: Nicole Moons Prix Du Hoguenet9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 33/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Kliff Bere (FR)T: B Audouin Prix Du Val Henry12.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 6/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Prima Luce (FR)T: Gerald Mosse Prix De La Croix Du Grand VeneurClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 6/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Alma Mater (FR)T: Gerald Mosse Prix CeresClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 10/1

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Zarakiva (FR)T: Thibault Speicher Prix Du Square De LiegeClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/2

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Mexicana (FR)T: Yoann Bonnefoy Prix Leonce De Scitivaux De Greische7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 13/2

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Guacari (FR)T: Christian Peterschmitt Prix De LunevilleClass 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 14/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Victorstrung (FR)T: M Seror Prix Tello10f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 6/4F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Ildouce Flechois (FR)T: Mme Stephanie Jaffrelot-Bedon Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Tokyo Dreams (FR)T: Gavin Hernon Prix La Koumia10f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 11/4

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Charismatic Chick (IRE)T: C Boutin Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jerome Moutard's strike rate?: Jerome Moutard has won 55 of 748 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jerome Moutard do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 86 rides (10.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jerome Moutard ride most for?: Gerald Mosse, with 67 rides since 2022 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9%).
Is Jerome Moutard in form?: In the last 14 days: 34 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.4% since 2022.
What is Jerome Moutard's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 746 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.