What is M Cesandri's strike rate?

M Cesandri has won 23 of 169 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Cesandri do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 41 runners (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Cesandri?

Dorian Provost, with 63 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.9%).

Is M Cesandri in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M Cesandri's Fair A/E?

1.78, from 167 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Cesandri

169 runners in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

23–169

Wins / Runs

13.6%

Strike rate

n=169

49 (29%)

Placed

1.78

Fair A/E

n=167 · 1.46 incl. margin

+99.43

£1 level stake

n=167 at SP · +59.5%

£435k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 169 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Dorian Provost: 15.9% from 63

The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (AW) (17.1%, n=41), clear of the yard's 13.6% baseline. Dorian Provost rides 37% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.9% vs 13.6%, A/E 2.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (17.3%, n=75) and on Standard (AW) going (16.7%, n=72). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 7.9% over 38 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Minerve at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2023, £35,398).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%−1.7

n=59 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +53.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−13.6

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Debutants · first career start

11.1%−2.5

n=18 · A/E 1.90 · £1 −4.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.5%−3.1

n=19 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −6.80

When favourite

40%

n=15 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +5.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−5.9

n=13 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +16.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+19.7

n=6 · A/E 5.38 · £1 +25.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 7.9% vs 13.6% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 17.3% vs 13.6% · n=75

On Standard (AW) going 16.7% vs 13.6% · n=72

At Deauville (AW) 17.1% vs 13.6% · n=41

On Good to Soft going 10.3% vs 13.6% · n=39

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 16.7% vs 13.6% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 164 23 14% +103.43

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 72 12 16.7% +95.70

Good to Soft 39 4 10.3% +9.00

Soft 38 3 7.9% −15.35

Heavy 11 3 27.3% +13.75

Good 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 41 7 17.1% +75.25

Chantilly (FR) 39 6 15.4% +33.60

Longchamp (FR) 26 2 7.7% −1.40

Saint-Cloud (FR) 26 2 7.7% +0.40

Vichy (FR) 10 1 10% −6.50

Compiegne (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 6 2 33.3% +1.08

Vittel (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 3 2 66.7% +11.75

Auteuil (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 1 1 100% +1.25

Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 10 3 30% +0.83

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 6 2 33.3% +25.60

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 6 40% 1.82 +5.25

2nd–3rd fav 22 4 18.2% 1.32 +2.28

4th–6th fav 40 6 15% 1.80 +18.10

7th+ in betting 90 7 7.8% 2.16 +73.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Allurre (FR) 25 4 9 19 Oct 26

Captain De Cerisy (FR) 16 2 4 21 Oct 24

Her Christopher (FR)from Y Barberot 11 2 5 19 Oct 26

Zasymoka (FR) 11 1 3 18 Oct 26

A Beauregard (FR) 9 1 3 18 Oct 26

Zilya (FR) 9 1 1 2 Oct 26

Rio Grande (FR)from C & Y Lerner 7 0 0 2 Oct 26

Turtle Chope (FR) 7 0 1 24 Apr 25

Zenata (FR) 6 0 0 11 Sep 26

Ziggy Star (FR) 6 1 2 29 Mar 26

Treasure Keeper (FR)from Laurent Girel · then Laurent Girel 5 1 5 4 Mar 25

Engaliwe (FR) 5 4 4 13 Aug 23

All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

09132421013111714139

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDorian Provost

37% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 2.07

RiderRWSR£1

Dorian Provost 63 10 15.9% +65.73

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.25m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Engaliwe (FR) — Prix Minerve (3yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023 · Group 3

£35,398

Joly Nelsa (FR) — Prix Hubert D'Aillieres (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2011 · Listed

£35,172

A Beauregard (FR) — Morocco Cup - Handicap De La Manche Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 2

£25,450

Notable horses

Allurre (FR) Refik (FR) Engaliwe (FR) Colonel D'Aumont (FR) Captain De Cerisy (FR) Saint Sacre (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anodin (IRE) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,405 runs since 2008 (274 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Captain Marvelous (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 8.3% of 968 runs since 2008 (63 horses).

Guignol (GER) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 13.3% of 150 runs since 2008 (17 horses).

Le Havre (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 12.5% of 5,852 runs since 2008 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Pour Moi (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,682 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.

Silver Frost (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 6.4% of 1,338 runs since 2008 (164 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 529 · newest first

The latest 50 of 529 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Her Christopher (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 13/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Allurre (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 25/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 100/30

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Measter Owen (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 33/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) A Beauregard (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 2nd 33/1

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Parc Borely8f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 6/1

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Zilya (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix De VilleurbanneClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/4

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Rio Grande (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du BouscatClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 12/1

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Inventer (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Pietro9f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 10/1

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Her Christopher (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Salon VioletClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 17/2

26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Allurre (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De L'esplanadeClass 4 · 10f · 6 ran 1st 100/30

26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Vikthor (FR)J: Mr Jonathan Plassard Prix Des AmateursClass 4 · 15.5f · 9 ran 2nd 11/4

25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Derni Chop (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix D'arles12f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Vermandois7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 14/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Il Magistero (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Basse Automne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 20/1

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Rio Grande (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Bords De L'aisne14f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) A Beauregard (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 14/1

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Measter Owen (FR)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 40/1

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Zenata (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Lieu Dieu7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 16/1

11 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Il Magistero (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Lieu Feral7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Cesandri's strike rate?: M Cesandri has won 23 of 169 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Cesandri do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 41 runners (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Cesandri?: Dorian Provost, with 63 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.9%).
Is M Cesandri in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Cesandri's Fair A/E?: 1.78, from 167 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.