What is Caragh Monaghan's strike rate?

Caragh Monaghan has won 4 of 135 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Caragh Monaghan ride most for?

Ian Patrick Donoghue, with 75 rides since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4%).

Is Caragh Monaghan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Caragh Monaghan's Fair A/E?

0.59, from 135 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Caragh Monaghan

135 rides in the last 5 seasons · 65 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

4–135

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=135

24 (18%)

Placed

0.59

Fair A/E

n=135 · 0.47 incl. margin

−76.00

£1 level stake

n=135 at SP · −56.3%

£87,923

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.59). Rides mostly for Ian Patrick Donoghue — 56% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 135 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Ian Patrick Donoghue: 4% from 75

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −76.00 to a £1 stake over 135 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ian Patrick Donoghue supplies 56% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.49 across 92 rides (2.2% strike, −41.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.5%−1.5

n=65 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −24.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−3.0

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.2%+1.2

n=24 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +17.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=6 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +2.50

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3%+0.0

n=135 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −76.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.7%−0.3

n=75 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −30.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On first rides for the horse 1.5% vs 3% · n=65 · A/E 0.41

With Ian Patrick Donoghue 4% vs 3% · n=75 · A/E 0.61

In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 3% · n=92 · A/E 0.49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 92 2 2.2% −41.50

Chase 26 2 7.7% −17.50

Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 44 1 2.3% −34.50

Soft 40 1 2.5% −35.50

Heavy 25 1 4% +16.00

Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −19.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 20 1 5% −15.50

Downpatrick 19 0 0% −19.00

Down Royal 18 2 11.1% −4.50

Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00

Navan 9 1 11.1% +32.00

Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00

Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00

Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00

Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00

Naas 3 0 0% −3.00

Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.74 +2.50

2nd–3rd fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00

4th–6th fav 31 1 3.2% 0.43 −21.50

7th+ in betting 87 1 1.1% 0.53 −46.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

92.4% completed · 118 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 26 84.6% 1 3 0 0 0

Hurdle 92 94.6% 1 0 4 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Attitash (IRE) 16 0 2 24 Jul 24

I A Connect (IRE) 7 1 4 2 May 26

Sea Of Doubt (IRE) 5 0 2 5 Oct 26

St Denis's Well (IRE) 5 1 3 1 Oct 26

Vaureal (FR) 5 1 3 4 Apr 26

Lets Do This Buddy (IRE) 5 0 1 20 Aug 25

Kalsman (IRE) 4 1 1 30 Oct 26

Your Call (IRE) 4 0 0 28 Aug 26

Artic Chief (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Dec 25

Walk In The Sea (IRE) 3 0 0 3 Feb 26

Kanog Bay (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Dec 25

Venturevango (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0008000000147

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardIan Patrick Donoghue

56% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 0.61

TrainerRWSR£1

Ian Patrick Donoghue 75 3 4% −25.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£87,923

Prize money

2025

Best season · 2 wins

Vaureal (FR) — BAR 1 Betting Ladies Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Nov 2025

£8,850

St Denis's Well (IRE) — Gaeil Colmcille GAA Kells 'Day At The Races' Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Navan · Nov 2023

£8,850

Kalsman (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Down Royal · Apr 2026

£7,657

Notable horses

I A Connect (IRE) Vaureal (FR) St Denis's Well (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,871 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Jeremy (USA) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Affinisea (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 13% of 1,280 runs since 2022 (203 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,873 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Famous Name (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,512 runs since 2016 (102 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,630 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 135 · newest first

The latest 50 of 135 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2022 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Cantgetaway (IRE)T: Sean McParlan SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 8th 100/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Kalsman (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Metcollect Handicap Steeplechase16.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 8th 16/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Everyday Life (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 5th 6/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 12th 4/1F

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) St Denis's Well (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Clonmel Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Colugo (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Magic Day (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 14/1

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 12/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Your Call (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Golden Cow Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 33/1

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 20 ran UR 15/2

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Double Power (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 22/1

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Sea Of Doubt (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 4/1

10 Jul 26 Kilbeggan Lisnamult Lad (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Writech Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 7th 14/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Sea Of Doubt (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Dunlop Homes Rated Novice Hurdle18f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Jr Mahon (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Dino Day At Fairyhouse 8th July Handicap14f · Good · 18 ran 18th 66/1

12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Due In June (GB)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Maher Tractor Sales Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)6f · Good · 15 ran 9th 33/1

02 May 26 Punchestown I A Connect (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Howden Cross Country Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran UR 16/1

29 Apr 26 Punchestown Mi Lucky Cailin (IRE)T: William J McLernon Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 24 ran 10th 50/1

18 Apr 26 Bellewstown Jr Mahon (IRE)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 28/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Gerrymandering (IRE)T: William J McLernon Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Caragh Monaghan's strike rate?: Caragh Monaghan has won 4 of 135 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Caragh Monaghan ride most for?: Ian Patrick Donoghue, with 75 rides since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4%).
Is Caragh Monaghan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Caragh Monaghan's Fair A/E?: 0.59, from 135 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.