2:30 Sedgefield
A Class 5 mares' handicap hurdle over 2m3f188y at Sedgefield on good ground brings together nine runners where the KTB Fit scores point to a competitive but not overly deep field. Spot On Soph heads the KTB rankings on 61 with a solid course record, while the next three are tightly bunched between 55 and 56. The overall numbers suggest a race that could be dictated from the front in a contest where course form and proven stamina at the trip will be key.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to one clear front-runner facing little pressure and an uncontested lead that can prove difficult for closers to overcome. O'Faolains Glory is the only front-runner in the field and is likely to set the pace while the rest of the runners, predominantly held-up types including the selection Spot On Soph, will be produced late. This shape poses the key question of whether any of the closers possess the necessary finishing speed to reel in a clear leader over this staying trip on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Spot On Soph KTB Selection61/100
Spot On Soph is a useful performer with a solid record here, including a win from eight runs at Sedgefield. She has shown consistent form this year with two placed efforts from her last five starts and has won at today's trip. The trainer holds an 18% strike rate at the track from a large sample while the jockey has had only one ride here so that remains unknown. Dropping in class looks a positive and her held-up run style fits the shape where she can be produced with a late effort. With recent form figures of 32575- she arrives with enough in hand to play a leading role.
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2Asa56/100
Asa is a useful performer on his best days and has shown up well around here in the past, finishing third and fourth from two runs at Sedgefield. He has a solid career record with 31 runs in the last year and is proven at this trip, having placed once in two attempts. The yard holds a respectable 14% strike rate at the track from a big sample, though the 7lb claimer has had too few rides here to judge. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well suited by the anticipated uncontested lead. Recent form of 63138- suggests he remains capable at this level.
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3O'Faolains Glory56/100
O'Faolains Glory is a useful performer who has won twice at this trip and showed strong form earlier in the season. Recent efforts have been patchy though and the yard's modest record at Sedgefield adds a note of caution. Good ground suits well enough but this is the first run here. As the only front-runner she is set to take the uncontested lead according to the pace shape and that could prove hard to peg back. With form figures of 1140-9 she needs to bounce back from a lacklustre latest effort.
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4Stellarmasterpiece55/100
Stellarmasterpiece arrives in strong form having won his last three starts and holds a useful level of ability. He has shown he handles good ground well with four wins from nine starts on it. The step up in trip today asks a fresh question and his sole previous run at this distance brought no success while he fell on his only visit to Sedgefield. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will be looking to come from off the pace. The combination of trainer and jockey yields a strong 50% strike rate from their six starts together.
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5Lone Star54/100
Lone Star is a useful performer on his day with a solid overall career record and two wins at today's trip. He has been out of form on his last few starts and his three runs at Sedgefield have produced no wins or places. The yard has a respectable record at the track while the jockey is also established here.
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6Curious Mrs Fox48/100
Curious Mrs Fox is a fair performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing second on good ground last time. She steps up in trip today having shown little in one previous attempt at this distance. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 7% strike rate at Sedgefield.
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7Dusky Spyglass46/100
Dusky Spyglass is a fair performer who has shown ability in a light career but has been pulled up on two of his four starts. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him. The jockey has a strong 60% strike-rate from just five rides at Sedgefield.
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8Yanka Blue38/100
Yanka Blue is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form here, finishing second and third in recent visits to Sedgefield. She steps up in trip today having failed to win in two previous attempts at this distance, though her recent seconds suggest she stays far enough. Trainer has only a small sample at the track while the jockey's modest 14% strike rate here offers no strong pointer.
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9Brooklyn Lullaby33/100
Brooklyn Lullaby is a modest performer who has shown little spark in eight starts and arrives here off the back of a poor run. The Easterby yard has a 4% strike rate at Sedgefield from 25 runs while Harry Bannister posts a 12% record from 49 rides at the track. No win or place from five runs on good ground adds to the negatives.
KTB verdict
Spot On Soph is the KTB Selection. She possesses a solid record at Sedgefield including a win, has shown consistent form this year with placed efforts and drops in class, all of which make her the one to beat. Her held-up style should allow her to be delivered late against the likely uncontested lead. The main dangers are Asa, who has shown up well around here before and is proven at the trip, and O'Faolains Glory, who could take full advantage of the pace shape if allowed an easy lead, while Stellarmasterpiece brings strong recent winning form though the trip and course are unknowns.
KTB Selection Spot On Soph
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Spot On Soph | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Asa | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| O'Faolains Glory | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Stellarmasterpiece | 6/5 | 7Bet |
| Lone Star | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Curious Mrs Fox | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Dusky Spyglass | 50/1 | 7Bet |
| Yanka Blue | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Brooklyn Lullaby | 12/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 2:30 Sedgefield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sedgefield racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sedgefield results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to take the uncontested lead?
O'Faolains Glory is the only front-runner and tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has Spot On Soph recorded at Sedgefield?
Spot On Soph has a win from eight runs at Sedgefield.
What is the trainer and jockey strike rate for Stellarmasterpiece's connections?
Micky Hammond and Sean Bowen have a 3/6 (50%) record together.
Which runner has the strongest jockey record at Sedgefield?
Freddie Keighley has a 60% strike rate at Sedgefield from five rides.
How many placed efforts has Asa had at today's trip?
Asa has placed once in two attempts at this trip.
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