Skip to content
Trainer profile

Mike Murphy

385 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
39–385
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=385
86 (22%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=381 · 0.98 incl. margin
−110.14
£1 level stake
n=385 at SP · −28.6%
£300k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16).

Deterministic profile computed from 385 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (17.6%, n=68) and over 1m5f – 2m (17.1%, n=41). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 45 runners, 10.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Benandonner (USA) — 8 wins from 52 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.1
n=63 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −63.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.1
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.9%−4.2
n=17 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%−0.1
n=10 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +2.00
When favourite
46.4%
n=28 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +9.05
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%−4.7
n=37 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 25% vs 10.1% · n=36
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 10.1% · n=45
With new recruits 0% vs 10.1% · n=36
Off a 8-14-day break 17.6% vs 10.1% · n=68
Over 1m5f – 2m 17.1% vs 10.1% · n=41
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3.1% vs 10.1% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 378 39 10.3% −103.14
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 256 26 10.2% −110.45
Good to Firm 57 7 12.3% +29.73
Good 50 6 12% −7.42
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 78 12 15.4% −6.25
Kempton (AW) 55 5 9.1% −27.37
Chelmsford City (AW) 46 5 10.9% −26.93
Wolverhampton (AW) 40 2 5% −34.90
Lingfield (AW) 35 2 5.7% −13.00
Windsor 25 3 12% +35.10
Yarmouth 19 3 15.8% +12.00
Brighton 15 1 6.7% −7.00
Nottingham 12 0 0% −12.00
Leicester 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield 7 1 14.3% −4.62
Chepstow 6 2 33.3% +5.25
Bath 4 1 25% −0.75
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 195 24 12.3% −48.10
Class 5 113 9 8% −76.42
Class 4 56 5 8.9% −15.62
Class 3 13 1 7.7% +38.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 15 48.4% 1.71 +12.68
2nd–3rd fav 72 9 12.5% 0.75 −32.32
4th–6th fav 108 13 12% 1.63 +58.50
7th+ in betting 174 2 1.1% 0.41 −149.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jesse Luc (GB)from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady 28 6 16 10 Oct 26
Further Measure (USA)from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady 26 6 8 5 Oct 26
Aim For The Bull (IRE)from Brian Toomey 24 4 9 21 Sep 26
Hint Of The Jungle (IRE)from Ed Dunlop 20 4 9 12 Oct 26
Star Chorus (IRE)from Andrew Balding 16 3 5 5 Oct 26
Desert Charm (GB) 15 3 7 12 Oct 26
Nad Alshiba Snow (IRE)from Robert Cowell 14 0 1 7 Oct 26
Alright Sunshine (IRE)from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady 13 0 2 10 May 25
Antiphon (IRE)from Andrew Balding 12 1 5 2 Aug 26
Temple Bruer (GB)from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady 11 2 3 15 Aug 25
Akabusi (GB)from Dylan Cunha · then Micky Fenton 10 1 1 7 Aug 26
Dark Dreamer (GB)from Robert Cowell 9 0 0 3 Jan 26
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady (12) and Andrew Balding (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Mike Murphy & Michael Keady (8); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1338951216563500
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRob Hornby
13% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 1.98
RiderRWSR£1
Rob Hornby 49 7 14.3% +48.75
Daniel Muscutt 47 6 12.8% −5.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
213
Archived wins
£1.60m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 21 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Discussiontofollow (IRE) — Totepool Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2014 · Class 2
£62,250
Chapter And Verse (IRE) — totescoop6 London Mile Handicap (Series Final) Kempton (AW) · Sep 2010 · Class 2
£37,386
Star Chorus (IRE) — SBK: Betting Without The Bull Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 4
£18,319
Notable horses
Benandonner (USA) Titan Goddess (GB) Red Somerset (USA) Mulzim (GB) Rock Anthem (IRE) Rio Ronaldo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Showcasing (GB) 17.1% · 6–35
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Brazen Beau (AUS) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,472 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
English Channel (USA) 23.1% · 6–26
Progeny have won 10.6% of 529 runs since 2008 (35 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.3% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 106.
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,221 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Mehmas (IRE) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,069 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,069 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2007 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Southwell Dusky Spyglass (GB)J: Luke Scott Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 150/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Hint Of The Jungle (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 17/2
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Desert Charm (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 7/2
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jesse Luc (GB)J: Luke Morris Pepsi Max Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) San Juanito (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 8th 40/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Divine Wish (GB)J: Rob Hornby Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 28/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Nad Alshiba Snow (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Star Chorus (IRE)J: Pat Dobbs Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 15/8J
05 Oct 26 Pontefract Further Measure (USA)J: Clifford Lee Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap StakesClass 5 · 18f · Good · 6 ran 4th 3/1
24 Sep 26 Pontefract Nad Alshiba Snow (IRE)J: Jack Callan ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 25/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) San Juanito (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 14/1
23 Sep 26 Goodwood Star Chorus (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 25/1
22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Further Measure (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 20/1
21 Sep 26 Leicester Aim For The Bull (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 7th 40/1
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Jesse Luc (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 100/30
17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Victorian Rose (FR)J: John Egan White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 200/1
17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Hint Of The Jungle (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 10th 22/1
12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Kyoto (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/2
12 Sep 26 Bath Desert Charm (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 11/2
10 Sep 26 Epsom I Am Me (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Feeling Flush With Emplas Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mike Murphy's strike rate?
Mike Murphy has won 39 of 385 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mike Murphy do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 78 runners (15.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mike Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mike Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 381 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).