5:50 Beverley
The 5.50 Beverley is the second division of a Class 6 handicap over 1m 100y on good ground. A field of ten largely modest performers lines up, with the KTB Fit scores tightly bunched at the top and no standout standout in the data. Overall the numbers point to a competitive but low-grade contest where course experience and the ability to produce a late effort could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a natural leader and suggests a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy will pay. With the vast majority of runners, including all five principals, tending to be held up and produce their efforts late, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question is which of these hold-up performers can best negotiate the steadily-run gallop and strike at the right moment in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Willowinghurn KTB Selection56/100
Willowinghurn is a limited performer who has been a regular at Beverley without winning in five runs, though he has placed once. He steps up in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous tries at a mile. The David O'Meara yard posts a 14% strike rate at the track from 685 runs with an A/E of 0.91, while Daniel Tudhope brings an 18% strike rate from 559 rides and an A/E of 0.99. Both trainer and jockey therefore hold solid records here. The colt is usually held up and produces his effort late. He has been placed twice from six starts on good ground without winning.
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2Hostelry55/100
Hostelry is a limited class performer with a solid record here, including one win from eight runs at Beverley. He has won on good ground and at today's trip, though recent form has been patchy with just one success in the last six outings. The Ruth Carr yard has a 9% strike rate at the track from 430 runs with an A/E of 0.75, but this is offset by Joanna Mason's stronger 14% strike rate from 253 rides and an A/E of 1.09. She is usually held up and produces her effort late. The mare has recorded four wins from 19 starts on good ground along with 12 placed efforts.
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3Dumfries48/100
Dumfries is a limited performer who has been running to a similar level in recent starts without threatening to win. He has won twice at Beverley from eight runs and returns to a trip he has won over before, though he steps up from 7f today. The Ruth Carr yard has a 9% strike rate at the track from 430 runs with an A/E of 0.75, while James Sullivan posts a 6% strike rate from 586 rides and an A/E of 0.68. Both yard and jockey therefore have modest strike rates here. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. Dumfries has been placed once from four starts on good ground without winning.
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4Back From Dubai40/100
Back From Dubai is a limited performer who has won once in five runs at Beverley but is now operating at a very modest level. He drops back to 1m today having been placed without winning at the trip in the past, while his record on good ground shows one placing from five starts. The Roy Bowring yard has a 5% strike rate at the track from 274 runs with an A/E of 0.58. Jack G Gilligan has no record at Beverley. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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5Evelyn's Phoenix39/100
Evelyn's Phoenix is a limited performer who has failed to win in 31 starts this year and looks no better than modest on recent form. He has placed once from eight runs at Beverley but has otherwise been well held here, while the drop back to 1m is at least a return to a distance at which he has scored. The Tim Easterby yard posts a 10% strike rate at the track from 2414 runs with an A/E of 0.82, and David Allan matches that 10% strike rate from 1263 rides with an A/E of 0.79. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. The gelding has recorded two wins from ten starts on good ground along with three placed efforts.
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6Due To Shine39/100
Due To Shine is a limited performer who has shown little since a placed debut. He has course form but was well beaten on the second visit and has failed to place in two runs on good ground. He drops back in trip today having been out of form over longer distances.
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7Abu Royal38/100
Abu Royal is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year and finished only 11th when he tried this track once before. He has won on good ground and at today's trip but those positives are now some way back in his record. The jockey has a modest record here from a decent-sized sample while the trainer's small number of runners at Beverley makes his course effectiveness hard to judge.
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8She's A Goldigger38/100
She's A Goldigger is a limited performer who has shown only modest form this year and has failed to win or place in 17 runs. She has run respectably without threatening on both previous visits to Beverley and has no win or place from five starts on good ground. Stepping up to this trip for the first time since last season adds a fresh question while the yard's modest 13% strike rate at the track offers little encouragement.
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9Forever Twenty36/100
Forever Twenty is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in ten runs and finished no better than third. He has been tried over today's trip twice without success and now steps up from 7f, while his sole visit to Beverley produced a placed effort but no win. Trainer and jockey both operate at modest strike rates here on a track where they have had plenty of chances.
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10Power of Chora34/100
Power of Chora is a limited performer on the balance of his ten runs and recent form figures of 683800. He has shown a bit of promise at this track with a third on his second visit but has failed to build on it and steps up in trip today for the first time. The trainer has an 8% strike rate from 38 runs here while the jockey records 12% from 196 rides.
KTB verdict
Willowinghurn is the KTB Selection. A limited performer, he has been a regular at Beverley without winning in five runs although he has placed once, and he now steps up in trip having failed to make the frame in three previous tries at a mile. The combination of the O'Meara yard and Tudhope in the saddle supplies solid course records that add to his claims in a race where being handy from a midfield draw should suit the expected steadily-run pace. His main dangers are likely to come from Hostelry, who has a solid record here including a win, and Dumfries, who has won twice at the track and returns to a trip he has scored over before.
KTB Selection Willowinghurn
This is the narrative read of the 5:50 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Beverley results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip having failed to make the frame in three previous tries at a mile?
Willowinghurn
How many wins has Hostelry recorded from her eight starts at Beverley?
One
Which two horses in the race have each won twice at Beverley?
Dumfries
Which runner has failed to win in 31 starts this year?
Evelyn's Phoenix
What is the trainer's strike rate at Beverley for the yard of the KTB Selection?
14%
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