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Jockey profile

Olivia Tubb

278 rides in the last 5 seasons · 115 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
31–278
Wins / Runs
11.2%
Strike rate
n=278
88 (32%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=278 · 0.98 incl. margin
−9.94
£1 level stake
n=278 at SP · −3.6%
£285k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 15% off breaks of two months or more (34 runs). Rides mostly for Jonathan Portman — 60% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 278 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 14.7% Jonathan Portman: 13.8% from 167
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 14.7% (n=34, Fair A/E 2.40). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 9.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +24.16 to a £1 stake over 115 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jonathan Portman supplies 60% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.8% vs 11.2%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (16%, n=50) and off a 8-14-day break (15.6%, n=64). The market has also underrated the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.45 across 92 rides (14.1% strike, +25.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 5.5% over 109 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.6%−1.6
n=115 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +24.16
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.2%+6.0
n=29 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −1.80
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.7%+3.5
n=34 · A/E 2.40 · £1 +34.00
When favourite
58.3%
n=12 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +13.20
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.8%−0.4
n=259 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.44
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.7%−7.5
n=27 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 5.5% vs 11.2% · n=109
Off a 31-60-day break 16% vs 11.2% · n=50
Off a 8-14-day break 15.6% vs 11.2% · n=64
On Good to Firm going 14.7% vs 11.2% · n=68
With Jonathan Portman 13.8% vs 11.2% · n=167
Over 6f – 7f 14.1% vs 11.2% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 95 8 8.4% +10.95
Good to Firm 68 10 14.7% −20.72
Good 55 6 10.9% −10.00
Good to Soft 27 2 7.4% −5.67
Soft 23 3 13% +14.50
Firm 6 1 16.7% −3.00
Heavy 4 1 25% +4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 38 4 10.5% +22.20
Bath 26 3 11.5% −9.00
Brighton 26 4 15.4% +5.83
Kempton (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Lingfield (AW) 18 2 11.1% −8.25
Windsor 16 3 18.8% +1.75
Newbury 15 4 26.7% +12.33
Salisbury 14 2 14.3% +15.00
Chepstow 14 1 7.1% −8.00
Nottingham 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Goodwood 9 0 0% −9.00
Lingfield 8 2 25% −1.63
Epsom Downs 8 0 0% −8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Leicester 7 1 14.3% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 150 16 10.7% +34.53
Class 5 70 9 12.9% −21.67
Class 4 36 5 13.9% −5.13
Class 3 11 1 9.1% −6.67
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 9 52.9% 2.06 +15.70
2nd–3rd fav 72 9 12.5% 0.79 −27.14
4th–6th fav 99 6 6.1% 0.70 −39.50
7th+ in betting 90 7 7.8% 2.41 +41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mrembo (GB) 23 3 12 24 Jul 26
Hellavapace (GB) 18 2 7 29 Apr 25
Russian Rumour (IRE) 17 3 6 4 Nov 26
Way Of Life (GB) 13 2 6 1 Aug 26
Bownder (IRE) 10 1 5 24 Aug 26
Thunderous Love (GB) 9 2 4 29 Oct 26
Strike (GB) 8 3 3 7 Oct 26
Birkie Boy (IRE) 8 1 4 14 Jan 24
Sweet Reward (IRE) 7 2 3 18 Sep 26
She's A Goldigger (GB) 7 0 2 16 Sep 26
Brinton (GB) 6 0 4 4 Feb 26
Galette (GB) 6 0 1 13 Jan 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 115 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 7
Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8017241514669101420
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJonathan Portman
60% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 1.26
TrainerRWSR£1
Jonathan Portman 167 23 13.8% +6.86
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
31
Archived wins
£285k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 10 wins
Two Tempting (IRE) — Manny Mercer Apprentice Handicap (Str) Ascot · May 2024 · Class 3
£10,800
It Just Takes Time (IRE) — Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap (Div 2) Doncaster · Nov 2024 · Class 4
£10,308
Sweet Reward (IRE) — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Lingfield · May 2026 · Class 4
£8,270
Notable horses
Mrembo (GB) Russian Rumour (IRE) Strike (GB) Hellavapace (GB) Way Of Life (GB) Thunderous Love (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Albaasil (IRE) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 7.1% of 240 runs since 2019 (15 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.9% from 105.
Hellvelyn (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2014 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.
Make Believe (GB) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,625 runs since 2019 (298 horses).
Havana Gold (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Belardo (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,735 runs since 2020 (280 horses).
Lightning Spear (GB) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 11.4% of 613 runs since 2022 (53 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 278 · newest first

The latest 50 of 278 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2022 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Russian Rumour (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 25/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dijon Gone (GB)T: Denis Coakley Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 22/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dadawada (IRE)T: Christopher Kellett AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 33/1
29 Oct 26 Bath Thunderous Love (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 7/2
29 Oct 26 Bath The Dark Baron (IRE)T: Kathy Turner Thank You To Our Loyal Annual Members Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 22/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)T: Mark Hoad Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 9/1
26 Oct 26 Leicester It's A Dream (GB)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 50/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Highland Frost (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 100/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Redrosecastana (IRE)T: Christopher Kellett Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 66/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sueshine (GB)T: Kathy Turner Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 125/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Strike (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 4th 22/1
06 Oct 26 Leicester Shark Two One (GB)T: Jessica Macey Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 11/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Addictive (IRE)T: Craig Benton Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 13th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Katalyst (GB)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 50/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Campenaerts (GB)T: Jonathan Portman Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/4F
29 Sep 26 Bath Good Fighter (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 14/1
26 Sep 26 Newmarket Salam Dubawi (GB)T: Jim Goldie Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 9f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 21st 33/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Nezeeh (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 25/1
21 Sep 26 Leicester Shark Two One (GB)T: Jessica Macey Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 1st 11/1
18 Sep 26 Newbury Sweet Reward (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Olivia Tubb's strike rate?
Olivia Tubb has won 31 of 278 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Olivia Tubb do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 rides (10.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Olivia Tubb ride most for?
Jonathan Portman, with 167 rides since 2022 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (13.8%).
Is Olivia Tubb in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Olivia Tubb's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 278 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).