4:41 Redcar

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Ventura Express KTB Selection53/100

   Form 544645 · Paul Midgley · David Nolan

   Ventura Express is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning. He has a solid record at this trip with four wins from 39 starts and has been placed once from three runs at Redcar, though without registering a victory here. The nine-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, a run-style that could be well suited if the race develops into the anticipated sprint for the line. Paul Midgley's 7% strike rate at Redcar from 499 runs is a negative, as is the yard's overall trainer-jockey record of 43/419 (10%) with an A/E of 0.78. David Nolan's 10% strike rate at the track from 412 rides offers only limited encouragement, while the horse's record of two wins from 17 on good to firm is respectable but not outstanding.

2. 2Sergeant Mayer51/100

   Form 069611 · Nigel Tinkler · Alex Jary(3)

   Sergeant Mayer is a modest performer who has won once from two starts at this track and shows a solid record on good to firm ground with three wins from 13 runs. He has won four times at this trip from 28 starts and arrives in decent form after a recent success, though he steps up in class here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his run-style aligns with the majority of the field and should see him come into it late if the pace is as steady as expected. Nigel Tinkler's 7% strike rate at Redcar from 921 runs offers no particular edge, yet the trainer-jockey combination shows 47/509 (9%) with an A/E of 0.92. Alex Jary's 12% strike rate at the venue from 81 rides is a positive, and the five-year-old's course record gives him a clear foothold in a race short on established Redcar form.

3. 3Emperor's Son50/100

   Form 941098 · Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · Joanna Mason

   Emperor's Son is a modest performer who has won once on good to firm and twice at this trip from 13 attempts. His recent form is mixed, featuring a win at this level in June but three poor efforts since, which tempers enthusiasm. Usually held up and producing his effort late, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he will need the race to fall right in a steadily-run affair. Samantha & Jacqueline Coward's record at Redcar stands at 0% from a small sample of three runs, while Joanna Mason's 9% strike rate at the track from 152 rides is modest. The trainer-jockey partnership shows 3/18 (17%) with an A/E of 1.43, and the horse has no course form on record.

4. 4Guernsey Lady47/100

   Form 47-326 · David Evans · P. J. McDonald

   Guernsey Lady is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning. She has won over today's trip but her record on good to firm is only one placing from four starts and she has never been to Redcar before. Usually held up and producing her effort late, her run-style fits the profile of a race likely to be decided with a late burst. David Evans's 8% strike rate at the track from 256 runs adds little encouragement, as does the trainer-jockey record of 12/82 (15%) with an A/E of 1.12. P J McDonald's 10% strike rate at Redcar from 634 rides is fair but not compelling, leaving the three-year-old filly with questions to answer on both surface and venue.

5. 5Bravo Hotel45/100

   Form 533-50 · Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty

   Bravo Hotel is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on three of his seven starts but has failed to build on those efforts of late. Dropping in class and with first-time headgear now applied, he has been placed at this trip without winning and the yard's modest 5% strike rate at Redcar from 161 runs adds little encouragement.

6. 6Tees Aggregates43/100

   Form 317000 · Adrian Nicholls · Jack Garritty

   Tees Aggregates is a modest performer who has won four times on good to firm, including at this trip. Recent form has been poor with three duck eggs after a placed effort earlier this year, and the yard's modest record at Redcar adds little encouragement on its first run here.