3:50 Sedgefield
This Class 5 handicap hurdle at Sedgefield over 2m3f188y on good ground brings together a compact field of nine where official ratings are tightly bunched between 82 and 100. The KTB Fit scores identify a clear top four, headed by Cadillac Ranch on 68, with the remainder of the field showing more modest readings that suggest they will need things to fall favourably. Recent form is mixed across the runners, but course experience at Sedgefield is a recurring theme and several hold placed or winning form here.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as a lone leader with high confidence, pointing to one clear front-runner enjoying an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for those racing off the pace to reel in. De Deli Counter is the only confirmed front-runner in the field and is likely to set a steady gallop from the outset with little pressure expected early. The majority of the field, including the selection Cadillac Ranch, prefer to be held up and will be looking to produce their effort from off the pace in the latter stages. The key question is whether the uncontested leader can dictate matters or if the closers, with the race potentially run to suit, can bridge the gap in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Cadillac Ranch KTB Selection68/100
Cadillac Ranch arrives with a KTB Fit Score of 68 and is the selection. A useful performer, he has already shown his liking for this track with a win from two runs at Sedgefield. He steps up in trip today having previously won at this distance, though his most recent efforts came over shorter. The yard records a 12% strike rate at Sedgefield from 57 runs with an A/E of 0.78, while the 7lb claimer Miss Ellie Callwood has a 50% strike rate at the track from two rides with an A/E of 15.39. He acts on good ground with one win from four starts and usually races held up, producing his effort late. His recent form reads P-P152 and he carries an official rating of 100.
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2Zamond57/100
Zamond is rated a useful performer on a KTB Fit of 57. He has won over this trip and at this track, where he holds a record of one win from six starts. His recent form of 821232 shows consistent placed efforts and includes a last-time-out success. He has a solid record on good ground with five wins from 27 starts and 16 places. Trainer Donald McCain posts a 20% strike rate at Sedgefield from 844 runs with an A/E of 0.88, though jockey Harry Brown is 0-1 at the track with an A/E of 0 on his sole previous ride. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and carries an official rating of 100.
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3Top Flight Century54/100
Top Flight Century is a fair performer according to the KTB assessment with a Fit Score of 54. He has won over this trip and at this track, where his record stands at one win from three starts. He has been consistent without winning of late, as reflected in his recent form figures of -45384. The yard holds a 7% strike rate at Sedgefield from 219 runs with an A/E of 0.99, while jockey Jack Power is having his first ride at the venue despite a 30% strike rate from ten previous rides elsewhere at the track with an A/E of 3.02. He acts on good ground with one win from 17 starts and usually races held up, producing his effort late. He carries an official rating of 88.
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4De Deli Counter53/100
De Deli Counter is a useful performer with a KTB Fit of 53. He has already shown his liking for this track when finishing third here on his only visit. He holds a solid record on good ground with one win from five starts and two places, and has placed at today's trip, though he drops back in distance from his latest run. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at Sedgefield from 112 runs with an A/E of 0.45 is a negative, while jockey Jamie Hamilton is 8% from 284 rides at the track with an A/E of 0.73. A confirmed front-runner who tends to make the running or race prominently, he carries an official rating of 98 and his recent form reads 2531-6.
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5Asa49/100
Asa is a useful performer with a KTB Fit of 49. He has shown consistent form at this track, finishing third and fourth in two runs here, and has placed at today's trip. Now 0-11 on good ground with only one win from 11 starts overall, his recent form of 3138-7 suggests he remains competitive at this level but needs to bounce back from his latest effort. The yard has a 14% strike rate at Sedgefield from 380 runs.
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6Clean Getaway46/100
Clean Getaway is a fair performer with a KTB Fit of 46 and a solid record here, having won six of his 18 starts at Sedgefield. He has struck at today's trip before and acts well on good ground with seven wins from 37 starts. The yard posts a 14% strike rate at the track from a large sample of 380 runs. His recent form reads 534531.
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7Natural Ability46/100
Natural Ability is a fair performer with a KTB Fit of 46 who has won once in seven runs at Sedgefield and arrives in reasonable form having shown placed efforts earlier this season. He steps up in trip today having been well held over shorter last time and his record at this distance is unconvincing. The yard's modest 9% strike rate at the track from 624 runs is another negative. Recent form reads 532-P7.
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8Miss Friday Lions39/100
Miss Friday Lions is a fair mare with a KTB Fit of 39 who has shown some competitiveness on good ground without winning, placing once in four tries on this surface. She finished a respectable third last time out, though her recent form includes a pulled-up effort and she has only one run at today's longer trip which brought no success. The yard has a solid 14% strike rate at Sedgefield from 305 runs and she herself has run once here when fifth. Recent form reads 50P-35.
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9Curious Mrs Fox38/100
Curious Mrs Fox is a fair handicapper with a KTB Fit of 38 who has been consistent this year without winning, most recently finishing second in a similar race at Southwell. She has placed on good ground and shown some ability at this trip in the past, though she steps back up in distance today. The yard has a modest record at Sedgefield from 219 runs and she was only third when tried here once before. Recent form reads 664232.
KTB verdict
Cadillac Ranch is the KTB Selection and sets a clear standard as a useful performer who has already shown his liking for Sedgefield with a win from two starts here. He steps up in trip having previously won at this distance, and the combination of the 7lb claimer and his held-up run style looks well suited to a race where the likely uncontested lead could set things up for a late closer. His principal dangers are headed by Zamond, who brings consistent recent form including a last-time-out success and prior course-and-distance winning form, along with Top Flight Century and De Deli Counter, the latter of whom is expected to take the field along in front.
KTB Selection Cadillac Ranch
This is the narrative read of the 3:50 Sedgefield. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sedgefield racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sedgefield results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Sedgefield racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
De Deli Counter is the only confirmed front-runner and tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many previous wins has Cadillac Ranch had at Sedgefield?
Cadillac Ranch has won here from two runs at the track.
What is Donald McCain's strike rate at Sedgefield?
Donald McCain holds a 20% strike rate at Sedgefield from 844 runs.
Which runner has the strongest course record at Sedgefield?
Clean Getaway has won six of his 18 starts at Sedgefield.
How does the race's pace shape influence the held-up runners?
The lone leader with little pressure suggests an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers, who make up the majority of the field, to peg back.
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