2:07 Navan

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Eyeconic KTB Selection55/100

   Form 040 · J A Stack · Seamie Heffernan

   Eyeconic is a fair performer who has shown mixed form across three runs, finishing a respectable fourth on debut before two lesser efforts. Dropping back to an untried 5f presents a fresh question while the lightly-raced profile means the going remains an unknown. The trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Navan from 84 runs with an A/E of 1.17, and the jockey operates at a 10% strike rate from 683 rides here with an A/E of 0.85. Usually held up and producing its effort late, the colt should be suited by the strong pace likely to unfold. With an official rating of 80 he brings the highest form in the field on paper and is the KTB Selection.

2. 2Belle Parvenue49/100

   Form 5 · Eddie & Patrick Harty · Chris Hayes

   Belle Parvenue showed some early promise when fifth on debut over 6f. She now drops back to 5f for the first time which poses a fresh question. The yard has a solid 10% strike-rate at Navan with an A/E of 1.07 from 49 runs, while the jockey operates at 7% here with an A/E of 0.72 from 753 rides. Usually held up and producing its effort late on the limited evidence available, she should be well-placed if the strong pace materialises. With no experience of yielding ground she remains unproven in the conditions, yet her debut effort suggests she can make her mark at this level.

3. 3New World Order48/100

   J. P. Murtagh · Ben Coen

   New World Order has only one run to go on so any assessment is tentative. The colt drops back from 6f to 5f today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer J P Murtagh has a 12% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 0.9 from 261 runs, and jockey Ben Coen posts a 9% strike rate with an A/E of 0.76 from 277 rides. Usually held up and producing its effort late on the limited evidence to date, he is likely to benefit if the race develops with a strong pace up front. The combination of yard and jockey gives him every chance of showing significant improvement on just his second start.

4. 4Lion Of Fortune48/100

   Form 07 · Kieran P Cotter · R. P. Cleary

   Lion Of Fortune is lightly raced and with only two runs in the book this 2-year-old is hard to assess with any confidence. He showed little on debut then weakened quickly into seventh last time, though first-time headgear is now fitted. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 1.13 from 117 runs. A confirmed front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace, he is sure to set a strong gallop in a race where that could prove vulnerable late on. Unproven on yielding ground, he will need to improve markedly to figure.

5. 5Royal Sovereign47/100

   Form 9 · Michael Mulvany · Wesley Joyce

   Royal Sovereign showed very little on debut over 6f and now drops back to 5f for the first time. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 0.65 from 343 runs offers little encouragement. Usually held up and producing its effort late on the limited evidence available, he should be suited by the expected strong pace. With only one run on the clock the form is impossible to assess with any confidence, and he has a single run on yielding ground without placing.

6. 6Cultural Change46/100

   Edward Lynam · W. J. Lee

   Cultural Change is a newcomer from the Edward Lynam yard. The trainer has an 8% strike rate from 424 runs at Navan with an A/E of 0.78, while jockey W. J. Lee posts an 11% strike rate from 568 rides here with an A/E of 0.92. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence available the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.

7. 7Lash La Rue44/100

   Noel Meade · Colin Keane

   Lash La Rue has only one run to go on so any assessment is tentative. He steps back sharply from an initial 1m effort to a trip he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a 13% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 0.76 from a large sample of 1814 runs. Usually held up and producing its effort late on the limited evidence available, he remains unproven on yielding ground.

8. 8Aedhmar44/100

   Form 32 · Mrs J. Harrington · Shane Foley

   Aedhmar has shown ability in both starts, finishing third then second over 6f. Drops back to 5f today having already tried the trip once without success, which asks a fresh question of this lightly raced sort. Trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at Navan, with respective strike rates of 11% and 10%. A front-runner who tends to make the running or race on the pace, he is likely to be prominent in a race with a strong pace expected.

9. 9Senuna42/100

   Form 5 · Joseph G Murphy · G. F. Carroll

   Senuna showed modest early speed when fifth on debut over 6f. She now drops back to 5f for the first time which asks a fresh question of her. The yard's modest record at Navan with a 3% strike rate and A/E of 0.42 from 91 runs and low confidence data mean this lightly raced filly is best judged on her next run. Usually held up and producing its effort late on the limited evidence available, she is unproven on yielding ground.

10. 10Spirit Of The Nite37/100

    Form 202 · T G McCourt · James Ryan

    Spirit Of The Nite is a fair 2yo who has shown consistent form in two starts over this trip, finishing second both times. First-time headgear is now fitted after a modest effort last time. Trainer's modest 3% strike rate at Navan with an A/E of 0.48 from a large sample of 517 runs suggests limited encouragement from the yard's record here. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, he is likely to be involved in the expected strong pace.