2:05 Doncaster
The 2:05 at Doncaster is a Listed race over 6f for two-year-olds on heavy ground, with a field of eight runners that includes several lightly raced types stepping up in class. KTB's Fit Scores top out at 60 for the selection Rogue Jewel, who brings solid recent form including two wins over today's trip, while the rest of the principals sit between 53 and 56, underlining a competitive but not overly deep race. Most runners arrive unproven on heavy ground, which adds an extra layer of uncertainty given the testing conditions.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by multiple habitual front-runners including Angels Passing and Bengal Tiger, along with several prominent racers such as Rogue Jewel, Elevating, Hi Corbett Court and Big Hitter. This setup suggests the leaders could go hard early and the pace may collapse in the latter stages, which would play to hold-up types like Crystal Queen. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate terms without overdoing it or if the race will fall apart late to suit those coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Rogue Jewel KTB Selection60/100
Rogue Jewel is a fair two-year-old with solid recent form that features two victories over today's trip. He steps up from 5f having already won twice at 6f from three attempts at the distance, which looks a positive. The Edward Bethell yard records a 15% strike rate at Doncaster from 93 runs, in line with their overall figure, and Cieren Fallon takes the ride with a 14% strike rate at the track from 159 rides. He is drawn in stall 6 and usually races handily on or close to the lead. No runs on heavy ground so that remains unproven, as does his record at the course itself. Half-sister to Copper Craft who won once from 13 runs, with the dam having produced one other winner from two runners.
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2Angels Passing56/100
Angels Passing is a fair performer who has shown mixed form in three starts, winning once over this trip but finishing down the field in Listed company last time. He tends to make the running or race on the pace and is drawn in stall 5. The Kevin Ryan yard records a 7% strike rate at Doncaster from 913 runs, below their 12% at other tracks, though Oisin Murphy has a strong 16% strike rate here from 332 rides and the pair combine at a 17% rate overall from 24 runs together. Half-sister to Duneflower, a Listed winner with three wins from nine runs, and the dam has produced five winners from seven other runners. No runs on heavy ground so that is unproven, as is his record at the course.
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3Crystal Queen56/100
Crystal Queen is a useful performer who has shown that with a win and two placed efforts from five runs. She has been placed once from two starts at this trip and steps up in class while drawn in stall 2. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she could be suited if the strong pace collapses. The Richard and Peter Fahey stable operate at a 7% strike rate at Doncaster from 44 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while William Buick has a 21% strike rate here from 526 rides. No runs on heavy ground so that remains unproven, as does her record at the course. Half-sister to Steel Raven who won twice from seven runs, with the dam having produced two winners from two other runners.
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4Big Tribe53/100
Big Tribe won his only start over this trip on debut and now steps up in class. With just one run on his record this remains a small-sample case that needs to be treated with caution and the data confidence is low. He usually races handily on or close to the lead though that assessment comes with limited evidence. The Michael Appleby yard has a 9% strike rate at Doncaster from 406 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while Jason Hart is on an 8% strike rate here from 336 rides, below his 12% at other tracks, though the pair combine at a 13% rate from 69 runs together. Half-brother to Pockett Rockett who won once from five runs, and the dam has produced three winners from four other runners. No runs on heavy ground so that is unproven, as is his record at the course.
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5Bengal Tiger51/100
Bengal Tiger has shown steady improvement in three runs and has already won at this trip, though the low data confidence means this remains a lightly-raced profile that needs treating with caution. Half-brother to Galleria Borghese, a Listed winner with two wins from 12 runs, and the dam has produced three winners from four other runners; he tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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6Elevating49/100
Elevating is a fair performer who has shown mixed form across six runs, including a second at this trip though he is yet to win at the distance. Half-sister to Fashion Queen, a Listed winner with two wins from 14 runs, and the dam has produced six winners from six other runners; he usually races handily on or close to the lead.
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7Hi Corbett Court48/100
Hi Corbett Court has mixed form from five runs, including a win at this trip and a second last time out while dropping back from 7f today. He usually races handily on or close to the lead and carries an official rating of zero in this Class 1; the trainer has a 0% strike rate at Doncaster from three runs and the going sample is too small to judge.
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8Big Hitter40/100
Big Hitter has shown fair ability with placed efforts in three of four starts and a recent 5f win that earned a 76 official rating, now stepping up in class to 6f where he has already placed once. He usually races handily on or close to the lead and is drawn in stall 3; the yard records a 9% strike rate at Doncaster from 128 runs which is in line with their record elsewhere.
KTB verdict
Rogue Jewel stands out as the KTB Selection with a Fit Score of 60 and the most persuasive profile in the race. He brings two wins over today's trip from three attempts at the distance, steps up from 5f in a manner that looks suitable, and is ridden by Cieren Fallon for a yard that operates at a solid 15% strike rate at the track. The prominent run-style should see him well placed if the strong pace does not overcook the leaders. His main dangers are likely to come from Angels Passing, who can make the running, and Crystal Queen, whose hold-up style could be ideally suited if the race collapses late, while Big Tribe's debut win cannot be dismissed despite the small sample.
KTB Selection Rogue Jewel
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:04am, 24 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Rogue Jewel | 35/1 | 7Bet, 1:04am |
| Angels Passing | 12/1 | Bet Victor, 1:04am |
| Crystal Queen | 9/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Big Tribe | 25/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Bengal Tiger | 8/11 | Bet365, 1:04am |
| Elevating | 33/1 | Bet Victor, 1:04am |
| Hi Corbett Court | 7/2 | William Hill, 1:04am |
| Big Hitter | 28/1 | Bet365, 1:04am |
This is the narrative read of the 2:05 Doncaster. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Doncaster racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Doncaster results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Doncaster racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent form at today's trip?
Rogue Jewel, who has won twice at 6f from three attempts.
How does the strong pace shape affect the principals?
It could favour hold-up horses like Crystal Queen if the pace collapses late, while prominent runners such as Rogue Jewel and Big Tribe will need to handle a strong early gallop.
What is the pedigree interest for Angels Passing?
Half-sister to Duneflower, a Listed winner with three wins from nine runs, and the dam has had seven other runners with five of them winners.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Doncaster among those represented?
Aidan O'Brien with a 14% strike rate from 238 runs.
Why is Big Tribe treated with caution despite his debut win?
He has only one run on his record, steps up in class, and the data confidence is low.
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