2:52 Hereford
This Class 4 mares' handicap hurdle at Hereford over 2m53y on good to firm ground brings together a compact field of six. The KTB Fit ratings identify Hello Sweety as the clear top horse on 69, with Silvereen, Lucy The Wire and Mavis Pike closely grouped between 52 and 55, while the remaining pair sit lower at 47 and 43. Overall the numbers point to a race where recent form, trip suitability and the ability to handle a strong pace will be decisive.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners declared and the pace shape assessed as strong with high confidence, the race is expected to be run at a proper gallop. Hello Sweety and Silvereen both tend to make the running or race prominently, while Lucy The Wire and Mavis Pike like to race handily, so early speed should be plentiful. That pace could collapse late, which would play into the hands of horses able to come from further back. The key question is which of the pace-setters can maintain their effort up the straight on ground that is quicker than some have previously encountered.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Hello Sweety KTB Selection69/100
Hello Sweety is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after a win and a pulled-up effort last time. She has won four times at today's trip from 15 attempts. The yard's 18% strike rate at Hereford from 17 runs is in line with their record elsewhere. Only one run on good to firm ground so far and this is the first visit to Hereford. As a confirmed front-runner she is sure to be on the speed in a race where the pace is likely to be strong. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 20% strike rate.
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2Silvereen55/100
Silvereen is a useful performer who showed improved form when winning last time and already has a win at today's trip. He ran poorly on his only previous start here and has a lightly-raced profile that leaves his effectiveness on good to firm ground unproven. Trainer Henry Daly operates at a 17% strike rate at Hereford from 47 wins in 277 runs, in line with his record elsewhere. As another horse who tends to make the running or race on the pace, he will be prominent early in what is set to be a strongly-run affair. The jockey has a 15% strike rate at the track from 122 rides.
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3Lucy The Wire54/100
Lucy The Wire is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after an easy win at Worcester last time. She steps up in class having already won over this distance, though the quicker ground has only produced a placed effort from three starts. Trainer records a 13% strike rate at Hereford while the jockey is making his first appearance at the track. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, she should be well placed to track the strong pace that is anticipated. The combination carries a 22% strike rate.
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4Mavis Pike52/100
Mavis Pike is a useful performer on her day with a solid official rating of 99 and two wins from nine starts at today's trip. She drops back in distance from 2m4f having shown some spark when third on return last time, though she remains unproven on good to firm. The yard has a 7% strike rate at Hereford from 15 runs and this is her first run here. A horse who usually races handily on or close to the lead, she should be involved in the early fractions of a race that could fall apart late. The trainer and jockey record stands at 19%.
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5Getarose47/100
Getarose is a fair performer who arrives in decent nick after two wins from his last three starts. He has placed both times at Hereford and has already won over today's trip, but he has never tackled good to firm ground. The trainer records a 13% strike rate at the track.
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6Prettylady43/100
Prettylady is a useful performer who has won three times at today's trip from eight attempts. She showed useful form earlier this year but has been well below that level on her last two starts and was well beaten on her only previous run here. Trainer has a 6% strike rate at Hereford from 33 runs in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey has a 15% strike rate at the track from 13 rides.
KTB verdict
Hello Sweety stands out as the KTB Selection. She brings smart form, a strong record at the trip and the tactical speed to make the running in a race where the pace is set to be strong and potentially testing late on. The yard's strike rate at Hereford adds further confidence. Silvereen, Lucy The Wire and Mavis Pike are the main dangers, each with recent wins or solid efforts and prominent run-styles that should see them to the fore early, though questions remain around the ground for a couple of them.
KTB Selection Hello Sweety
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:16am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Hello Sweety | 4/1 | 7Bet, 12:15am |
| Silvereen | 11/2 | 7Bet, 12:15am |
| Lucy The Wire | 11/4 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Mavis Pike | 5/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Getarose | 5/2 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Prettylady | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
This is the narrative read of the 2:52 Hereford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Hereford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Hereford results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Hereford racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Hello Sweety and Silvereen both tend to make the running or race on the pace, while Lucy The Wire and Mavis Pike usually race handily on or close to the lead.
How many wins has Hello Sweety recorded at today's trip?
Hello Sweety has won four times at today's trip from 15 attempts.
Which runner is stepping up in class?
Lucy The Wire, Getarose and Prettylady are all stepping up in class.
Which horses are unproven on good to firm ground?
Silvereen, Mavis Pike and Getarose have no runs on good to firm and remain unproven on the surface.
Who has the best strike rate at Hereford among the trainers in this race?
Henry Daly has a 17% strike rate at Hereford from 277 runs.
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