3:27 Hereford
This Class 4 mares' novices' hurdle at Hereford over 2m53y on good to firm ground serves as a qualifier for the Herring Queen Series and attracts a field of 12. The KTB Fit scores point to a clear top end with Miss Kingston heading the numbers on 60, followed by Graceful Glance, Bath Taverness, Saxons Pride and West Hill Rosie, while the remainder sit in the low-to-mid 40s and below. Official ratings and recent form suggest the principals hold the key, though several runners remain unproven on the surface and at the trip.
How the race shapes up
A genuinely-run race is expected with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, creating a fair test. Miss Kingston tends to make the running or race prominently, while Graceful Glance is usually on or close to the pace and Tangled Webb also races handily. The remainder are largely mid-division or held-up runners, so the key question is whether the pace holds up or if the prominent types can dictate matters from the front.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Miss Kingston KTB Selection60/100
Miss Kingston is a smart performer on official ratings with an official rating of 114 and a solid recent record that includes a win and two placed efforts from her last four starts. She drops back in trip today having won at this distance earlier in her career, though she has never raced on good to firm ground. The yard's 11% strike rate at Hereford is in line with their record elsewhere. As a front-runner she tends to make the running or race on the pace, which should suit the expected shape of the race. Trainer Alastair Ralph and jockey Jonathan Burke combine with a 27/222 (12%) record and she comes into this dropping in class.
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2Graceful Glance54/100
Graceful Glance has shown consistent placed form in her three starts, finishing second twice including at today's trip. The yard's 21% strike rate at Hereford is in line with their record elsewhere. With only three career runs and low data confidence, her overall level remains hard to pin down. She usually races handily on or close to the lead, which should see her involved in the expected prominent battle up front. Trainer Mrs Jane Williams and jockey Ciaran Gethings have a 25/198 (13%) record together and she arrives unproven on good to firm ground.
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3Bath Taverness53/100
Bath Taverness showed a bit of promise when winning a bumper on good to firm ground but has struggled since, pulling up or finishing well beaten in both subsequent starts. She has a 1 win from 2 runs on good to firm with 1 placed effort and is dropping in class. The drop back in trip is an unknown and the recent form leaves plenty to prove. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will need the race to fall her way if the prominent runners go hard. Trainer David Evans and jockey Robert Dunne have a 2/9 (22%) record together while the yard's 10% strike rate at Hereford is in line with their overall record.
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4Saxons Pride51/100
Saxons Pride has shown fair placed form at this trip on his three starts and returns from a break. The Alan King yard posts a 22% strike rate at Hereford from 277 runs, above their 15% at other tracks. With only three career runs the overall picture carries low confidence and he is unproven on good to firm ground. Typically settling in midfield, he will look to pick up the pieces if the race develops as expected with a strong pace up front. Trainer Alan King and jockey Tom Cannon have a 189/1369 (14%) record together.
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5West Hill Rosie45/100
West Hill Rosie has shown little in seven runs to date and arrives here off the back of a poor effort last time out. She is stepping up in class and the step up in trip is an unknown. The small overall sample means her ability remains hard to pin down. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will need to improve markedly. Half-sister to Global Skies (3 wins from 20 runs) with the dam having had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners. Trainer Seamus Mullins has no recorded runs at Hereford while jockey Benjamin Macey has an 11% strike rate at the track from 9 rides.
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6Auburn Avenue44/100
Auburn Avenue steps up markedly in trip today from a 1m run and that remains an unanswered question. He has shown ability on good to firm ground with one win and a placing from just two runs on the surface. Usually held up and producing effort late, he is stepping up in class. Trainer John & Rhys Flint have a 0% strike rate at Hereford from 4 runs.
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7Nuptown Girl44/100
Nuptown Girl has shown ability on good to firm ground with two wins and three places from five runs but steps up markedly in trip today from 1m2f. The move to 2m is an entirely fresh question and her career record of 18 starts without a Hereford run leaves her with plenty to prove. Usually held up, she is stepping up in class. Trainer Bernard Llewellyn has a 4% strike rate at Hereford from 237 runs which is below his 8% at other tracks.
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8Mysteriosa42/100
Mysteriosa has shown little in two starts so far and arrives with an official rating yet to be published. The half-sister to Listed winner Elektrix comes from a family that has produced winners but this lightly-raced 4-year-old has to improve markedly on what she has shown. Usually held up, she is stepping up in class and is unproven on good to firm ground. Trainer Katy Price has a 6% strike rate at Hereford from 79 runs which is in line with her record elsewhere.
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9Bonnie Lazarevic42/100
Bonnie Lazarevic has a single run behind her and showed little on debut. The dam has produced two non-winners so far and there is no other pedigree information to lean on. Usually settling in midfield, she is unproven on good to firm ground. Trainer Sheila Lewis has a 6% strike rate at Hereford from 145 runs which sits in line with her record elsewhere.
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10Thatsnotmyname41/100
Thatsnotmyname has shown little in three starts so far with recent form figures of 0-86. The half-sister to Perculator (3 wins from 22 runs) comes from a family that has produced three winners from seven runners but this one is lightly raced with a small sample. Usually held up, she is unproven on good to firm ground. Trainer Dan Horsford has a 0% strike rate at Hereford from 1 run.
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11Tangled Webb36/100
Tangled Webb has shown very little in three runs so far with two pulled-ups and a modest fifth on return. The half-sister to a Grade 3 winner brings some pedigree interest but the small sample means her ability remains hard to gauge. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, she has 1 run on good to firm with no win or place. Trainer Max Young is 0% from 25 runs at Hereford.
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12Lady of The Isles32/100
Lady of The Isles has shown little in 11 starts and was beaten a long way on her latest outing. The yard's 1% strike rate at Hereford from 103 runs is in line with their overall record while the filly herself is 0-7 on good to firm ground. Usually held up, she tries this trip for only the second time and arrives with plenty to prove.
KTB verdict
Miss Kingston stands out at the top of the KTB Fit scores and brings the strongest official rating along with the most convincing recent form. Her ability to make the running should be an asset in a race that looks set to be genuinely run, and the drop back in trip looks ideal given her earlier success at the distance. She is the selection. The main dangers are headed by Graceful Glance, whose consistent placed form and prominent running style could see her challenge up front, while Bath Taverness, Saxons Pride and West Hill Rosie are the other principals who could feature if the race develops in their favour.
KTB Selection Miss Kingston
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:17am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Miss Kingston | 8/15 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Graceful Glance | 10/3 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Bath Taverness | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Saxons Pride | 9/2 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| West Hill Rosie | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Auburn Avenue | 20/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Nuptown Girl | 18/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Mysteriosa | 50/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Bonnie Lazarevic | 66/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Thatsnotmyname | 80/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Tangled Webb | 100/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Lady of The Isles | 125/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:27 Hereford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Hereford racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Hereford results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Hereford racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on good to firm among the leading contenders?
Miss Kingston, Graceful Glance and Saxons Pride have no runs on good to firm.
How does the trainer of Miss Kingston perform at Hereford?
Alastair Ralph has an 11% strike rate at Hereford from 134 runs, in line with their record elsewhere.
What is the run-style of the top two in the KTB Fit scores?
Miss Kingston is a front-runner while Graceful Glance is usually prominent, on or close to the lead.
Which runner brings the strongest course trainer record among the principals?
Saxons Pride, with Alan King recording a 22% strike rate at Hereford from 277 runs.
What family note is attached to West Hill Rosie?
Half-sister to Global Skies (3 wins from 20 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.
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