5:00 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 3 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 7f36y on the standard surface at Wolverhampton forms part of the afternoon's card and features a field of seven juveniles, several with placed form already to their names. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 54 and 46, indicating a race with little to choose between the principals on current ratings. Show Me Glory tops the KTB figures after two consistent efforts, while the likes of Ambience, Unfurled and State of America bring their own claims into a contest that looks open on paper.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence and no obvious front-runner, which should play to those able to race close to the pace. Several runners, including the selection and Constella, have prominent or handy run-styles and are likely to be ridden positively from their advantageous draws. The key question is whether those held up or in mid-division, such as Ambience and the debutants, can weave their way through in a race where the ability to secure a good early position could prove decisive.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Show Me Glory KTB Selection54/100
Show Me Glory has shown fair form in two starts to date, finishing third on debut then second last time out. A modest performer on official ratings with an OR of 73, she steps up to 7f for the first time having failed to win in one previous try at the trip. The Andrew Balding yard operates at a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton, in line with their record elsewhere, while Oisin Murphy records a 22% strike rate at the track from 651 rides. Prominent in her run-style, she usually races handily on or close to the lead. She is unproven on standard going and has no course form on record. The family line shows the dam has had one other runner, not a winner. Stepping up in class, she remains the KTB selection.
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2Ambience49/100
Ambience has placed second on debut over course and distance then improved to finish runner-up again at Kempton last time. Lightly-raced with only two runs, she carries an element of caution despite the placed efforts. The Kevin Philippart de Foy yard has a 20% strike rate here from 210 runs which is above their record at other tracks, and this looks a suitable track and trip. Held up in her run-style, she usually produces her effort late. She has been placed once from one run on standard going and has course form of one second. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 16% strike rate from 197 runs together.
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3Unfurled48/100
Unfurled is a newcomer from the Simon Crisford yard who has a 23% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 121 runs, in line with their overall figure. The dam has produced just one previous runner that failed to win, giving limited pedigree clues. Harry Davies takes the ride on this debutant with low data confidence overall. By Starspangledbanner, who has an 11% overall win rate from 8452 runners. No course win on record. The family line shows the dam has had one other runner, not a winner.
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4State of America47/100
State of America showed little on debut over 6f and now steps up in trip to 7f as a fresh question. The Ollie Sangster yard records a 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 129 runs which sits in line with their 13% elsewhere. Data confidence remains low given the small sample and limited racecourse evidence. Typically settles in midfield in her run-style though with limited evidence. Half-sister to Reprised who won once from eight runs, while the dam has had three other runners with two winners. Stepping up in class and unproven on standard going with no course form.
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5Constella47/100
Constella showed fair form when finishing fourth on her only start so far. She is a half-sister to useful performer Twilight Calls and the dam has produced two winners from four runners. Dropping in class, she is unproven on standard going with no course form. Prominent in her run-style though with limited evidence.
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6Kissamee47/100
Kissamee showed little on her 6f debut and now steps up in trip for a yard with a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 33 runs, in line with their record elsewhere. The half-sister to Maywake is lightly raced with only one run on record, so the small sample makes any firm conclusions risky. Data confidence is low and this remains very much an unknown quantity. Held up in her run-style.
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7Cartography46/100
Cartography showed fair form when third on debut over 6f. He now steps up to 7f for the first time which asks a fresh question, while his dam has had two other runners without producing a winner. The trainer has a 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 36 runs, in line with their record elsewhere. Stepping up in class.
KTB verdict
Show Me Glory is the KTB Selection. She has posted two solid placed efforts already and her prominent run-style looks well suited to the muddling, tactical pace shape expected here. The Balding-Murphy combination brings strong track figures and she has the best of the KTB Fit Scores. Main dangers are headed by Ambience, who has shown consistent placed form over course and distance, and the debutant Unfurled from a yard that fares well at Wolverhampton. State of America and the remainder of the field add depth but look to have a bit to find on the numbers.
KTB Selection Show Me Glory
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:02am, 27 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Show Me Glory | 6/4 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Ambience | 7/4 | Bet365, 12:02am |
| Unfurled | 11/2 | BetTom, 12:02am |
| State of America | 14/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Constella | 7/1 | William Hill, 12:02am |
| Kissamee | 70/1 | 7Bet, 12:02am |
| Cartography | 20/1 | BetTom, 12:02am |
This is the narrative read of the 5:00 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course and distance experience?
Ambience has placed second on debut over course and distance.
What is the KTB Selection's official rating?
Show Me Glory has an OR of 73.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Wolverhampton in this field?
Simon Crisford has a 23% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 121 runs.
How many previous winners has the dam of Constella produced?
The dam of Constella has produced two winners from four runners.
Which runners are stepping up in class?
Show Me Glory, State of America, Kissamee and Cartography are all stepping up in class.
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