What is Simon Crisford's strike rate?

Simon Crisford has won 233 of 1,198 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Simon Crisford do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 34 runners (29.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Simon Crisford?

Robert Havlin, with 152 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (17.1%).

What is Simon Crisford's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,187 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Simon Crisford

1,198 runners in the lifetime window · 235 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2020 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

233–1,198

Wins / Runs

19.4%

Strike rate

n=1,198

539 (45%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,187 · 0.92 incl. margin

−21.38

£1 level stake

n=1,198 at SP · −1.8%

£3.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

30%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 23% off breaks of two months or more (189 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,198 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Sep Fresh horses: 23.3% 37.8% when favourite Robert Havlin: 17.1% from 152 Sent off the favourite in 23% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (29.4%, n=34), clear of the yard's 19.4% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (8.2% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=189, Fair A/E 1.29), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 11.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.73). Robert Havlin rode 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (17.1% vs 19.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (29.8%, n=47). 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2018, £100,885). The stable star of the record was Century Dream (IRE) — 7 wins from 19 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 19.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

23.3%+3.9

n=189 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +47.79

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.8%−3.6

n=19 · A/E 0.78 · £1 +7.18

Debutants · first career start

13%−6.4

n=216 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +54.71

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.8%−4.6

n=88 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +58.73

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%−8.3

n=9 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −5.50

When favourite

37.8%

n=278 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −14.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.7%−7.7

n=60 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −18.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.3%−4.1

n=98 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −21.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harry Bentley 5.3% vs 19.4% · n=38

With James Doyle 32.3% vs 19.4% · n=31

At Newmarket 8.2% vs 19.4% · n=49

With Silvestre De Sousa 27.7% vs 19.4% · n=137

Over 1m5f – 2m 29.8% vs 19.4% · n=47

At Southwell (AW) 29.4% vs 19.4% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 524 113 21.6% +27.12

Good to Firm 262 51 19.5% −13.32

Good 191 32 16.8% −67.46

Good to Soft 126 21 16.7% +60.13

Soft 69 13 18.8% −17.08

Heavy 17 2 11.8% −3.50

Firm 9 1 11.1% −7.27

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford (AW) 126 25 19.8% +18.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 121 28 23.1% −9.20

Lingfield (AW) 95 21 22.1% −17.09

Kempton (AW) 95 20 21.1% +38.38

Newcastle (AW) 50 8 16% −22.46

Newmarket 49 4 8.2% −33.74

Ascot 45 5 11.1% −18.63

Nottingham 44 10 22.7% +2.56

Doncaster 41 9 22% −6.75

Windsor 41 6 14.6% +84.00

Goodwood 39 4 10.3% −12.40

Newmarket 39 6 15.4% −12.08

Sandown 37 7 18.9% −3.75

Southwell (AW) 34 10 29.4% +15.56

Newbury 28 4 14.3% −13.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 465 99 21.3% +37.70

Class 4 324 70 21.6% +0.67

Class 3 147 21 14.3% −33.80

Class 2 129 19 14.7% −14.59

Class 1 98 15 15.3% −21.99

Class 6 30 6 20% −3.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 304 109 35.9% 1.04 −25.88

2nd–3rd fav 446 81 18.2% 1.03 −61.70

4th–6th fav 329 40 12.2% 1.41 +67.20

7th+ in betting 119 3 2.5% 0.66 −1.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mutawathea (GB)from Richard Hannon 25 3 10 12 May 18

First Selection (SPA) 20 4 7 17 Nov 18

Century Dream (IRE)then Simon & Ed Crisford 19 7 11 28 Nov 19

Mordin (IRE) 16 4 11 28 Sep 19

Celebration Day (IRE) 15 4 8 2 May 18

Shamsaya (IRE) 15 3 6 19 Jan 18

Archetype (FR) 14 5 9 11 Oct 18

Maakaasib (GB) 14 3 6 4 Sep 18

Discreet Hero (IRE)from Alan McCabe · then Noel Wilson 13 3 5 28 Aug 17

Visionara (GB)then Miss Amanda Mooney 12 1 3 20 Jan 20

Maybe Today (GB)then Simon & Ed Crisford 12 3 8 5 Oct 19

Saroog (GB) 12 4 8 13 Sep 19

The 60 most-raced of 235 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Simon & Ed Crisford (6); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

27833141517212322172019

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

13% of all rides
17.1% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 152 26 17.1% −27.82

Silvestre De Sousa 137 38 27.7% +21.73

Jack Mitchell 128 28 21.9% −22.66

Andrea Atzeni 81 13 16% −18.89

Jim Crowley 56 12 21.4% +3.55

Graham Lee 46 13 28.3% +23.83

Oisin Murphy 46 9 19.6% +1.82

Harry Bentley 38 2 5.3% −13.00

Dane O'Neill 36 7 19.4% +20.66

James Doyle 31 10 32.3% +6.75

Paul Hanagan 31 6 19.4% −6.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

233

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.24m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 74 wins

Ostilio (GB) — Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2018 · Group 2

£100,885

Ostilio (GB) — Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2018 · Class 2

£74,700

A'Ali (IRE) — Darley Prix Robert Papin (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2019 · Group 2

£66,757

Notable horses

Century Dream (IRE) Archetype (FR) Gang Warfare (GB) Rodaini (USA) First Selection (SPA) Mordin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 22.2% · 20–90

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Cape Cross (IRE) 27.3% · 18–66

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Dubawi (IRE) 22.4% · 11–49

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,918 runs since 2008 (1,517 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Teofilo (IRE) 17.1% · 7–41

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,062 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 624.

Shamardal (USA) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,198 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,198 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2015 to 13 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Luncies (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 5/1

07 Mar 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Rock Of Diamonds (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 6/5F

04 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

04 Mar 20 Lingfield (AW) Corvair (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 6/4F

29 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Rogue Tide (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Betway Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

29 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Double Kodiac (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 2/1

27 Feb 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Key Look (IRE)J: Franny Norton tote.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/2

19 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Al Badr (GB)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 4th 5/2

16 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Rogue Tide (GB)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Feb 20 Newcastle (AW) Defence Girl (USA)J: P J McDonald Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/8

14 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Rock Of Diamonds (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Feb 20 Lingfield (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 7/4F

01 Feb 20 Kempton (AW) Key Look (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell 32Red On The App Store Fillies' Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 3rd 11/4F

30 Jan 20 Southwell (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Football Acca Boosty HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 4 ran 1st 6/4F

20 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Corvair (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 4 ran 1st 1/3F

20 Jan 20 Kempton (AW) Visionara (GB)J: Callum Shepherd EBF Stallions Breeding Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 10/3

14 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Karisoke (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Irish Lotto At Totesport.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/2

11 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Visionara (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Bet toteexacta At totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

11 Jan 20 Lingfield (AW) Red Mist (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Bombardier Golden Beer HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 5/4F

06 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Will To Win (GER)J: Jack Mitchell Betway Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Crisford's strike rate?: Simon Crisford has won 233 of 1,198 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 19.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Simon Crisford do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 34 runners (29.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Simon Crisford?: Robert Havlin, with 152 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (17.1%).
What is Simon Crisford's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,187 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.