3:40 Worcester
This Class 5 novices' handicap hurdle over 2m7f at Worcester on good to soft ground brings together nine runners, most of whom are dropping in class. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Theatre Tom just heading the list on 61, followed closely by Herbygoesbananas on 60 and then Warrioress and Katie's Melody both on 56. Official ratings range from 103 down to 80, and with no standout standout on figures the race looks competitive and open.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence and no obvious front-runner. Several runners, including Katie's Melody from a prominent style and Theatre Tom and Herbygoesbananas from midfield, should be able to take up positions close to the pace. This setup is likely to favour those who can settle comfortably and produce their effort at the right time rather than those forced to make the running. The key question is which horse can best handle the step up in trip while negotiating a tactical race.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Theatre Tom KTB Selection61/100
Theatre Tom is a useful performer on his best days and arrives with a solid official rating of 102. He has shown little at Worcester in two previous runs and steps up in trip today to a distance he has never tried. The half-brother to Theatre Man represents Olly Murphy and Sean Bowen, who both operate at a 22-23% strike rate here which sits in line with their records elsewhere. He is dropping in class having been placed once from two runs on good to soft. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well placed in a tactical affair. Recent form reads 757/4F.
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2Herbygoesbananas60/100
Herbygoesbananas is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts. He has already run over today's trip without success and steps up in distance again from 2m3½f, while his sole visit to Worcester produced a modest fourth. The yard and jockey both operate at their normal level here with 17% and 13% strike rates respectively. He is dropping in class and has recorded one win from five starts on good to soft with two further placed efforts. Typically settling in midfield, he should find a good spot in this muddling race. Recent form reads 63-349.
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3Warrioress56/100
Warrioress is a fair mare with only three career runs behind her and recent form of 2/P95-. She steps up in trip today to 2m7f having last run over 2m4½f so this distance is a fresh question. Half-sister to Capuccimix, she is dropping in class. The trainer has a 16% strike rate at Worcester from 130 runs which is above their 9% elsewhere while the jockey records an 18% strike rate here from 238 rides which is also above his 12% at other tracks. Usually held up, she will be produced late. She has had one run on good to soft without placing and has no previous course form.
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4Katie's Melody56/100
Katie's Melody is a useful performer on official ratings who has shown consistent placed form at this trip without winning. She has been competitive on good to soft ground in two of three runs and now tries first-time headgear after a recent poor effort. The yard has a 9% strike rate at Worcester from 11 runs. Usually racing prominently, she should be on or close to the lead in a race lacking an obvious front-runner. Recent form reads 5342-P and she is dropping in class with an official rating of 103.
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5Rest Is The Best49/100
Rest Is The Best is a fair performer on his official rating of 82 and has shown steady placed form at a lower level. He steps up in trip to 2m7f today having never tried beyond 2m4f so it is a fresh question. Half-sister to Listed winner A Genie In Abottle, he is unproven on good to soft and has no course form. The yard records a 4% strike rate at Worcester from 23 runs while James Best is 5% from 303 rides here.
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6I Love You Sivola47/100
I Love You Sivola is a fair performer who won a handicap at Ffos Las last month after a spell out of form. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous attempts at this distance and has never placed on good to soft ground in five tries. The yard holds a 9% strike rate at Worcester from 22 runs while the jockey is operating at 22% from 18 rides here. Recent form reads 69P-1D.
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7Locked Down Lad44/100
Locked Down Lad is a fair performer who has been placed three times from five runs at Worcester without winning. He has shown some competitiveness on good to soft ground but arrives in modest recent form. The step up to this trip is an unknown and both trainer and jockey have modest records at the track. Recent form reads 68P-64.
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8Eskimo Sam44/100
Eskimo Sam is a fair performer who showed some encouragement when second on his latest start after a break. He steps up in trip today to 2m7f which is an unknown for him. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Worcester from 187 runs in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey records a 6% strike rate at the track from 139 rides in line with his record at other courses. Recent form reads 8/56-2.
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9Dexperado39/100
Dexperado is a fair performer on his day but arrives with modest recent form of 7556/P and has failed to win in 11 starts. He drops back slightly in trip with first-time headgear on, having been placed once from eight runs on good to soft. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Worcester. Recent form reads 7556/P.
KTB verdict
Theatre Tom is the KTB Selection. A useful performer on his best days with a solid official rating of 102, he drops in class and has the assistance of the Murphy-Bowen combination who both strike at 22-23% at Worcester. While he has shown little in two previous runs here and steps into unknown territory trip-wise, his ability sets the standard. Herbygoesbananas looks the most obvious danger having shown consistent placed form this year, while Warrioress and Katie's Melody, the latter now in first-time headgear and prominent, could improve on the step up in trip in a muddling race.
KTB Selection Theatre Tom
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:03am, 1 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Theatre Tom | 7/4 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Herbygoesbananas | 8/1 | BoyleSports, 12:03am |
| Warrioress | 8/1 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Katie's Melody | 17/2 | William Hill, 12:03am |
| Rest Is The Best | 16/1 | William Hill, 12:03am |
| I Love You Sivola | 3/1 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Locked Down Lad | 10/1 | BetTom, 12:03am |
| Eskimo Sam | 11/1 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Dexperado | 33/1 | William Hill, 12:03am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:40 Worcester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Worcester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Worcester results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Worcester racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time today?
Theatre Tom is stepping up in trip today to a distance he has never tried.
Who is wearing first-time headgear in this race?
Katie's Melody and Dexperado are both wearing first-time headgear.
Which runners have course form at Worcester?
Theatre Tom has run twice here (F, 4th), Herbygoesbananas has run once (4th), and Locked Down Lad has run five times here (4th, 6th, 3rd, 2nd, 4th).
How many runners are dropping in class?
Theatre Tom, Herbygoesbananas, Warrioress and Katie's Melody are all dropping in class.
Which horse has the strongest recent placed form at today's trip?
Katie's Melody has shown consistent placed form at this trip without winning.
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