3:00 Plumpton
This Class 3 GBB Handicap Chase at Plumpton over 3m1f157y on good ground brings together a compact but competitive field of six where the KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top. Four principals sit between 56 and 69, underlining the depth on paper, while the race features several course winners and runners stepping up or dropping in trip. Overall the numbers point to a genuine test where proven course form and stamina will be at a premium.
How the race shapes up
With a genuinely-run pace shape of high confidence, Tommie Beau is likely to take them along from the front while being pressed by prominent racers Jubilant and Lord Accord. Ile de Jersey and Rickety Bridge should settle in midfield, with Alien Storm held up to produce his effort late. The key question is whether the early pressure will leave enough in reserve for the prominent types or allow the hold-up performers to close with authority over this stamina-testing trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Alien Storm69/100
Alien Storm arrives with a KTB Fit Score of 69 and is a high-class performer boasting a solid career record. He has won four times from nine starts at Plumpton and showed useful form when second on his penultimate start before a fall and a modest ninth last time out. Stepping up to this new trip today asks a fresh question of him. The trainer holds an 18% strike rate at the track from 157 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while the jockey has a 15% strike rate at Plumpton from 91 rides. He usually races held up and produces his effort late, which should suit if the race is run at a strong gallop. Dropping in class looks a positive.
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2Jubilant KTB Selection69/100
Jubilant is the KTB Selection and carries a Fit Score of 69. He is high-class on the figures and brings strong course connections, having won two of his three starts here. He steps up in trip today having won both previous attempts at this distance, though his recent form has been mixed with a pulled-up effort before two placed runs. The yard records a 28% strike rate at Plumpton from 50 runs, in line with their record elsewhere. He usually races prominently, on or close to the lead, which should see him involved in the early battle. With four wins from 13 starts on good ground he handles the conditions well and his course record makes him a major player.
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3Ile de Jersey68/100
Ile de Jersey earns a KTB Fit Score of 68 and is a high-class performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins and a third from his last four completed starts. He steps up in trip today having won at this distance on his only previous attempt and has four wins from 15 starts on good ground. The trainer posts a 31% strike rate at Plumpton from 262 runs, while the jockey has a 20% strike rate from 75 rides at the track. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well placed to launch a challenge if the race develops as expected. Dropping in class is another point in his favour and he remains a live contender.
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4Tommie Beau56/100
Tommie Beau is rated with a KTB Fit Score of 56 and is a high-class performer who has won two of his five starts at Plumpton. He drops back in trip today having last run over 3m5f yet boasts a solid record at this distance with seven wins from 16 attempts. On good ground he has shown consistent ability with seven wins and 11 places from 23 runs. The trainer's record at the track is too small a sample to judge from one run, and the jockey is still seeking a first Plumpton winner from five rides. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is sure to set a strong gallop in a genuinely-run race.
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5Lord Accord55/100
Lord Accord is a high-class performer on his day with a solid career record and an official rating of 123. He steps up in trip today having already won at this distance, and his record shows six wins from 22 starts on good ground. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Plumpton from 304 runs, in line with his overall figure, while the jockey has a 10% strike rate from 100 rides at the track. Usually racing handily, on or close to the lead, he should be involved in the early pace.
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6Rickety Bridge55/100
Rickety Bridge is a high-class performer with a strong recent record of three wins from his last four starts. He is three from three at today's trip and has won three times from six runs on good ground. The yard's 28% strike rate at Plumpton is above their overall figure though he was only fourth on his sole visit here. Typically settling in midfield, he will look to come into the race as it develops.
KTB verdict
The KTB Selection is Jubilant. He brings the strongest combination of high-class figures, proven course form having won two of three starts at Plumpton, and a perfect record at this trip from two previous attempts. His prominent run-style should allow him to track the early pace set by Tommie Beau before asserting. The main dangers are Alien Storm, who boasts four wins from nine starts at the track and should relish a strong gallop from the rear, and Ile de Jersey, whose solid recent record and trainer's excellent 31% strike rate at Plumpton make him a serious threat if he stays. Tommie Beau is likely to ensure the race is truly run and cannot be ruled out on his course record.
KTB Selection Jubilant
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:12am, 2 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Alien Storm | 4/1 | BoyleSports, 12:09am |
| Jubilant | 2/1 | Midnite, 12:06am |
| Ile de Jersey | 15/2 | Dragon Bet, 12:12am |
| Tommie Beau | 5/1 | Midnite, 12:06am |
| Lord Accord | 17/2 | Midnite, 12:06am |
| Rickety Bridge | 9/4 | Midnite, 12:06am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:00 Plumpton. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Plumpton racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Plumpton results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Plumpton racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Plumpton?
Alien Storm has won four times from nine starts at Plumpton.
Who is most likely to set the early pace?
Tommie Beau tends to make the running or race on the pace in a genuinely-run race.
Which runners have previous winning form at this trip?
Jubilant has won both previous attempts at this distance, Ile de Jersey has won at this distance on his only previous attempt, Lord Accord has already won at this distance, and Rickety Bridge is three from three at today's trip.
What does the trainer of the selection record at Plumpton?
James Owen records a 28% strike rate at Plumpton from 50 runs, in line with their record elsewhere.
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time today?
Alien Storm is stepping up to this new trip today.
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