Horse profile
Absurde (FR)
by Fastnet Rock (AUS) out of Incroyable (USA) (Singspiel)
27 runs · 16 courses · from Nov 2020
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
6 wins · 6 courses
Ran 20 days ago · 25th of 30
Last raced off OR 107
KTB Profile
Absurde won six of 27 starts including the Listed Virgin Bet Chester Stakes at Chester in Aug 2024. He also landed Class 1 handicaps at Cheltenham on heavy ground in Mar 2024 and at Plumpton in Apr 2025 as well as a Class 2 handicap at York on good to firm in Aug 2023. All six wins have come on turf from distances between 1m2f and 2m4f. He last ran at Curragh in Sep 2026 when he finished 25 of 30 off an official rating of 107.
Based on 27 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on turf
OR ↓ 48lb off peak
- 6–27Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 14 (51.9%)Placed
- +6.34£1 level staken=27 at SP
- 1.03Fair A/E n=27 · 0.88 incl. margin
- 155Highest OR
- 82dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating107↓ 48lb off peak
107
101–155
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 147
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 103A | 88 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 103C | 96 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 103A | 89 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 96C | 96 | 3 · 96 / 96 |
| Good | 2 | 147A | 139.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 132A | 82.5 | 1 · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 147A | 96 | 2 · 96 / 96 |
Of 18 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 18 runs · as at 5 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Held up 4 (100%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Fastnet Rock (AUS)
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,477 runs since Jan 2008 (556 horses).
Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 210.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | −5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 676 | 87 | 12.9% | +0.8 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 1,215 | 148 | 12.2% | +0.1 | 4 from 11 |
| Good to Soft | 572 | 76 | 13.3% | +1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,009 | 97 | 9.6% | −2.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 319 | 37 | 11.6% | −0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,671 | 217 | 13% | +0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 108 | 15 | 13.9% | +1.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,097 | 126 | 11.5% | −0.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,483 | 173 | 11.7% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,863 | 242 | 13% | +0.9 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 673 | 88 | 13.1% | +1 | 3 from 13 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 210 | 19 | 9% | −3.1 | 2 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | −9.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Incroyable (USA) (Singspiel)
6 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Bay Of Brilliance (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 1m1f–2m2f; the highest grade won is Listed (Chimichuri (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay Of Brilliance (GB) | 7 | 2 | 1m1f–1m2f | Class 2 |
| Creative (FR) | 41 | 2 | 1m1f–1m2½f | — |
| Feerique (IRE) | 2 | 2 | 1m1½f–1m4f | — |
| Silver Chamber (GB) | 9 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 4 |
| Impertinente (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 1m2½f | — |
| Chimichuri (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 2m2f | Listed |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 4 | 36% | +1.34 |
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +10.50 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +8.25 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly (FR) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Chester | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Plumpton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.29 |
| Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.30 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 3 | 23% | +1.75 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 2 | 40% | +9.29 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.70 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Guyon | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.70 |
| Harry Cobden | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Paul Townend | 3 | 2 | 67% | +11.29 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.50 |
| Danny Mullins | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Frankie Dettori | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Daniel King | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hayes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tony Piccone | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Arthur Mosse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adrien Moreau | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mlle Crystal Miette | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| 2024 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +12.50 |
| 2023 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +4.29 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.70 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 17 | 3 | 18% | −1.20 |
| Hurdle | 10 | 3 | 30% | +7.54 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 26+149d | Curragh (IRE) | Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch Held up towards the back - made no impression through the race - found little in the closing stages - well beaten in the end | 25/30 | 20 | 10-0 | 107 | 54C | 93C | Daniel King | 66/1 |
| 01 May 26+26d | Punchestown | Boodles Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) Settled in the pack early - fourth at halfway - driven approaching three out then found nothing more and dropped away late | 7/7 | 8½ | 11-12 | 151 | 96C | 121C | Harry Cobden | 40/1 |
| 05 Apr 26+23d | Cork | BAR 1 Betting Hurdle Settled in the pack early - untidy over the first obstacle - up to 4th by halfway - into 3rd approaching three out and eased left before the following fence - pushed along to move into 2nd but hit the last - unable to find more on the run-in finishing 2nd | 2/7 | 3¼ | 11-2 | 153 | 96A | 138B | Harry Cobden | 5/6F |
| 13 Mar 26+209d | Cheltenham | William Hill County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - stumbled at the opening obstacle while up with the front group - driven approaching the final fence - faded quickly after and beaten a long way | 20/23 | 15 | 11-13 | 155 | 66C | 128C | Mr P W Mullins | 16/1 |
| 16 Aug 25+63d | Curragh | Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes (Group 3) Sat behind the pacesetter early - still in second at halfway - urged forward with three furlongs left - slipped to third with a furlong to run and stayed on without finding more | 3/4 | 2½ | 9-9 | 108 | 85C | 88B | Shane Foley | 2/1 |
| 14 Jun 25+37d | York | Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed) Settled just behind the leader early pulling hard - moved up to dispute the lead with two furlongs left - pushed along a furlong out but unable to gain further ground - held for second beaten 4.5 lengths | 2/4 | 4½ | 9-2 | 109 | 89C | 95B | Daniel Tudhope | EvensF |
| 08 May 25+18d | Chester | Ladbrokes Big-Value You Can Bet On Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Tracked the pace on the inside - short of room approaching 3f out - moved up to challenge before drifting left inside the last then pressed for the drive against the rail - handed back second close home | 3/6 | ½ | 9-2 | 110 | 98A | 93B | William Buick | 15/8 |
| 20 Apr 25+37d | Plumpton | BetGoodwin Sussex Champion Hurdle Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled towards the back of the pack early - crept through on the outside approaching 3 out - travelling comfortably behind the front group into the home turn - hit the front 2 out - roused out approaching the last - pulled away on the run-in to score | 1/11 | 11-11 | 148 | 147A | 163A | Harry Cobden | 9/4F | |
| 14 Mar 25+195d | Cheltenham | William Hill County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Fought for control early - settled in the pack - moved up to press the front group after two out - into third near the final fence and stayed on at one speed to finish third | 3/16 | 1½ | 11-8 | 146 | 87B | 146A | Danny Mullins | 5/1 |
| 31 Aug 24+14d | Chester | Virgin Bet Chester Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack early - moving up strongly with a furlong and a half left - pushed to the front inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to win | 1/7 | 9-8 | 109 | 103A | 97A | Daniel Tudhope | 5/2 | |
| 17 Aug 24+155d | Curragh | Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes (Group 3) Up with the front group in a steady-paced 4th - well adrift 4f out - moved into 2nd 3f out before soon under pressure - fell back to a distant 4th over 1f out and made no headway | 4/5 | 6 | 9-9 | 110 | 81C | 83C | Colin Keane | 11/4 |
| 15 Mar 24+40d | Cheltenham | BetMGM County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) | 1/17 | 10-10 | 138 | 78B | 144A | Paul Townend | 12/1 | |
| 04 Feb 24+39d | Leopardstown | Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) | 4/10 | 3¼ | 11-12 | — | — | 142A | Brian Hayes | 33/1 |
| 27 Dec 23+123d | Leopardstown | Paddy Power Future Champions Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) | PU/9 | — | 11-12 | — | — | — | Danny Mullins | 14/1 |
| 26 Aug 23+25d | York | Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 1/22 | 9-7 | 104 | 103C | 100A | Frankie Dettori | 7/1 | |
| 01 Aug 23+42d | Galway | COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle (Listed) | 6/9 | 4 | 11-6 | — | — | 131A | Paul Townend | 4/6F |
| 20 Jun 23+36d | Ascot | Copper Horse Handicap | 2/16 | 7½ | 9-8 | 101 | 88C | 94A | Frankie Dettori | 5/1 |
| 15 May 23+337d | Killarney | Executive Helicopters Sliabh Luachra Novice Hurdle | 1/7 | 11-4 | — | 132A | 133B | Paul Townend | 2/7F | |
| 12 Jun 22+45d | Longchamp (FR) | La Coupe (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) | 7/9 | hd | 9-0 | — | — | — | Tony Piccone | 14/1 |
| 28 Apr 22+50d | Longchamp (FR) | Prix des Pavillons de Bercy (Conditions) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) | 2/6 | 1 | 8-9 | — | — | — | Arthur Mosse | 6/4 |
| 09 Mar 22+284d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Haras au Bois (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) | 3/7 | hd | 9-0 | — | — | — | Maxime Guyon | 12/5 |
| 29 May 21+25d | Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) | 165th Derby du Midi () (3yo) (Turf) | 2/7 | nk | 9-0 | — | — | — | Maxime Guyon | 17/10F |
| 04 May 21+28d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix de Suresnes () (3yo) (Turf) | 2/8 | ½ | 9-2 | — | — | — | Maxime Guyon | 42/10 |
| 06 Apr 21+21d | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix de Malidor (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) | 1/15 | 9-2 | — | — | — | Maxime Guyon | 33/10 | |
| 16 Mar 21+25d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix de l'Etang Chapon (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) | 2/15 | 1¼ | 9-3 | — | — | — | Maxime Guyon | 4/1 |
| 19 Feb 21+83d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Pic Hardi (Maiden) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) | 3/6 | ½ | 8-10 | — | — | — | Adrien Moreau | 5/2 |
| 28 Nov 20 | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Rond du Chene (Maiden) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) | 2/12 | 1½ | 8-9 | — | — | — | Mlle Crystal Miette | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Absurde (FR) won?
- Absurde (FR) won 6 of 27 archived starts between 2020 and 2026, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 14 times in total (51.9% of starts).
- Who trains Absurde (FR)?
- Absurde (FR) is trained by W. P. Mullins, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 27 September 2026.
- Who is Absurde (FR)'s sire?
- Absurde (FR) is by Fastnet Rock (AUS) out of Incroyable (USA), whose sire is Singspiel.
- What going does Absurde (FR) prefer?
- Absurde (FR) has the best record on good going: 4 wins from 11 starts (36.4%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Absurde (FR)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 107, from the run on 27 September 2026. The highest on record is 155.
- What is Absurde (FR)'s sire's record?
- Fastnet Rock (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,477 runs since Jan 2008 (556 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 210.
- Who are Absurde (FR)'s siblings?
- Out of Incroyable (USA), Absurde (FR) has 6 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Bay Of Brilliance (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Listed (Chimichuri (IRE)). The wins came over 1m1f–2m2f. As at Oct 2026.