Horse profile
Arctic Dawn (GB)
by Blue Point (IRE) out of Rose Diamond (IRE) (Daylami)
24 runs · 14 courses · from Oct 2023
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
5 wins · 5 courses
Last run 3 Oct 2026 · 5th of 18
Last raced off OR 103
KTB Profile
Arctic Dawn is a gelding with five wins from 24 starts, all over 6f – 7f. He won a Class 2 handicap at Newmarket (July) on good to firm in Aug 2026 off a mark of 100 and a Class 3 handicap at Doncaster on good to firm in Jun 2026 off 91. He has also won twice on the all-weather. Ridden prominently, he finished fifth of 18 at Ascot in Oct 2026 on his last run, off an official rating of 103.
Based on 24 archived runs · run-style from 21 commented runs since Oct 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR at career high
- 5–24Wins / Runs
- 20.8%Strike rate
- 11 (45.8%)Placed
- +1.85£1 level staken=24 at SP
- 1.50Fair A/E n=24 · 1.23 incl. margin
- 103Highest OR
- 48dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating103At career-high mark
103
75–103
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 121
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 109A | 96 | 3 runs · 106 / 99 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 121A | 90.5 | 6 runs · 121 / 90.5 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 110C | 97 | 1 run · — |
| Good | 2 | 99A | 98 | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 2 | 108C | 86.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 21 | 121A | 96 | 10 runs · 121 / 96 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 109A | 108 | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 24 figures from 24 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 21 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 9 (43%) · 3 wins
- Mid-division 8 (38%) · 2 wins
- Held up 4 (19%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,403 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 17% from 336. Weakest on heavy going: 11% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.5% from 209.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
| Good to Firm | 627 | 87 | 13.9% | −0.1 | 2 from 6 |
| Good | 791 | 97 | 12.3% | −1.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 336 | 57 | 17% | +3 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 385 | 49 | 12.7% | −1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 109 | 12 | 11% | −3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,145 | 173 | 15.1% | +1.1 | 2 from 11 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 655 | 88 | 13.4% | −0.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,866 | 264 | 14.1% | +0.1 | 5 from 21 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 608 | 94 | 15.5% | +1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 209 | 22 | 10.5% | −3.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 45 | 5 | 11.1% | −2.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −3.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Rose Diamond (IRE) (Daylami)
7 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Night Sparkle (IRE) (5 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Night Sparkle (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Night Sparkle (IRE) | 20 | 5 | 1m5½f–2m | Class 3 |
| To Dibba (GB) | 9 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Real Smart (USA) | 6 | 1 | 1m2f | Class 5 |
| Dubrava (GB) | 8 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| One Idea (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Rich Identity (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Diamond Of Dubai (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 2 | 18% | +1.50 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 2 | 33% | +5.10 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.75 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Class 2 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.60 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.60 |
| Newmarket (July) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 21 | 5 | 24% | +4.85 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kingscote | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.50 |
| David Egan | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.75 |
| Billy Loughnane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Zac Lloyd | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.60 |
| Jack Mitchell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Edward Greatrex | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 16 | 5 | 31% | +9.85 |
| None | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +3.10 |
| 2025 | 11 | 3 | 27% | +3.75 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Oct 26+7d | Ascot | Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Prominent early - pushed along over 2f out - stayed on the heels of the front pair inside final furlong - weakened near finish to take 5th | 5/18 | 1 | 9-10 | 103 | 81C | 107A | Callum Shepherd | 28/1 |
| 26 Sep 26+37d | Newmarket | Hunt Family Fund Handicap Stakes Settled at the back - nudged into contention from 2f out - lost ground over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to finish 4th | 4/12 | ½ | 9-11 | 102 | 93A | 106A | Billy Loughnane | 11/2 |
| 20 Aug 26+12d | York | Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Settled in the pack - made progress 2f out - lost momentum inside final furlong - stayed on same speed to finish eighth | 8/14 | nk | 9-10 | 100 | 74C | 103A | Hector Crouch | 28/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+14d | Newmarket (July) | William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap Stakes Settled midpack early - urged forward two out - found extra with a furlong left - powered clear late to hit front right at the line | 1/10 | 10-0 | 100 | 116A | 108A | Hector Crouch | 11/2 | |
| 25 Jul 26+37d | Ascot | Moet & Chandon International Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Handy in the early stages and asked for effort with two furlongs left - kept on without finding extra in the final furlong | 6/16 | nk | 9-10 | 100 | 88C | 106A | Colin Keane | 28/1 |
| 18 Jun 26+12d | Ascot | Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) Settled up on the far flank early - tracked the front group - moved across to the left approaching the final furlong - lost ground soon after and finished well beaten | 24/28 | shd | 9-7 | 100 | 70C | 83A | Zac Lloyd | 40/1 |
| 06 Jun 26+21d | Doncaster | Summer Saturday Series At Doncaster Racecourse Handicap Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - travelled up with the pace group - pushed along with 2f remaining - hit the front approaching the final furlong - edged away inside the last - won easing down | 1/11 | 9-5 | 91 | 121A | 110A | Zac Lloyd | 18/5F | |
| 16 May 26+164d | Newmarket | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Settled towards the back - driven into contention with 2f left - urged on with 1f to go - in with a shout inside the final furlong - stayed on for third | 3/11 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 91 | 99A | 97A | Edward Greatrex | 16/1 |
| 2025 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Dec 25+28d | Lingfield (AW) | Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Settled in the pack - pushed along with a furlong left - stayed on inside the closing stages to finish 5th | 5/10 | hd | 9-11 | 92 | 106A | 94A | Rob Hornby | 8/1 |
| 05 Nov 25+9d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Settled early behind the pace - pushed along with 2f left - lost ground inside the final furlong - finished 8th beaten 3 lengths | 8/14 | 1 | 10-2 | 84 | 99B | 90A | Rob Hornby | 9/2F |
| 27 Oct 25+33d | Newcastle (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Handy early - hit front inside final two furlongs and driven out - powered away in the closing stages to score | 1/12 | 9-13 | 84 | 92A | 106A | Rob Hornby | 13/2 | |
| 24 Sep 25+19d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (Div 2) Raced towards the middle of the pack and wide - urged forward two furlongs out and found extra ground with a furlong left - stayed on inside but lacked the speed to get to the front - finished fifth beaten a length and a half | 5/11 | hd | 9-13 | 84 | 96A | 89A | David Egan | 9/2 |
| 05 Sep 25+29d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Sat handy on inner - pushed to front approaching final furlong - drew away and finished strongly | 1/12 | 9-3 | 79 | 106A | 95A | Jason Watson | 4/1 | |
| 07 Aug 25+14d | Chepstow | Racing League 18 Handicap Settled near the stands rail - tracked the front group - pushed along drifted left and lost place 2f out - finished 7th | 7/13 | ¾ | 9-12 | 80 | 110C | 90A | Richard Kingscote | 4/1J |
| 24 Jul 25+32d | Yarmouth | Racing League Race 3 Handicap (Trainers Registered to Racing League) Sluggish start - settled towards the back of the pack - made ground over 2f out - within range approaching the furlong pole - drifted left in the final furlong and found little more finished sixth | 6/13 | 1¼ | 9-12 | 80 | 108C | 88A | Richard Kingscote | 3/1F |
| 22 Jun 25+22d | Ffos Las | Trade Centre Wales Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Took a strong hold early - settled in the pack within range - asked for effort over 2f out and eased left to make progress - stayed on well inside the final furlong - got up in the closing strides to score | 1/11 | 10-2 | 77 | 97B | 103A | David Egan | 5/4F | |
| 31 May 25+16d | York | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Restricted for room early - settled just behind the pace fighting for control - pushed along and made progress after moving right approaching the final furlong - squeezed for space again - stayed on in the closing stages to finish fourth | 4/21 | nk | 9-6 | 77 | 97C | 102A | Hollie Doyle | 12/1 |
| 15 May 25+18d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Settled in the pack - asked for effort out wide two furlongs out - improved late but couldn't get on terms with the front group | 5/12 | ½ | 9-6 | 77 | 109A | 88A | Richard Kingscote | 9/4F |
| 27 Apr 25+164d | Southwell (AW) | Grace & Dotty Fedora's And Feathers Handicap Settled in the pack early - progress from 3f out - pushed into second inside final furlong - stayed on gamely to finish second by a short margin | 2/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 75 | 85B | 103A | Richard Kingscote | 5/1 |
| 2024 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Nov 24+19d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap Reluctant to begin - niggled into contention from the back - last entering the straight - made ground but drifted left and met interference inside the final furlong - not able to rally and finished 7th | 7/10 | ½ | 9-7 | 76 | 106A | 81A | Richard Kingscote | 2/1F |
| 26 Oct 24+231d | Doncaster | Thank You To Doncaster Annual Members Handicap (Div 2) Settled off the pace in the pack - improved wide of rivals approaching 2f out - into 3rd and drifted left inside final furlong - stayed on to finish 3rd behind the winner | 3/11 | ¾ | 9-11 | 77 | 65A | 96A | Billy Loughnane | 5/1 |
| 09 Mar 24+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 1 | 9-7 | — | 93A | 97A | Jack Mitchell | 6/4F |
| 18 Feb 24+137d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/8 | ½ | 9-1 | — | 84A | 77A | Jack Mitchell | 9/2 |
| 2023 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 23 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 8/12 | 1¼ | 9-7 | — | 54A | 65A | David Egan | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Arctic Dawn won?
- Arctic Dawn (GB) won 5 of 24 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 20.8%. Placed 11 times in total (45.8% of starts).
- Who trains Arctic Dawn?
- Arctic Dawn (GB) is trained by Daniel & Claire Kubler, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is Arctic Dawn's sire?
- Arctic Dawn (GB) is by Blue Point (IRE) out of Rose Diamond (IRE), whose sire is Daylami.
- What going does Arctic Dawn prefer?
- Arctic Dawn (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Arctic Dawn's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 3 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Arctic Dawn's sire's record?
- Blue Point (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,403 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 17% from 336. Weakest on heavy going: 11% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.5% from 209.
- Who are Arctic Dawn's siblings?
- Out of Rose Diamond (IRE), Arctic Dawn (GB) has 7 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Night Sparkle (IRE) (5). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Night Sparkle (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m. As at Oct 2026.