Believe Jack (FR)
Believe Jack won three of 23 starts all over 1m5f – 2m on turf. His wins came at Catterick in a Class 4 claiming hurdle on soft ground in Mar 2024 off 107, at Market Rasen in a Class 5 selling handicap hurdle on good to soft in Dec 2023 off 108, and at Hereford in a Class 4 novices hurdle on good in Nov 2021. The gelding, aged 8 at his last run in Aug 2025, finished held in a Class 5 handicap chase at Hexham off an official rating of 95, 25lb below his highest ever mark.
- 3–23Wins / Runs
- 13%Strike rate
- 7 (30.4%)Placed
- −4.75£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 1.54Fair A/E n=23 · 1.30 incl. margin
- 120Highest OR
- 86dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 134
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 125B | 100 | — |
| Good | 2 | 107A | 99 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 134A | 114 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 90C | 82.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 134A | 100 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 105C | 93 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 102C | 70 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 110C | 108.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 110C | 106 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 93C | 69 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 70A | 60.5 | — |
Of 23 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 18 figures from 23 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Prominent 3 (60%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (40%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,598 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 341 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 872 | 99 | 11.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | 1 from 7 |
| Soft | 694 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 1 from 6 |
| Heavy | 272 | 25 | 9.2% | −1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 979 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 846 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,048 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 786 | 94 | 12% | +0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 534 | 71 | 13.3% | +2.2 | 3 from 14 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 230 | 22 | 9.6% | −1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Bretesche (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.25 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.00 |
| Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +3.25 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ffos Las | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Gowran Park | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hereford | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Leicester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 14 | 3 | 21% | +4.25 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ewing | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Fergus Gregory | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Shane Fenelon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dylan Johnston | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lewis Stones | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| William Carson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Elizabeth Gale | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Tudor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nick Scholfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lewis Saunders | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| W J Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.25 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.50 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 12 | 3 | 25% | +6.25 |
| Flat | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Chase | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 25+38d | Hexham | At The Races App Market Movers Handicap Chase Held up in 4th early - slipped back to 5th before final loop - lost touch by 6th - fell away at the rear and pulled up | PU/7 | — | 10-13 | 95 | — | — | Shane Fenelon | 12/1 |
| 20 Jul 25+20d | Newton Abbot | Stephen Hayes 'Jagger' Memorial Handicap Chase Settled at back early - pushed along before 12th and well adrift heading to 2 out - kept going late to claim second far behind at the line | 2/7 | 36 | 11-9 | 100 | 91C | 103C | Shane Fenelon | 25/1 |
| 30 Jun 25+8d | Ffos Las | Swift Sprite Sprint At 3A's Handicap Tracked the front group early - pushed along and made progress inside the final 3f - lost momentum inside the last furlong - eventually well held in 6th | 6/8 | 3 | 9-2 | 57 | 107B | 60A | William Carson | 100/1 |
| 22 Jun 25+17d | Ffos Las | CK Foodstores Handicap Handy early before hitting the front approaching 2f gone - pushed along and lost command 3f out - dropped away steadily and finished well held | 6/6 | ¾ | 8-13 | 57 | 110C | 48C | Elizabeth Gale | 33/1 |
| 05 Jun 25+365d | Ffos Las | Subaru Forester Handicap Hurdle Tracked the front group - lost momentum after error three out - unable to close from there - finished a well-held fourth | 4/7 | 11 | 11-7 | 104 | 94C | 99A | Dylan Johnston | 28/1 |
| 05 Jun 24+53d | Newton Abbot | Don't Miss The Newton Abbot Country Show Handicap Hurdle | PU/11 | — | 10-11 | 107 | — | — | Jack Tudor | 80/1 |
| 13 Apr 24+38d | Chepstow | Best Odds Guaranteed With DragonBet Handicap Hurdle | PU/9 | — | 11-2 | 108 | — | — | Nick Scholfield | 22/1 |
| 06 Mar 24+10d | Catterick | Racing To School Claiming Hurdle | 1/6 | 11-4 | 107 | 125B | 125B | Lewis Stones | 13/2 | |
| 25 Feb 24+25d | Hereford | Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Handicap Hurdle | 5/7 | 2¾ | 11-13 | 109 | 75C | 103C | Fergus Gregory | 14/1 |
| 31 Jan 24+36d | Leicester | Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-Hire Wedding Venue Claiming Hurdle | 5/5 | 2¾ | 11-1 | 110 | 100C | 107B | Lewis Saunders | 9/2 |
| 26 Dec 23+36d | Market Rasen | Rand Farm Park Day Nursery Introduction Selling Handicap Hurdle | 1/7 | 11-9 | 108 | 134A | 137A | Fergus Gregory | 6/1 | |
| 20 Nov 23+11d | Leicester | Next Meeting At leicesterraces Sunday 3rd December Handicap Hurdle | 4/4 | 2¾ | 11-2 | 110 | 90C | 106B | Fergus Gregory | 8/1 |
| 09 Nov 23+662d | Newbury | Bet In Running On BetVictor Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle | PU/11 | — | 10-7 | 113 | — | — | Dylan Johnston | 50/1 |
| 16 Jan 22+76d | Kelso | William Hill Bookmakers Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 4/10 | 5½ | 10-12 | 120 | — | 105A | Lewis Stones | 5/2 |
| 01 Nov 21+160d | Hereford | Cazoo Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 1/9 | 10-12 | — | 107A | 127A | Aidan Coleman | 11/4 | |
| 25 May 21+10d | Tipperary | Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 2/17 | 1¾ | 11-8 | — | 75B | 125A | Denis O'Regan | 2/1F |
| 15 May 21+11d | Navan | Troytown Bar Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 8/15 | shd | 9-7 | 60 | 105C | 64C | Sam Ewing | 13/2 |
| 04 May 21+10d | Gowran Park | Racing Again At Gowran Park Tomorrow Handicap (45-70) | 3/18 | nk | 9-1 | 60 | 102C | 72A | Sam Ewing | 33/1 |
| 24 Apr 21+29d | Limerick | Racing Again On 27th May Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 13/14 | hd | 9-11 | 63 | 93C | 58A | Sam Ewing | 14/1 |
| 26 Mar 21+244d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65) | 8/14 | nk | 9-11 | 64 | 69B | 69A | Sam Ewing | 18/1 |
| 25 Jul 20+24d | Gowran Park | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction (C & G) Maiden | 15/15 | 1¼ | 9-7 | — | 51C | 58C | Oisin Orr | 66/1 |
| 01 Jul 20+12d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) | 7/7 | 9½ | 9-7 | — | 47C | 54C | W J Lee | 7/1 |
| 19 Jun 20 | Gowran Park | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden (Div 2) | 3/12 | 5 | 9-7 | — | 70A | 70A | Declan McDonogh | 17/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Believe Jack (FR) won?
- Believe Jack (FR) won 3 of 23 archived starts between 2020 and 2025, a strike rate of 13%. Placed 7 times in total (30.4% of starts).
- Who trained Believe Jack (FR)?
- Believe Jack (FR) was trained by Alison Thorpe on the most recent run on record, at Hexham on 27 August 2025.
- Who is Believe Jack (FR)'s sire?
- Believe Jack (FR) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Sandslide (GB), whose sire is King's Best.
- What going does Believe Jack (FR) prefer?
- Believe Jack (FR) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Believe Jack (FR)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 95, from the run on 27 August 2025. The highest on record is 120.
- What is Believe Jack (FR)'s sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,598 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Believe Jack (FR)'s siblings?
- Out of Sandslide (GB), Believe Jack (FR) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.