What is Alison Thorpe's strike rate?

Alison Thorpe has won 4 of 95 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alison Thorpe do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 runners (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Alison Thorpe's Fair A/E?

0.62, from 95 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alison Thorpe

95 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 350 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

4–95

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=95

19 (20%)

Placed

0.62

Fair A/E

n=95 · 0.53 incl. margin

+79.10

£1 level stake

n=95 at SP · +83.3%

£54,821

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%+0.8

n=20 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +81.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%+2.5

n=15 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +86.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.2

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.2

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+29.1

n=3 · A/E 13.57 · £1 +98.00

When favourite

12.5%

n=8 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −5.90

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.5%+1.3

n=55 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +117.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Hurdle races 1.5% vs 4.2% · n=66

With a new jockey booking 1.8% vs 4.2% · n=55

Off a 15-30-day break 6.7% vs 4.2% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 66 1 1.5% +1.00

Chase 14 2 14.3% +89.10

Flat 11 1 9.1% −7.00

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 50 2 4% +19.10

Good to Soft 21 0 0% −21.00

Heavy 10 2 20% +95.00

Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 35 2 5.7% +133.00

Newton Abbot 12 1 8.3% −9.90

Sedgefield 6 0 0% −6.00

Fakenham 6 0 0% −6.00

Bath 4 1 25% +0.00

Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00

Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00

Exeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00

Plumpton 2 0 0% −2.00

Hexham 2 0 0% −2.00

Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00

Taunton 2 0 0% −2.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 42 1 2.4% +59.00

Class 5 40 2 5% +29.10

Class 6 10 1 10% −6.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 1 11.1% 0.37 −6.90

2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.69 −6.00

4th–6th fav 36 0 0% 0.00 −36.00

7th+ in betting 40 2 5% 2.83 +128.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

72.5% completed · 80 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 14 71.4% 1 0 3 0 0

Hurdle 66 72.7% 2 2 14 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Limerick Leader (FR)from Olly Murphy · then Nick Scholfield 10 1 7 4 Sep 25

Jack's Jury (IRE)then John & Rhys Flint 9 0 2 23 Sep 25

Bobby Dassler (IRE)from Michael Wigham · then Barry John Murphy 8 1 5 20 Oct 25

The Wire Flyer (GB)from Christian Williams 8 1 1 22 May 25

Yanka Blue (IRE)then John & Rhys Flint 7 0 1 6 Nov 25

Prophet Squeeze (IRE)then Barry John Murphy 7 0 0 27 Aug 25

Peace Motivator (GB)from Olly Murphy · then Barry John Murphy 5 0 0 28 Oct 25

Silent Revolution (IRE)from Paul Nicholls · then Barry John Murphy 5 0 0 16 Oct 25

Believe Jack (FR)from Christian Williams 5 0 1 27 Aug 25

Presenting Nelly (GB)from Dan Skelton 5 0 0 6 May 25

Quickbuck (IRE)from J J Lambe 5 0 0 17 Apr 25

Karuma Grey (GER)from Christian Williams · then Debra Hamer 4 1 1 16 Apr 25

All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Christian Williams (3) and John & Rhys Flint (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry John Murphy (7) and Debra Hamer (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000017130006050

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Fenelon 29 1 3.4% +72.00

Elizabeth Gale 9 2 22.2% +62.00

James Bowen 9 1 11.1% −6.90

Ellis Collier 6 0 0% −6.00

Lorcan Williams 6 0 0% −6.00

Callum Pritchard 5 0 0% −5.00

Miss Imogen Mathias 5 0 0% −5.00

Robert Dunne 4 0 0% −4.00

Dougie Costello 4 0 0% −4.00

Jack Tudor 3 0 0% −3.00

Ben Jones 2 0 0% −2.00

Sean Bowen 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

159

Archived wins

£1.09m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Treaty Flyer (IRE) — Blue Square Prelude Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£25,048

Rushneeyriver (IRE) — Totepool Summer Festival Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Aug 2006 · Class 2

£24,892

Treaty Flyer (IRE) — rippleffect.com Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£13,010

Notable horses

Dishdasha (IRE) Treaty Flyer (IRE) Il Penseroso (IRE) Tabaran (FR) Maidstone Monument (IRE) Rampant Ronnie (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,221 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Joshua Tree (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11.9% of 832 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22% from 159. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 124.

Champs Elysees (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,119 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Awtaad (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,866 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.8% from 102. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.2% from 113.

Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,490 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,480 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,480 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 6 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Yanka Blue (IRE)J: Derek Fox Canine Premier Flex Plus Joint Supplement Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

03 Nov 25 Hereford I Am Spider Man (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Join The 2026 Hereford Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1

28 Oct 25 Ffos Las Clondaw Fame (IRE)J: James Bowen Country Land And Business Association Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 9/2

28 Oct 25 Ffos Las Peace Motivator (GB)J: Callum Pritchard DragonBet Supporting British Racing Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran PU 400/1

23 Oct 25 Fontwell Yanka Blue (IRE)J: Ben Jones BetGoodwin Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 16/1

20 Oct 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Elizabeth Gale CB Protection Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 3/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Chillhi (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Bear Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 12/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Silent Revolution (IRE)J: James Bowen Faucets Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Peace Motivator (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Sigma 3 Kitchens & Bedrooms Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran F 80/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Clondaw Fame (IRE)J: James Bowen Sigma 3 Kitchens & Bedrooms Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 14/1

11 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Chillhi (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 22/1

11 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

30 Sep 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Dougie Costello BetWright Bangers N'Cash HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 11/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Peace Motivator (GB)J: Ellis Collier Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Walking Holidays Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 12 ran UR 150/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Silent Revolution (IRE)J: Lewis Saunders Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Byzantine Empire (GB)J: Ellis Collier Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 20/1

23 Sep 25 Warwick Jack's Jury (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Molson Coors Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 6th 11/4F

23 Sep 25 Warwick Peace Motivator (GB)J: Robert Dunne PricedUp Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran UR 33/1

23 Sep 25 Warwick Byzantine Empire (GB)J: Shane Fenelon PricedUp The Jumps' Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 9th 15/2

14 Sep 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Elizabeth Gale BetWright Bet The Wright Way Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alison Thorpe's strike rate?: Alison Thorpe has won 4 of 95 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alison Thorpe do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 runners (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Alison Thorpe's Fair A/E?: 0.62, from 95 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.