Brogans Bay (IRE)
Brogans Bay (IRE) is 1 from 18, the win coming at Class 6 level. Hasn't won since Jun 2019.
- 1–18Wins / Runs
- 5.6%Strike rate
- 4 (22.2%)Placed
- −10.00£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 0.74Fair A/E n=18 · 0.61 incl. margin
- 57Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 95
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 15 | 101A | 67 | — |
| Firm | 2 | 75A | 62.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 101A | 67 | — |
| Under 6f | 8 | 101A | 74.5 | — |
Of 18 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 4,281 runs since Jan 2008 (311 horses).
Strongest on soft going: 12.1% from 967. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.4% from 865. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 724.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Firm | 378 | 34 | 9% | −0.1 | — |
| Good | 1,110 | 108 | 9.7% | +0.6 | — |
| Good to Soft | 571 | 59 | 10.3% | +1.2 | — |
| Soft | 967 | 117 | 12.1% | +3 | — |
| Heavy | 366 | 31 | 8.5% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 865 | 38 | 4.4% | −4.7 | 1 from 16 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 190 | 13 | 6.8% | −2.3 | 1 from 9 |
| 6f – 7f | 724 | 42 | 5.8% | −3.3 | 0 from 9 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 632 | 43 | 6.8% | −2.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 885 | 90 | 10.2% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 992 | 110 | 11.1% | +2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 652 | 74 | 11.3% | +2.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 167 | 14 | 8.4% | −0.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 39 | 3 | 7.7% | −1.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Sabhan (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Sabhan (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabhan (IRE) | 10 | 2 | 1m–1m½f | Class 5 |
| Savage Beauty (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Imnotyourdrummer (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 16 | 1 | 6% | −8.00 |
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −5.00 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Under 6f | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J F Egan | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.00 |
| Nicky Mackay | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Michael Stainton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Levi Williams | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charles Bishop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Louis Steward | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 1 | 6% | −9.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2019 | 14 | 1 | 7% | −6.00 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 24 Jan 20+59d | Lingfield (AW) | Play 4 To Score At Betway Handicap (Div 2) | 7/8 | ¾ | 9-10 | 53 | 68A | 36A | Michael Stainton | 33/1 |
| 2019 · 14 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Nov 19+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | betyourway At Betway Handicap | 10/10 | 8 | 9-5 | 55 | 36C | 16C | J F Egan | 16/1 |
| 07 Nov 19+35d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Buy Your 2020 CCR Membership Now Handicap | 12/12 | 10 | 9-2 | 57 | 55C | 22C | J F Egan | 25/1 |
| 03 Oct 19+9d | Lingfield (AW) | Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap | 9/9 | 2½ | 9-3 | 55 | 66A | 44A | Adam Kirby | 5/2 |
| 24 Sep 19+25d | Lingfield (AW) | Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Handicap | 2/10 | nk | 9-4 | 55 | 95A | 84A | Oisin Murphy | 11/4J |
| 30 Aug 19+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | For Training And Apprenticeships Visit ptstrainingacademy.com Handicap | 2/10 | 1 | 9-7 | 55 | 101A | 74A | J F Egan | 16/1 |
| 19 Aug 19+33d | Lingfield (AW) | Sky Sports Racing On Virgin 535 Handicap | 8/9 | nk | 9-7 | 55 | 83A | 62A | J F Egan | 7/2 |
| 17 Jul 19+14d | Lingfield (AW) | Tu Fund Managers Handicap (AW) | 6/9 | nk | 9-7 | 56 | — | 64A | J F Egan | 4/1 |
| 03 Jul 19+13d | Kempton (AW) | Jockey Club Supporting Racing Staff Week Apprentice Handicap | 7/11 | ½ | 8-7 | 56 | 67A | 47A | Levi Williams | 10/1 |
| 20 Jun 19+17d | Lingfield (AW) | Happy 50th Birthday Dr Claire Jackson Handicap | 1/10 | 8-8 | 52 | 101A | 74A | J F Egan | 7/1 | |
| 03 Jun 19+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Grand Theatre Wolverhampton Handicap | 2/10 | ½ | 9-2 | 49 | 85A | 82A | David Probert | 50/1 |
| 24 May 19+112d | Bath | MJ Church Plant And Transport Handicap | 12/12 | 1 | 9-7 | 52 | 50A | 25A | Charles Bishop | 22/1 |
| 01 Feb 19+9d | Lingfield (AW) | Play 4 To Score At Betway Novice Stakes | 3/5 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 52 | 56C | 64B | Nicky Mackay | 33/1 |
| 23 Jan 19+14d | Lingfield (AW) | Like Sun Racing On Facebook Handicap | 13/14 | 2¼ | 9-13 | 54 | 66B | 51A | Nicky Mackay | 16/1 |
| 09 Jan 19+127d | Lingfield (AW) | Betway Novice Median Auction Stakes | 5/11 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 40 | 76B | 61A | Nicky Mackay | 50/1 |
| 2018 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Sep 18+20d | Kempton (AW) | 32red Casino Novice Stakes | 9/12 | ¾ | 8-11 | — | 54A | 39A | Louis Steward | 66/1 |
| 15 Aug 18+32d | Kempton (AW) | Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 10/10 | 5 | 8-11 | — | 56C | 33C | Hollie Doyle | 33/1 |
| 14 Jul 18 | Salisbury | Sovereign Wealth Management Novice Stakes | 6/7 | 1½ | 8-11 | — | 75A | 48A | J F Egan | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Brogans Bay won?
- Brogans Bay (IRE) won 1 of 18 archived starts between 2018 and 2020, a strike rate of 5.6%. Placed 4 times in total (22.2% of starts).
- Who trained Brogans Bay?
- Brogans Bay (IRE) was trained by Laura Mongan on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield (AW) on 24 January 2020.
- Who is Brogans Bay's sire?
- Brogans Bay (IRE) is by Born To Sea (IRE) out of Sister Sylvia (GB), whose sire is Fantastic Light.
- What going does Brogans Bay prefer?
- Brogans Bay (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 16 starts (6.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Brogans Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 53, from the run on 24 January 2020. The highest on record is 57.
- What is Brogans Bay's sire's record?
- Born To Sea (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 4,281 runs since Jan 2008 (311 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on soft going: 12.1% from 967. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 4.4% from 865. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 724.
- Who are Brogans Bay's siblings?
- Out of Sister Sylvia (GB), Brogans Bay (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Sabhan (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Sabhan (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.