Louis Steward
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.79). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (20%, n=40) and in Class 5 (17%, n=53). The record reads poorly on Good going — 7% over 43 rides, 6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Ebor at York (Aug 2014, £164,963).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,621 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,621 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2012 to 10 June 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Louis Steward's strike rate?
- Louis Steward has won 21 of 162 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Louis Steward's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 162 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.