Carlitos Bay (IRE)
Carlitos Bay (IRE) is 1 from 36. Hasn't won since Aug 2017. Last raced off 98, 12lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–36Wins / Runs
- 2.8%Strike rate
- 6 (16.7%)Placed
- −28.00£1 level staken=36 at SP
- 0.38Fair A/E n=36 · 0.30 incl. margin
- 110Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 102
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 127B | 86 | — |
| Soft | 5 | 135B | 71 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 86A | 84 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 135B | 77.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 115B | 86 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 118B | 100 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 98A | 89.5 | — |
Of 28 runs looked at, 9 have no figure: did not complete (7) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 19 figures from 28 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 531 | 69 | 13% | +2.5 | — |
| Good | 2,031 | 224 | 11% | +0.5 | 0 from 19 |
| Good to Soft | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,377 | 122 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 1 from 11 |
| Heavy | 679 | 74 | 10.9% | +0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 138 | 7 | 5.1% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +7.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 211 | 9 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,811 | 185 | 10.2% | −0.3 | 0 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,900 | 204 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 1 from 13 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,349 | 156 | 11.6% | +1.1 | 0 from 11 |
| Over 3m | 286 | 29 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 0 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cairde Aris (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m4f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairde Aris (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 2m4f | — |
| Duchess Theatre (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 19 | 0 | 0% | −19.00 |
| Soft | 11 | 1 | 9% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Wexford | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cork | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 1 | 8% | −5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Sexton | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| David Mullins | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Mr J J King | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ronan Short | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Roger Loughran | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lorcan Murtagh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| R Walsh | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr L P Gilligan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Deegan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Bolger | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Davy Russell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Barry Geraghty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Townend | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr J J Codd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Finian Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Tongue tie | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Blinkers | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2019 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2018 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2017 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 18 | 0 | 0% | −18.00 |
| Hurdle | 12 | 1 | 8% | −4.00 |
| NH Flat | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Carlitos Bay won?
- Carlitos Bay (IRE) won 1 of 36 archived starts between 2015 and 2020, a strike rate of 2.8%. Placed 6 times in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trained Carlitos Bay?
- Carlitos Bay (IRE) was trained by Hugh Burns on the most recent run on record, at Southwell on 14 July 2020.
- Who is Carlitos Bay's sire?
- Carlitos Bay (IRE) is by Definite Article (GB) out of Avitta (IRE), whose sire is Pennekamp.
- What going does Carlitos Bay prefer?
- Carlitos Bay (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 11 starts (9.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Carlitos Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 14 July 2020. The highest on record is 110.
- What is Carlitos Bay's sire's record?
- Definite Article (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
- Who are Carlitos Bay's siblings?
- Out of Avitta (IRE), Carlitos Bay (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cairde Aris (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m4f. As at Oct 2026.