What is Mark Bolger's strike rate?

Mark Bolger has won 105 of 1,973 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Bolger do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 11 wins from 105 rides (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mark Bolger ride most for?

Mrs John Harrington, with 452 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (8.6%).

What is Mark Bolger's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,973 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mark Bolger

1,973 rides in the lifetime window · 932 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2021 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

105–1,973

Wins / Runs

5.3%

Strike rate

n=1,973

347 (18%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,973 · 0.72 incl. margin

−980.61

£1 level stake

n=1,973 at SP · −49.7%

£1.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (107 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,973 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 35.5% when favourite Mrs John Harrington: 8.6% from 452 LTO winners: 9.3% Claiming: 6.1% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tipperary (14.6%, n=41), Down Royal (10.5%, n=105) and Listowel (11.3%, n=53) — all clear of the rider's 5.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cork (0% over 81 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.3% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.45 and −57.50 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mrs John Harrington supplied 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.6% vs 5.3%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final at Fairyhouse (Apr 2011, £37,375). The standout partner of the record was Ciankyle (IRE) — 5 wins from 26 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.5%−1.8

n=917 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −577.27

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.3%+4.0

n=107 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −43.78

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.7%−1.6

n=407 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −229.80

When favourite

35.5%

n=62 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −2.14

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.1%+0.8

n=935 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −364.81

Big fields · 14+ runners

4%−1.3

n=1,235 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −704.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.7%−2.6

n=110 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −57.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Barry Connell 15.5% vs 5.3% · n=58

At Tipperary 14.6% vs 5.3% · n=41

At Down Royal 10.5% vs 5.3% · n=105

At Listowel 11.3% vs 5.3% · n=53

At Cork 0% vs 5.3% · n=81

With P Cluskey 11.1% vs 5.3% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,503 71 4.7% −859.98

Chase 442 33 7.5% −100.63

NH Flat 23 1 4.3% −15.00

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 598 27 4.5% −337.53

Good 570 35 6.1% −249.72

Heavy 448 21 4.7% −257.09

Good to Firm 180 15 8.3% −41.77

Good to Soft 153 5 3.3% −95.50

Firm 22 2 9.1% +3.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 186 6 3.2% −104.60

Punchestown 159 4 2.5% −149.40

Navan 131 8 6.1% −62.26

Limerick 130 6 4.6% −73.77

Kilbeggan 116 5 4.3% −86.00

Down Royal 105 11 10.5% −34.63

Downpatrick 102 9 8.8% −13.09

Clonmel 91 4 4.4% −75.69

Gowran Park 85 7 8.2% −33.38

Cork 81 0 0% −81.00

Thurles 71 1 1.4% −63.50

Naas 68 3 4.4% −40.50

Roscommon 67 6 9% −18.75

Ballinrobe 65 2 3.1% −23.00

Tramore 64 6 9.4% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 113 3 2.7% −60.50

Class 4 13 1 7.7% −8.50

Class 5 4 1 25% −1.12

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 83 25 30.1% 1.20 −7.64

2nd–3rd fav 224 33 14.7% 1.07 −37.97

4th–6th fav 434 21 4.8% 0.74 −202.00

7th+ in betting 1,232 26 2.1% 0.80 −733.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.2% completed · 1,945 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 442 72.9% 31 20 63 3 3

Hurdle 1,503 86.2% 33 22 137 7 8

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ciankyle (IRE) 26 5 10 4 May 21

Randalls Ur Poet (IRE) 17 0 9 29 Dec 19

Top Of The Rock (IRE) 16 2 5 3 Apr 11

Ballito (IRE) 15 1 4 21 Sep 11

Dul Ar An Ol (IRE) 14 0 5 15 Feb 14

Little Princess (GER) 12 0 1 7 Mar 19

Get Out Of Jail (IRE) 12 0 2 1 Dec 18

Keppols Queen (IRE) 12 1 4 28 Apr 17

Lindenhurst (IRE) 11 2 6 17 Mar 16

Orgilgo Bay (IRE) 10 2 3 13 Aug 17

Swanfold (IRE) 10 1 2 28 Aug 14

Magical Memoir (IRE) 10 0 4 29 Nov 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 932 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

427448696564

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMrs John Harrington

23% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

Mrs John Harrington 452 39 8.6% −144.48

John C McConnell 184 15 8.2% −77.63

Sean Byrne 59 1 1.7% −55.25

Barry Connell 58 9 15.5% −1.93

P Cluskey 54 6 11.1% +49.00

Seamus Fahey 51 1 2% −38.00

R K Watson 33 0 0% −33.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

108

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.53m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Baracas (FR) — I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2011 · Grade B

£37,375

Keppols Queen (IRE) — Willis E.B.F. Mares Hurdle (grade 3) Leopardstown · Dec 2015 · Grade 3

£24,375

Paradis de Thaix (FR) — Dawn Milk Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2011

£22,100

Notable horses

Ciankyle (IRE) Top Of The Rock (IRE) Lindenhurst (IRE) Orgilgo Bay (IRE) Paradis de Thaix (FR) Western Gale (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 5% · 3–60

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 7.7% · 4–52

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Definite Article (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Flemensfirth (USA) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Mountain High (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2008 (184 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,146 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,146 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2005 to 18 June 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Jun 21 Down Royal Place Des Vosges (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Island Garden Rooms Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 5/1

16 Jun 21 Navan Fair Day (IRE)T: P J Hassett Rathkenny Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20f · Good · 17 ran 12th 33/1

16 Jun 21 Navan Rubiana (IRE)T: Mrs Caroline McCaldin Gormanlough Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)22f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 12/1

16 Jun 21 Navan Hattie Amarin (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Stackallan Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 7/2F

16 Jun 21 Navan Rambling Rose (IRE)T: Stephen Ryan Yellow Furze Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 13/2

16 Jun 21 Navan Royal Red Persian (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Navan Welcomes Back Racehorse Owners Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 6th 22/1

13 Jun 21 Downpatrick Mondragon De Barat (FR)T: Peter Fahey Ballyduggan Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 13 ran PU 16/1

12 Jun 21 Downpatrick Light Bulb (IRE)T: J R Finn Virtual Live Racing Handicap Chase (0-102)19f · Good · 14 ran 13th 40/1

12 Jun 21 Downpatrick Twilight Girl (IRE)T: Peter Fahey Laffy Handicap Chase23.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

11 Jun 21 Clonmel Heliers Bay (IRE)T: Mrs John Harrington Suir Blueway Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good · 15 ran 6th 9/2

08 Jun 21 Roscommon Enniskerry (IRE)T: Barry Connell Dermot Hughes Car Sales Rated Novice Hurdle20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/4F

07 Jun 21 Listowel Place Des Vosges (IRE)T: Mark Fahey Bryan MacMahon Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran 1st 10/3F

07 Jun 21 Listowel Nevendon (GB)T: John C McConnell John B. Keane (C & G) Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 16 ran 4th 6/1

07 Jun 21 Listowel Royal Red Persian (IRE)T: Mark Fahey John B. Keane (C & G) Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 15 ran 4th 20/1

04 Jun 21 Tramore Southwood (IRE)T: Leonard Paul Flynn FormaHoof Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 33/1

04 Jun 21 Tramore Devil's Glen (IRE)T: Barry Connell Waterford Chamber Of Commerce Beginners Chase22f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 25/1

31 May 21 Punchestown Tadhg R Liam (IRE)T: P Cluskey Longhouse Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran UR 100/1

30 May 21 Punchestown Mount Pelier (IRE)T: Barry Connell Ladbrokes Handicap Chase20f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 14/1

29 May 21 Punchestown Helios Smart (FR)T: Barry Connell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Soft · 25 ran 17th 28/1

29 May 21 Punchestown Hgranca De Thaix (FR)T: Barry Connell Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Soft · 23 ran 5th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Bolger's strike rate?: Mark Bolger has won 105 of 1,973 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Bolger do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 11 wins from 105 rides (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mark Bolger ride most for?: Mrs John Harrington, with 452 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (8.6%).
What is Mark Bolger's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,973 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.