Horse profile
Custers Mistake (IRE)
by Zoffany (IRE) out of Nancy Spain (IRE) (Sadler's Wells)
41 runs · 22 courses · from Jun 2020
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Wexford & Downpatrick
Last run 9 Oct 2026
Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile
Custers Mistake (IRE) is 2 from 41. Hasn't won since Aug 2025. Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 21 on softer). Last raced off 100, 9lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 41 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs since Apr 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Wins on good or faster
OR ↓ 9lb off peak
- 2–41Wins / Runs
- 4.9%Strike rate
- 11 (26.8%)Placed
- −19.00£1 level staken=41 at SP
- 0.75Fair A/E n=41 · 0.61 incl. margin
- 109Highest OR
- 58dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating100↓ 9lb off peak
100
58–109
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 131
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 131B | 91 | — |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 119A | 87 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 130A | 106 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 131B | 86 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 99B | 82 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 130A | 110 | — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 115C | 108 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 98C | 85 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 87B | 79 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 113C | 109 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 112A | 101.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 25 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 112C | 95 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 115C | 92.5 | — |
Of 41 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: did not complete (4) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 35 figures from 41 runs · as at 17 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 6 analysed runs since Apr 2025
- Held up 3 (50%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (33%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (17%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 10,766 runs since Jan 2008 (799 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | +1.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,268 | 146 | 11.5% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 2,502 | 249 | 10% | +0.1 | 2 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 1,298 | 130 | 10% | +0.1 | 0 from 9 |
| Soft | 1,826 | 177 | 9.7% | −0.2 | 0 from 8 |
| Heavy | 656 | 55 | 8.4% | −1.5 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 3,189 | 306 | 9.6% | −0.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 379 | 29 | 7.7% | −2.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,983 | 288 | 9.7% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,800 | 287 | 10.3% | +0.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,511 | 252 | 10% | +0.1 | 0 from 8 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,349 | 135 | 10% | +0.1 | 0 from 16 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 555 | 57 | 10.3% | +0.4 | 1 from 11 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 155 | 13 | 8.4% | −1.5 | 1 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | +4.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Nancy Spain (IRE) (Sadler's Wells)
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Sociopath (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m4½f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Sociopath (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociopath (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 1m4½f | Class 6 |
| Bolero (IRE) | 25 | 0 | — | — |
| Sweni Hill (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 2 | 13% | +7.00 |
| Good to Soft | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Soft | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairyhouse | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Roscommon | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Downpatrick | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wexford | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tipperary | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ballinrobe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Navan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ballinrobe (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 1 | 9% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hayes | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Phillip Enright | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Gary Halpin | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Mr D McGill | 3 | 2 | 67% | +19.00 |
| Scott McCullagh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| J J Slevin | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Conor Maxwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr P J O'Neill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ian Power | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr R Sugrue | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Calum Hogan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Deegan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Ewing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieren Buckley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr C Abernethy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss L Costello | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Brouder | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jody McGarvey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jessica O'Gorman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 19 | 0 | 0% | −19.00 |
| None | 14 | 1 | 7% | −7.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2022 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2021 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2020 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 16 | 2 | 13% | +6.00 |
| Flat | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Chase | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Oct 26+28d | Downpatrick (IRE) | Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase Out the back from the start - urged along yet made no dent after 4 out - out of steam and pulled up before the following fence | PU/14 | — | 11-7 | 100 | — | — | Mr R Sugrue | 33/1 |
| 11 Sep 26+401d | Ballinrobe (IRE) | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase Held up towards the back - never a factor - eased and pulled up before 3 out | PU/16 | — | 11-2 | 102 | — | — | Calum Hogan | 40/1 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Aug 25+22d | Wexford | Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle Sat behind the pace - 5th at halfway - made ground into contention 4 out - edged in front after 3 out - pressed on before 2 out - driven out after 2 out - opened daylight at the last - stayed on well before being allowed to idle towards the finish | 1/14 | 10-12 | 103 | 131B | 126A | Mr D McGill | 6/1 | |
| 15 Jul 25+59d | Downpatrick | Follow Tote On X Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Settled in midfield early - urged into 5th two out - work remained cut out over last - kept battling through final furlong - closed to 2nd close home and edged narrowly beaten in the final strides | 2/13 | hd | 12-0 | 100 | 117B | 131A | Richard Deegan | 8/1 |
| 17 May 25+23d | Wexford | Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - crept into the pack 5 out - driven on approaching 3 out but made no ground in 8th and held on for little more | 8/13 | 2 | 10-13 | 103 | 103C | 100C | Sam Ewing | 40/1 |
| 24 Apr 25+363d | Bangor-on-Dee | Shane Brennan Is 50 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled off the pace early - improved on inner after the 9th but scrambled over the 10th - dropped away before two out and held on for 5th | 5/6 | 6 | 10-10 | 109 | — | 88B | Mr D McGill | 13/2 |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Apr 24+79d | Downpatrick | Toals Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-102) | 1/13 | 11-3 | 98 | 91C | 112A | Mr D McGill | 14/1 | |
| 07 Feb 24+37d | Fairyhouse | Bobbyjo Day February 24th Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | 14/16 | 14 | 11-6 | 101 | 27C | 97C | Kieren Buckley | 33/1 |
| 01 Jan 24+175d | Fairyhouse | Tote+ Pays You More At Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109) | PU/16 | — | 11-1 | 102 | — | — | Mr C Abernethy | 33/1 |
| 2023 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Jul 23+29d | Roscommon | Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle | 2/12 | 1¼ | 11-4 | 101 | 119A | 119A | J J Slevin | 15/2 |
| 11 Jun 23+1d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes Fanzone 'Your Team Your Game' Ladies Handicap Hurdle | 6/10 | 2 | 10-6 | 101 | 84A | 104A | Miss L Costello | 12/1 |
| 10 Jun 23+6d | Punchestown | Primal Performance & Fitness Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 3/17 | ½ | 11-12 | 101 | 87B | 123A | Conor Maxwell | 22/1 |
| 04 Jun 23+17d | Listowel | Lane Family Memorial Handicap | 12/14 | 1¼ | 8-11 | 58 | 99C | 51A | Conor Maxwell | 40/1 |
| 18 May 23+46d | Tipperary | Follow Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2) | 6/14 | nk | 11-7 | 102 | 87B | 110A | Mr P J O'Neill | 50/1 |
| 02 Apr 23+200d | Downpatrick | Boardsmill Sires Maiden Hunters Chase | PU/9 | — | 11-7 | 102 | — | — | Mr P J O'Neill | 9/2 |
| 2022 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Sep 22+43d | Sligo | Leo McMorrow Memorial Novice Handicap Chase | 6/8 | 38 | 11-3 | 105 | 37C | 97C | Kevin Brouder | 11/2 |
| 02 Aug 22+13d | Roscommon | J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase | 7/10 | 3¾ | 11-12 | — | 82C | 95C | Phillip Enright | 15/2 |
| 20 Jul 22+36d | Limerick | Adare Beginners Chase | 4/9 | 4¼ | 11-12 | — | 88A | 117A | Phillip Enright | 14/1 |
| 14 Jun 22+9d | Roscommon | Castlerea Novice Chase | 3/5 | 32 | 11-2 | — | 62C | 94C | Ian Power | 28/1 |
| 05 Jun 22+30d | Kilbeggan | New Midland Hospice Beginners Chase | 2/6 | 44 | 11-12 | — | 13C | 102C | Ian Power | 22/1 |
| 06 May 22+28d | Downpatrick | Downpatrick Racecourse Raises 50,000 Euros For The Ukraine Crisis Appeal Maiden Hurdle | 4/10 | 16 | 11-12 | — | 130A | 107A | Phillip Enright | 15/2 |
| 08 Apr 22+193d | Ballinrobe | Tim Kelly (C & G) Maiden Hurdle | 5/15 | 6 | 11-4 | — | 97B | 110A | Phillip Enright | 14/1 |
| 2021 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Sep 21+21d | Roscommon | Boyle Maiden Hurdle | 2/17 | hd | 11-9 | — | 82B | 122A | Denis O'Regan | 22/1 |
| 06 Sep 21+25d | Galway | Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle | 4/19 | 5 | 11-12 | — | 99B | 109A | Phillip Enright | 17/2 |
| 12 Aug 21+34d | Tramore | Victoria House Maiden Hurdle | 8/15 | ¾ | 11-4 | — | 36C | 88C | Jody McGarvey | 10/1 |
| 09 Jul 21+9d | Cork | Fermoy Maiden Hurdle | F/18 | — | 11-9 | — | — | — | J J Slevin | 10/1 |
| 30 Jun 21+19d | Tipperary | tipperaryraces.ie Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 2/16 | 1¾ | 9-5 | 59 | 105C | 84A | Scott McCullagh | 10/1 |
| 11 Jun 21+38d | Fairyhouse | La Bucca Restaurants Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 6/18 | 1¼ | 9-5 | 59 | 113C | 72A | Scott McCullagh | 5/1 |
| 04 May 21+9d | Gowran Park | Racing Again At Gowran Park Tomorrow Handicap (45-70) | 9/18 | 6½ | 9-7 | 61 | 85C | 60C | Gary Halpin | 12/1 |
| 25 Apr 21+17d | Navan | Donaghmore Handicap (Div 2) | 4/13 | 1¼ | 9-0 | 61 | 112C | 70A | Gary Halpin | 17/2 |
| 08 Apr 21+12d | Gowran Park | GowranPark1 Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 4/18 | 3 | 9-13 | 62 | 84C | 77A | Gary Halpin | 11/1 |
| 27 Mar 21+75d | Navan | Navan Members Handicap (45-70) (Div 2) | 3/16 | 7½ | 9-7 | 62 | 91C | 68A | Gary Halpin | 12/1 |
| 11 Jan 21+56d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 8/13 | 1½ | 9-8 | 63 | 79B | 65A | Scott McCullagh | 12/1 |
| 2020 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Nov 20+10d | Dundalk (AW) | DundalkStadium.com Handicap (45-70) | 5/14 | 1 | 9-7 | 64 | 87B | 73A | Chris Hayes | 10/1 |
| 06 Nov 20+17d | Dundalk (AW) | Crowne Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap (45-70) | 12/13 | ½ | 9-12 | 66 | 74B | 63A | Chris Hayes | 17/2 |
| 20 Oct 20+24d | Fairyhouse | fairyhouse.ie Handicap (45-70) (Div 1) | 3/10 | ½ | 9-6 | 67 | 112A | 72A | Chris Hayes | 5/1 |
| 26 Sep 20+26d | Curragh | Tipperary Crystal Ladies Trophy Handicap | 9/18 | 1 | 9-10 | 66 | 63C | 59A | Jessica O'Gorman | 14/1 |
| 31 Aug 20+31d | Roscommon | Roscommon Racecourse Handicap | 7/14 | nk | 10-0 | 68 | 98C | 74A | Chris Hayes | 8/1 |
| 31 Jul 20+11d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden | 10/12 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 76A | 62A | Chris Hayes | 100/1 |
| 20 Jul 20+32d | Ballinrobe | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 7/10 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 108C | 58C | Chris Hayes | 20/1 |
| 18 Jun 20 | Fairyhouse | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10) | 7/13 | ½ | 9-7 | — | 115C | 61A | Chris Hayes | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Custers Mistake won?
- Custers Mistake (IRE) won 2 of 41 archived starts between 2020 and 2026, a strike rate of 4.9%. Placed 11 times in total (26.8% of starts).
- Who trains Custers Mistake?
- Custers Mistake (IRE) is trained by Peter McCreery, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 9 October 2026.
- Who is Custers Mistake's sire?
- Custers Mistake (IRE) is by Zoffany (IRE) out of Nancy Spain (IRE), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
- What going does Custers Mistake prefer?
- Custers Mistake (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 15 starts (13.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Custers Mistake's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 9 October 2026. The highest on record is 109.
- What is Custers Mistake's sire's record?
- Zoffany (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 10,766 runs since Jan 2008 (799 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Custers Mistake's siblings?
- Out of Nancy Spain (IRE), Custers Mistake (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Sociopath (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Sociopath (IRE)). The wins came over 1m4½f. As at Oct 2026.