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Jockey profile

Jessica O'Gorman

192 rides in the last 5 seasons · 79 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 99% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
17–192
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=192
43 (22%)
Placed
1.51
n=192 · 1.18 incl. margin
+18.13
£1 level stake
n=192 at SP · +9.4%
£181k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.51). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (38 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 192 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 13.2% First rides: 10.3% Claiming: 9.2%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (3.6% over 56 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=38, Fair A/E 2.92). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 9.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.59 and +25.13 to a £1 stake over 185 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also reads well on Soft going (14.6%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 3.5% over 57 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.3%+1.4
n=78 · A/E 2.06 · £1 +13.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.6%+8.7
n=17 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −2.62
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.2%+4.3
n=38 · A/E 2.92 · £1 +20.00
When favourite
40%
n=10 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +5.63
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.2%+0.3
n=185 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +25.13
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.9%+0.0
n=112 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −25.37
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 3.5% vs 8.9% · n=57
At Dundalk (AW) 3.6% vs 8.9% · n=56
On Soft going 14.6% vs 8.9% · n=41
With C&D winners 11.8% vs 8.9% · n=34
Over 6f – 7f 6.5% vs 8.9% · n=46
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.7% vs 8.9% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 190 17 8.9% +20.13
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 61 5 8.2% −17.25
Standard (AW) 57 2 3.5% −3.00
Soft 41 6 14.6% +4.38
Good to Soft 16 2 12.5% +16.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 7 2 28.6% +28.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 56 2 3.6% −2.00
Curragh 35 3 8.6% +6.50
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Gowran Park 11 2 18.2% +18.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 7 2 28.6% +1.25
Limerick 6 1 16.7% −3.12
Listowel 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Roscommon 5 1 20% +2.00
Cork 4 2 50% +26.00
Tramore 4 1 25% +15.00
Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 2.09 +5.63
2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.78 −5.00
4th–6th fav 45 6 13.3% 1.86 +21.50
7th+ in betting 119 5 4.2% 1.40 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
La Tulipe Noire (IRE) 16 2 3 29 Oct 26
Mary Shoelaces (IRE) 15 2 4 11 Nov 26
Miss Cunning (IRE) 14 2 4 14 Jun 23
Carslake (GB) 10 0 0 19 Dec 25
Tai Tam Bay (IRE) 6 0 3 15 Oct 26
Fontaine Khaled (IRE) 6 0 1 29 Aug 26
Gegenpressing (GB) 5 0 0 18 Oct 26
Areana (IRE) 5 2 3 15 Sep 26
Our Lucky Lady (IRE) 5 2 2 10 Jun 26
Princess Chloe (IRE) 4 0 1 11 Jul 26
Tasmanian Girl (IRE) 4 0 0 11 May 26
Gianh River (IRE) 4 0 1 10 Jul 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0901710862018800
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
26% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.33
TrainerRWSR£1
Eddie & Patrick Harty 49 5 10.2% −4.00
Aengus King 48 4 8.3% +30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
18
Archived wins
£187k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 8 wins
Suspicious Mindz (GB) — Jo Browne Luxury Skincare Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden Curragh · Jun 2026
£17,670
Mary Shoelaces (IRE) — WTW Willis Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Jul 2026
£15,000
Mary Shoelaces (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Apprentice Handicap Curragh · Oct 2025
£10,620

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
U S Navy Flag (USA) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,419 runs since 2022 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 184.
Berkshire (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 11.5% of 529 runs since 2022 (79 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.6% from 141. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.8% from 183.
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,690 runs since 2016 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Tamayuz (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,191 runs since 2012 (401 horses).
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,007 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Earthlight (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.3% of 913 runs since 2024 (130 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.8% from 169.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 210 · newest first

The latest 50 of 210 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2020 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Tullyesker (IRE)T: Donal Kinsella DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 19th 66/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Shirzan (IRE)T: P G Fahey www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/4
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Quick Return (IRE)T: P G Fahey SIS Maiden12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jessica O'Gorman's strike rate?
Jessica O'Gorman has won 17 of 192 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jessica O'Gorman do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 rides (8.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Jessica O'Gorman in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jessica O'Gorman's Fair A/E?
1.51, from 192 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).