Fluctuation (IRE)
Fluctuation (IRE) is 5 from 34. Hasn't won since Sep 2013. All 5 wins have come on the all-weather — 0 from 9 on turf.
- 5–34Wins / Runs
- 14.7%Strike rate
- 15 (44.1%)Placed
- −7.92£1 level staken=34 at SP
- 1.01Fair A/E n=33 · 0.84 incl. margin
- 71Highest OR
- 27dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 131.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 40 | 4 | 10% | −2.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 727 | 94 | 12.9% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 880 | 92 | 10.5% | −2.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 427 | 46 | 10.8% | −1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 476 | 48 | 10.1% | −2.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 131 | 9 | 6.9% | −5.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,577 | 249 | 15.8% | +3.1 | 5 from 25 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 135 | 14 | 10.4% | −2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 911 | 123 | 13.5% | +0.8 | 2 from 20 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,078 | 149 | 13.8% | +1.1 | 3 from 14 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,169 | 146 | 12.5% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 600 | 71 | 11.8% | −0.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 220 | 24 | 10.9% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | −0.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Quiet Appeal (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Quiet Appeal (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quiet Appeal (IRE) | 21 | 3 | 1m4f | Class 5 |
| Prime Delivery (USA) | 6 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Desert Wings (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Rise Again (IRE) | 21 | 1 | 7f | — |
| Alex Girl (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Suyoof (USA) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 25 | 5 | 20% | +1.08 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 19 | 4 | 21% | +3.08 |
| Class 5 | 13 | 1 | 8% | −9.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 15 | 4 | 27% | +2.08 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leicester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 20 | 2 | 10% | −11.67 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 14 | 3 | 21% | +3.75 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clark | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Stevie Donohoe | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Ryan Powell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Robert Tart | 3 | 2 | 67% | +8.25 |
| Franny Norton | 3 | 2 | 67% | +7.50 |
| Liam Jones | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael J M Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Coumbe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Brock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Connor Beasley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Downing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael O'Connell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| D C Byrne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gilmar Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Visor | 19 | 3 | 16% | −3.75 |
| None | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.83 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Visor + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −0.75 |
| 2012 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +5.83 |
| 2011 | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Fluctuation (IRE) won?
- Fluctuation (IRE) won 5 of 34 archived starts between 2011 and 2013, a strike rate of 14.7%. Placed 15 times in total (44.1% of starts).
- Who trained Fluctuation (IRE)?
- Fluctuation (IRE) was trained by Ian Williams on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 October 2013.
- Who is Fluctuation (IRE)'s sire?
- Fluctuation (IRE) is by Street Cry (IRE) out of Rise and Fall (USA), whose sire is Quiet American.
- What going does Fluctuation (IRE) prefer?
- Fluctuation (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 5 wins from 25 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Fluctuation (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 18 October 2013. The highest on record is 71.
- What is Fluctuation (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Street Cry (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 131.
- Who are Fluctuation (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Rise and Fall (USA), Fluctuation (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Quiet Appeal (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Quiet Appeal (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.