What is Michael J M Murphy's strike rate?

Michael J M Murphy has won 105 of 1,079 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael J M Murphy do best at?

Goodwood by strike rate: 10 wins from 47 rides (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael J M Murphy ride most for?

John Gallagher, with 169 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (13%).

What is Michael J M Murphy's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,074 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael J M Murphy

1,079 rides in the lifetime window · 570 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

105–1,079

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=1,079

285 (26%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,074 · 0.81 incl. margin

−336.19

£1 level stake

n=1,079 at SP · −31.2%

£811k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 180 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (100 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,079 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.5% 26.5% when favourite John Gallagher: 13% from 169 LTO winners: 16% Claiming: 10.9% Rode the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (21.2%, n=52) and Goodwood (21.3%, n=47) — all clear of the rider's 9.7% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 33 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.98). John Gallagher supplied 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m5f – 2m (19.6%, n=51) and off a 0-7-day break (17.2%, n=87). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Fly London Southend Airport Handicap at Ascot (Sep 2015, £49,800).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.3%−0.4

n=570 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −173.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16%+6.3

n=100 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −16.77

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.5%+1.8

n=131 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

26.5%

n=98 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −26.43

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.9%+1.2

n=835 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −185.09

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.9%−1.8

n=151 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −8.29

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−2.0

n=13 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bath 21.2% vs 9.7% · n=52

At Goodwood 21.3% vs 9.7% · n=47

Over 1m5f – 2m 19.6% vs 9.7% · n=51

With first-time headgear 0% vs 9.7% · n=38

At Newbury 0% vs 9.7% · n=33

Off a 0-7-day break 17.2% vs 9.7% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 341 32 9.4% −123.70

Good to Firm 235 14 6% −126.92

Good 224 27 12.1% −26.74

Good to Soft 126 11 8.7% −61.92

Soft 110 15 13.6% +6.84

Firm 31 6 19.4% +8.25

Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 120 16 13.3% −20.50

Lingfield (AW) 80 7 8.8% −3.70

Wolverhampton (AW) 74 6 8.1% −48.25

Brighton 73 10 13.7% −27.29

Bath 52 11 21.2% +25.05

Windsor 50 2 4% −30.00

Goodwood 47 10 21.3% +66.88

Epsom 45 4 8.9% −27.15

Southwell (AW) 41 1 2.4% −31.00

Nottingham 37 4 10.8% −14.87

Newbury 33 0 0% −33.00

York 33 2 6.1% −3.00

Salisbury 33 5 15.2% +2.50

Yarmouth 32 5 15.6% −7.07

Doncaster 31 2 6.5% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 404 46 11.4% −85.52

Class 6 247 17 6.9% −150.29

Class 4 244 28 11.5% −43.47

Class 3 86 10 11.6% −19.41

Class 2 84 3 3.6% −36.50

Class 1 13 1 7.7% +0.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 122 30 24.6% 0.93 −34.93

2nd–3rd fav 213 36 16.9% 1.01 −37.76

4th–6th fav 384 30 7.8% 0.95 −70.50

7th+ in betting 360 9 2.5% 0.69 −193.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Heartsong (IRE) 22 4 8 18 Oct 16

Roy's Legacy (GB) 22 4 11 18 Jun 15

Port Lairge (GB) 18 2 4 15 Nov 16

Lady Gibraltar (GB) 14 3 6 5 Oct 13

Iseemist (IRE) 13 3 3 1 Oct 16

Ladweb (GB) 10 2 2 16 Sep 16

Alpha Delta Whisky (GB) 10 3 3 14 Nov 15

Secret Millionaire (IRE) 10 0 2 29 Jun 15

Gladiatrix (GB) 10 3 6 19 Apr 14

Major Pusey (GB) 9 2 4 12 Oct 16

Salutation (IRE) 9 2 5 22 Aug 14

Starwatch (GB) 8 0 2 21 Oct 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 570 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

412111014108148409

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Gallagher

16% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.42

TrainerRWSR£1

John Gallagher 169 22 13% +17.63

Alan Jarvis 147 19 12.9% +22.50

Mark Johnston 135 14 10.4% −68.01

Charles Hills 127 13 10.2% −54.65

Shaun Harris 58 5 8.6% −23.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

105

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£811k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 29 wins

Majestic Moon (IRE) — Fly London Southend Airport Handicap (Qualifier For The Balmoral Handicap) Ascot · Sep 2015 · Class 2

£49,800

Salutation (IRE) — BetVictor 6 Places Grand National Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) · Mar 2014 · Class 2

£28,013

Navajo Chief (GB) — Betfred Hambleton Stakes (Listed Handicap) York · May 2013 · Listed

£20,983

Notable horses

Heartsong (IRE) Roy's Legacy (GB) Lady Gibraltar (GB) Iseemist (IRE) Alpha Delta Whisky (GB) Gladiatrix (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kheleyf (USA) 12.5% · 5–40

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,546 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Phoenix Reach (IRE) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,948 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.

Compton Place (GB) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,218 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,079 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,079 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 June 2012 to 1 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Apr 17 Doncaster Autumn Lodge (GB)T: J S Moore Betway Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1

31 Mar 17 Newcastle (AW) Akavit (IRE)T: Ed de Giles Betway HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1

24 Mar 17 Lingfield (AW) Sheila's Fancy (IRE)T: J S Moore 32red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 33/1

04 Mar 17 Newcastle (AW) Glorious Artist (IRE)T: Charles Hills 32Red.com Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 3 ran 3rd 7/4

03 Mar 17 Lingfield (AW) Secret Sands (IRE)T: Pat Phelan 10 Free At 32red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 100/1

24 Feb 17 Lingfield (AW) Joyful Dream (IRE)T: J S Moore 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 7/1

23 Feb 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Kashtan (GB)T: J S Moore Winner.co.uk Acca Club Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 7/1

23 Feb 17 Chelmsford City (AW) It's How We Roll (IRE)T: Charles Hills Ub40 Here On August 12th HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 14/1

18 Feb 17 Kempton (AW) Kashtan (GB)T: J S Moore 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 50/1

18 Feb 17 Kempton (AW) Spare Parts (IRE)T: Charles Hills 32Red On The App Store Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1

16 Feb 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Traveller (FR)T: Charles Hills Totepoolliveinfo.com For Racing Results Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

10 Feb 17 Southwell (AW) Striking For Gold (GB)T: Sarah Hollinshead Sunbets.co.uk Download The App Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 100/1

08 Feb 17 Kempton (AW) Secret Sands (IRE)T: Pat Phelan 32red On The App Store Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1

03 Feb 17 Kempton (AW) Swilly Bay (IRE)T: Charles Hills 32red On The App Store Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 14/1

27 Jan 17 Lingfield (AW) Born Legend (IRE)T: Charles Hills 32red Casino Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 66/1

14 Dec 16 Lingfield (AW) Bradfield Magic (IRE)T: Charles Hills 32Red Casino EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

30 Nov 16 Kempton (AW) Legendoire (IRE)T: John Gallagher 32Red On The App Store NurseryClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 50/1

26 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Skara Mae (IRE)T: Charles Hills Betway Middle Distance HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 12/1

24 Nov 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Bradfield Magic (IRE)T: Charles Hills totepoolliveinfo.com For Racing Results Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 66/1

19 Nov 16 Lingfield (AW) Gloriux (GB)T: Charles Hills 32Red Casino/EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th EvensF

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael J M Murphy's strike rate?: Michael J M Murphy has won 105 of 1,079 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael J M Murphy do best at?: Goodwood by strike rate: 10 wins from 47 rides (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael J M Murphy ride most for?: John Gallagher, with 169 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (13%).
What is Michael J M Murphy's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,074 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.