What is Michael O'Connell's strike rate?

Michael O'Connell has won 135 of 1,529 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael O'Connell do best at?

Redcar by strike rate: 14 wins from 87 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael O'Connell ride most for?

John Quinn, with 274 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (13.5%).

What is Michael O'Connell's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,518 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael O'Connell

1,529 rides in the lifetime window · 788 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2013

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

135–1,529

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=1,529

407 (27%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,518 · 0.86 incl. margin

−335.70

£1 level stake

n=1,529 at SP · −22.0%

£807k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 250 times a season, across both codes, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (117 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,529 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 35.5% when favourite John Quinn: 13.5% from 274 LTO winners: 14.5% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (19.5%, n=41), Kempton (AW) (18.9%, n=37) and Redcar (16.1%, n=87) — all clear of the rider's 8.8% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (0% over 66 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.5% (n=117, Fair A/E 0.98), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5% (n=357, Fair A/E 0.92). John Quinn supplied 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.5% vs 8.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.5% over 121 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix De Seine-Et-Oise at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (Nov 2011, £34,483). The standout partner of the record was All Or Nothin (IRE) — 5 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−1.8

n=775 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −191.62

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.5%+5.7

n=117 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −30.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−2.5

n=272 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −139.87

When favourite

35.5%

n=107 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +21.34

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.7%−1.1

n=827 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −219.74

Big fields · 14+ runners

5%−3.8

n=357 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −51.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−2.1

n=15 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +56.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 18.6% vs 8.8% · n=183

At Hamilton 19.5% vs 8.8% · n=41

At Doncaster 0% vs 8.8% · n=66

At Kempton (AW) 18.9% vs 8.8% · n=37

At Redcar 16.1% vs 8.8% · n=87

Off a break of 180+ days 2.5% vs 8.8% · n=121

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,124 111 9.9% −283.48

Hurdle 235 14 6% −109.72

Chase 126 8 6.3% −20.50

NH Flat 44 2 4.5% +78.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 450 32 7.1% −161.22

Good to Firm 360 36 10% +28.33

Standard (AW) 222 22 9.9% −94.54

Soft 214 18 8.4% +9.63

Good to Soft 204 19 9.3% −74.50

Heavy 73 7 9.6% −41.15

Firm 6 1 16.7% −2.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Catterick 124 16 12.9% +52.03

Newcastle 120 9 7.5% −59.92

Wolverhampton (AW) 111 11 9.9% −45.67

Redcar 87 14 16.1% +10.17

Musselburgh 74 6 8.1% −28.00

Beverley 69 9 13% −3.67

Ripon 67 5 7.5% −17.00

Doncaster 66 0 0% −66.00

Southwell (AW) 60 3 5% −47.00

Thirsk 58 3 5.2% −26.50

Sedgefield 55 8 14.5% +21.75

Carlisle 53 5 9.4% +4.75

Pontefract 48 5 10.4% +23.25

Ayr 44 3 6.8% −18.65

York 43 2 4.7% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 563 52 9.2% −76.84

Class 4 391 27 6.9% −183.37

Class 6 345 39 11.3% −23.75

Class 3 129 13 10.1% −50.62

Class 2 75 3 4% −46.12

Class 1 18 1 5.6% +53.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 132 41 31.1% 1.19 +11.59

2nd–3rd fav 273 47 17.2% 1.06 −34.29

4th–6th fav 429 30 7% 0.90 −83.50

7th+ in betting 695 17 2.4% 0.74 −229.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Triple Eight (IRE) 16 1 6 12 Oct 13

Mistral De La Cour (FR) 12 1 2 16 Feb 10

All Or Nothin (IRE) 11 5 7 5 Jul 13

Baltic Bomber (IRE) 10 2 2 13 Jul 13

Select Committee (GB) 10 0 5 15 Oct 12

Brigadoon (GB) 9 2 4 17 Aug 13

Nant Saeson (IRE) 9 2 3 5 May 13

Arthurs Secret (GB) 8 1 1 20 Jun 13

Dr Irv (GB) 8 0 2 27 May 13

Ocean Legend (IRE) 8 1 3 13 Feb 13

Iver Bridge Lad (GB) 8 3 3 6 Oct 12

Finbin (IRE) 8 1 2 22 Oct 09

The 60 most-raced of 788 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

59111181091011584

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Quinn

18% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

John Quinn 274 37 13.5% −16.67

David Nicholls 159 15 9.4% −65.12

Geoffrey Harker 74 5 6.8% −25.17

Ferdy Murphy 65 6 9.2% −3.25

Philip Kirby 58 4 6.9% −38.75

Jedd O'Keeffe 56 3 5.4% −42.25

John Ryan 49 5 10.2% +36.88

George Moore 47 4 8.5% −29.97

Henry Hogarth 44 2 4.5% −24.50

Clive Mulhall 44 1 2.3% −31.00

Tony Carroll 40 4 10% −23.50

Andrew Crook 39 2 5.1% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

155

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£955k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 41 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Iver Bridge Lad (GB) — Prix De Seine-Et-Oise (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Nov 2011 · Group 3

£34,483

Corlande (IRE) — Betfred Poker Handicap Hurdle Series Final Uttoxeter · Feb 2006 · Class 2

£12,526

Secret Asset (IRE) — Cranswick PLC Food Group Handicap York · Jul 2013 · Class 2

£12,291

Notable horses

All Or Nothin (IRE) Shrewd Investor (IRE) Iver Bridge Lad (GB) Baltic Bomber (IRE) Brigadoon (GB) Nant Saeson (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Kyllachy (GB) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Pivotal (GB) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,785 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Acclamation (GB) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 10% of 19,672 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 193.

Majestic Missile (IRE) 27.3% · 6–22

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,897 runs since 2008 (110 horses).

Dr Fong (USA) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,774 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,774 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2005 to 9 November 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 13 Doncaster Instant Attraction (IRE)T: Jedd O'Keeffe betfred.com NurseryClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1

01 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Jawaab (IRE)T: Philip Kirby 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 8/1

29 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) May Whi (IRE)T: John Quinn 32Red NurseryClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 7/1

26 Oct 13 Doncaster O Ma Lad (IRE)T: John Quinn Download The Racing Post Mobile App HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1

25 Oct 13 Doncaster Kiwayu (GB)T: Philip Kirby Doncaster Mini HandicapClass 3 · 14.5f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 12/1

25 Oct 13 Doncaster Mr Gallivanter (IRE)T: John Quinn Racing Post Weekender Nursery (Str)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

23 Oct 13 Newmarket Applejack Lad (GB)T: John Ryan Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 66/1

23 Oct 13 Newmarket Evacusafe Lady (GB)T: John Ryan Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Median Auction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 66/1

21 Oct 13 Pontefract Mon Brav (GB)T: Brian Ellison totequadpot Four Places In Four Races HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 13 Catterick Giant Samurai (USA)T: John Quinn totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 4/1

18 Oct 13 Redcar Spirit of Adjisa (IRE)T: David C Griffiths Sam Hall Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/1

18 Oct 13 Redcar Ty Cobb (IRE)T: John Quinn British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 16/1

18 Oct 13 Redcar Bold Captain (IRE)T: John Quinn British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

16 Oct 13 Nottingham Monsieur Jamie (GB)T: J R Jenkins Fortinet Silver Partner Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 5/1J

16 Oct 13 Nottingham Darling Boyz (GB)T: John Quinn Exclusive Networks NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 14/1

15 Oct 13 Newcastle Wannabe Magic (GB)T: Jedd O'Keeffe Betfred Racing Follow Us On Facebook/E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 66/1

14 Oct 13 Musselburgh Calculated Risk (GB)T: John Quinn Betfair Scottish Stayers' Final (Handicap)Class 3 · 13f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 11/4F

12 Oct 13 York Triple Eight (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Coldstream Guards Association Cup HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 20 ran 8th 33/1

12 Oct 13 York Scots Gaelic (IRE)T: John Quinn Coral Backing Macmillan Cancer Support HandicapClass 4 · 18f · Good · 17 ran 10th 20/1

11 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Watt Broderick (IRE)T: Ian Williams Betfred 'You'll Love A Bit Of Betfred' HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael O'Connell's strike rate?: Michael O'Connell has won 135 of 1,529 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael O'Connell do best at?: Redcar by strike rate: 14 wins from 87 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael O'Connell ride most for?: John Quinn, with 274 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (13.5%).
What is Michael O'Connell's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,518 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.