Forecast (GB)
Forecast (GB) is 4 from 43. Hasn't won since May 2021. All 4 wins have come over 2m1f – 2m4f. Last raced off 103, 35lb below the career-high mark.
- 4–43Wins / Runs
- 9.3%Strike rate
- 11 (25.6%)Placed
- −3.00£1 level staken=43 at SP
- 0.84Fair A/E n=43 · 0.74 incl. margin
- 138Highest OR
- 68dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 112
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 118A | 93.5 | — |
| Soft | 5 | 108A | 78 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 139B | 104 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 139B | 101 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 159C | 94 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 139B | 102 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 108C | 80 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 80C | 73 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 86A | 79 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 37 runs looked at, 8 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (5) · did not complete (3).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 29 figures from 37 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since Jan 2008 (162 horses).
Strongest on soft going: 11.5% from 330.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 0 | 0% | −8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 417 | 32 | 7.7% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 562 | 58 | 10.3% | +1.9 | 2 from 22 |
| Good to Soft | 281 | 20 | 7.1% | −1.3 | 1 from 6 |
| Soft | 330 | 38 | 11.5% | +3.1 | 0 from 7 |
| Heavy | 116 | 9 | 7.8% | −0.6 | 1 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 544 | 35 | 6.4% | −2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 54 | 2 | 3.7% | −4.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 464 | 40 | 8.6% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 421 | 41 | 9.7% | +1.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 530 | 48 | 9.1% | +0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 418 | 31 | 7.4% | −1 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 273 | 24 | 8.8% | +0.4 | 4 from 17 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 106 | 6 | 5.7% | −2.7 | 0 from 12 |
| Over 3m | 10 | 0 | 0% | −8.4 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Helleborine (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Group 1 (African Rose (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helleborine (GB) | 7 | 3 | 6f–1m | Group 3 |
| African Rose (GB) | 12 | 2 | 6f–7f | Group 1 |
| Cultivar (GB) | 8 | 2 | 1m2½f | Class 4 |
| Sand Blast (GB) | 16 | 1 | 2m4f | Class 4 |
| Orchidia (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 1m1½f | Class 5 |
| Peloric (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 22 | 2 | 9% | +6.50 |
| Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| Heavy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 16 | 3 | 19% | +3.00 |
| Class 4 | 12 | 1 | 8% | +9.00 |
| Class 2 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.50 |
| Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lingfield | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Market Rasen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hereford | 2 | 1 | 50% | +19.00 |
| Catterick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Worcester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Aintree | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Longchamp (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 4 | 24% | +23.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Shoemark | 10 | 2 | 20% | +16.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| James Best | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Harry Atkins | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tom Bellamy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lee Edwards | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| Tom Queally | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Finn Lambert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie Hammond | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Patrick Cowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Liam Keniry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Vincent Cheminaud | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thierry Thulliez | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood + tongue tie | 20 | 3 | 15% | +13.50 |
| None | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 7 | 1 | 14% | −0.50 |
| Hood | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.50 |
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +14.00 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 26 | 3 | 12% | +7.50 |
| Chase | 10 | 1 | 10% | −3.50 |
| Flat | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Forecast (GB) won?
- Forecast (GB) won 4 of 43 archived starts between 2015 and 2023, a strike rate of 9.3%. Placed 11 times in total (25.6% of starts).
- Who trained Forecast (GB)?
- Forecast (GB) was trained by Martin Keighley on the most recent run on record, at Stratford on 1 April 2023.
- Who is Forecast (GB)'s sire?
- Forecast (GB) is by Observatory (USA) out of New Orchid (USA), whose sire is Quest For Fame.
- What going does Forecast (GB) prefer?
- Forecast (GB) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Forecast (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 1 April 2023. The highest on record is 138.
- What is Forecast (GB)'s sire's record?
- Observatory (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since Jan 2008 (162 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on soft going: 11.5% from 330.
- Who are Forecast (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of New Orchid (USA), Forecast (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Helleborine (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Group 1 (African Rose (GB)). The wins came over 6f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.