What is William Twiston-Davies's strike rate?

William Twiston-Davies has won 201 of 2,315 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does William Twiston-Davies do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 66 rides (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does William Twiston-Davies ride most for?

Mick Channon, with 228 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.6%).

What is William Twiston-Davies's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 2,297 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

William Twiston-Davies

2,315 rides in the lifetime window · 1,267 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2018 93% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

201–2,315

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=2,315

674 (29%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=2,297 · 0.71 incl. margin

−704.79

£1 level stake

n=2,315 at SP · −30.4%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 260 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (207 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,315 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.9% 21.5% when favourite Mick Channon: 9.6% from 228 LTO winners: 14.5% Rode the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (15.2%, n=66), clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. It is weakest at Haydock (2.3% over 43 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.5% (n=207, Fair A/E 0.94). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −332.89 to a £1 stake over 1,040 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mick Channon supplied 10% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.74). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (15.7%, n=127). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the King George V Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2016, £56,025). The standout partner of the record was Golden Jubilee (USA) — 6 wins from 29 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.6%−1.1

n=1,267 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −382.45

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.5%+5.8

n=207 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −32.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.9%+0.2

n=305 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −49.94

When favourite

21.5%

n=177 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −70.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.5%−0.2

n=1,040 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −332.89

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.9%−2.8

n=287 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −90.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.5%−1.2

n=53 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −19.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Philip Hide 22.6% vs 8.7% · n=31

Off a 0-7-day break 15.7% vs 8.7% · n=127

With Ronald Harris 1.3% vs 8.7% · n=75

On last-time-out winners 14.5% vs 8.7% · n=207

At Ffos Las 15.2% vs 8.7% · n=66

At Haydock 2.3% vs 8.7% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,155 189 8.8% −617.67

Hurdle 76 5 6.6% −39.62

Chase 62 7 11.3% −25.50

NH Flat 22 0 0% −22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 900 80 8.9% −205.33

Good 443 41 9.3% −114.92

Good to Firm 383 26 6.8% −215.38

Good to Soft 259 22 8.5% −115.04

Soft 221 17 7.7% −41.84

Heavy 63 9 14.3% −12.13

Firm 46 6 13% −0.15

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 278 28 10.1% −60.96

Kempton (AW) 276 20 7.2% −104.62

Lingfield (AW) 222 23 10.4% −55.50

Bath 116 12 10.3% −10.15

Windsor 103 8 7.8% −31.75

Chepstow 94 8 8.5% −31.00

Leicester 85 9 10.6% −37.50

Brighton 85 11 12.9% −19.02

Southwell (AW) 78 8 10.3% +44.75

Goodwood 69 5 7.2% −0.50

Ffos Las 66 10 15.2% −8.92

Ascot 64 5 7.8% −30.97

Salisbury 63 6 9.5% −21.29

Lingfield 59 8 13.6% +0.25

Newbury 56 2 3.6% −48.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 857 70 8.2% −309.93

Class 6 615 63 10.2% −117.52

Class 4 472 40 8.5% −134.59

Class 3 176 15 8.5% −66.75

Class 2 119 6 5% −58.50

Class 1 57 5 8.8% −16.00

Class 7 19 2 10.5% −1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 221 54 24.4% 0.87 −47.95

2nd–3rd fav 529 69 13% 0.79 −172.84

4th–6th fav 791 51 6.4% 0.80 −264.00

7th+ in betting 774 27 3.5% 0.99 −220.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Golden Jubilee (USA) 29 6 14 4 Feb 16

Whitecrest (GB) 15 2 6 12 Sep 16

Pharoh Jake (GB) 13 3 7 23 Jun 16

Ajjaadd (USA) 13 2 8 1 Aug 15

Jersey Bull (IRE) 11 1 4 18 Jun 15

Sword of The Lord (GB) 10 3 6 4 Jan 17

Eastern Dragon (IRE) 10 0 3 16 Jul 15

Grevillea (IRE) 10 1 6 24 Oct 14

William Hunter (GB) 9 3 4 22 Sep 16

Sunblazer (IRE) 9 3 5 25 Jun 16

Aldeburgh (GB) 9 3 5 13 Jun 16

Shimba Hills (GB) 9 1 5 11 May 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,267 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91269106810781210

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMick Channon

10% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.74

TrainerRWSR£1

Mick Channon 228 22 9.6% −64.77

Nigel Twiston-Davies 209 23 11% −16.62

Richard Hannon Snr 131 13 9.9% −18.00

Roger Charlton 121 16 13.2% +7.35

Michael Bell 112 14 12.5% +34.66

Alan King 88 10 11.4% −30.50

Ronald Harris 75 1 1.3% −71.88

Michael Scudamore 66 5 7.6% −38.12

Alan McCabe 65 5 7.7% −23.38

John Bridger 57 5 8.8% −20.50

Tony Carroll 42 2 4.8% −30.00

Charles Hills 39 2 5.1% −28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

201

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.69m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 49 wins

Gold Mount (GB) — King George V Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2016 · Class 1

£56,025

Sands Of Fortune (IRE) — Victoria Racing Club Goodwood Stakes (Handicap) Goodwood · Jul 2015 · Class 2

£31,125

Lord Of The Island (IRE) — Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Sandown · Feb 2017 · Grade 3

£28,135

Notable horses

Golden Jubilee (USA) Pharoh Jake (GB) Sword of The Lord (GB) William Hunter (GB) Sunblazer (IRE) Aldeburgh (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 3.3% · 2–61

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Sixties Icon (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.

Pivotal (GB) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Kheleyf (USA) 17.6% · 6–34

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Clodovil (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Dansili (GB) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,315 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,315 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2010 to 12 September 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Sep 18 Doncaster Ginger Jack (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 25/1

14 Mar 17 Cheltenham Foxtail Hill (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Close Brothers Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran F 6/1F

13 Mar 17 Chepstow Winged Crusader (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Live Casino At 188Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 8/1

12 Mar 17 Warwick Deputy Commander (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Six Nations Rugby At 188bet Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29f · Soft · 11 ran PU 8/1

11 Mar 17 Sandown Tintern Theatre (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies European Breeders' Fund Matchbook VIP 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 16/1

10 Mar 17 Leicester Allthegear No Idea (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Sherwood Rangers Yeomanry Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 9/1

05 Mar 17 Huntingdon Kilronan High (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies 188Bet Lady Protectress Mares' Chase (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran UR 14/1

03 Mar 17 Newbury Woodfort (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Rr Elite 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

02 Mar 17 Ludlow Belmount (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Forbra Gold Cup Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/1

01 Mar 17 Ffos Las Luckofthedraw (FR)T: Paul Morgan J Edward Sellars Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

28 Feb 17 Leicester Hollow Blue Sky (FR)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Squire Osbaldeston Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 3/1

28 Feb 17 Leicester Northandsouth (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Sileby Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran REF 15/2

25 Feb 17 Kempton Ballykan (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies BetBright Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 5th 11/1

24 Feb 17 Warwick Muckle Roe (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Premier League Betting At 188bet Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 15/2

22 Feb 17 Ludlow Gulshanigans (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Jenkinsons Caterers Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 7/2

22 Feb 17 Ludlow Better Days (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Racing Uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 14/1

22 Feb 17 Ludlow Woodfort (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Ludlow Point To Point 1st April Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran UR 11/4

18 Feb 17 Haydock Ballyarthur (IRE)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Albert Bartlett Prestige Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 8/1

18 Feb 17 Haydock Blaklion (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Betfred Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 28.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/2F

17 Feb 17 Sandown Cogry (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies Alanbrooke Handicap Chase (Qualifier)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Twiston-Davies's strike rate?: William Twiston-Davies has won 201 of 2,315 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Twiston-Davies do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 66 rides (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does William Twiston-Davies ride most for?: Mick Channon, with 228 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.6%).
What is William Twiston-Davies's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 2,297 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.