Horse profile
Holkham Bay (GB)
5yo gelding (at last run, Jul 2025) · Last trainer William Knight · Last owner Norfolk Thoroughbreds
by Aclaim (IRE) out of Tumblewind (GB) (Captain Rio)
24 runs · 10 courses · from Jun 2022
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 12 Jul 2025 — 480 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jul 2025 · 14th of 17
5 wins · 4 courses
Beaten favourite LTO
Last raced off OR 98
KTB Profile
Holkham Bay won five of 24 starts with all wins in handicaps except his first. He recorded four wins over 6f – 7f and one under 6f, including two at Ascot on soft and good ground plus one at York on good to soft. The gelding, aged 5 at his last run in Jul 2025, finished 14 of 17 at Ascot when beaten favourite off an official rating of 98. He last won at Ascot in Oct 2024.
Based on 24 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
- 5–24Wins / Runs
- 20.8%Strike rate
- 13 (54.2%)Placed
- +3.38£1 level staken=24 at SP
- 1.74Fair A/E n=23 · 1.40 incl. margin
- 99Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 372 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating98↓ 1lb off peak
98
72–99
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 135
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 115A | 97 | — |
| Good | 6 | 119A | 107.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 111C | 103 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 101C | 89 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 135B | 105 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 135B | 102 | — |
| Under 6f | 9 | 119A | 97 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 24 figures from 24 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 3 (33%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 3 (33%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 2,551 runs since Mar 2021 (201 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | +0.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 410 | 43 | 10.5% | +0.6 | 0 from 5 |
| Good | 547 | 49 | 9% | −0.9 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 216 | 25 | 11.6% | +1.7 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 256 | 29 | 11.3% | +1.4 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 74 | 6 | 8.1% | −1.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,038 | 100 | 9.6% | −0.3 | 2 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 482 | 51 | 10.6% | +0.7 | 1 from 9 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,509 | 161 | 10.7% | +0.8 | 4 from 15 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 390 | 26 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 128 | 11 | 8.6% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | −0.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | +1.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2021 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Tumblewind (GB) (Captain Rio)
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Hucklesbrook (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–6f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Hucklesbrook (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hucklesbrook (GB) | 18 | 3 | 6f | Class 2 |
| Warrendale Wagyu (GB) | 8 | 1 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Northern Tempest (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Spear Fir (GB) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Hawk In The Wind (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 2 | 25% | +2.88 |
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +1.00 |
| Class 4 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −1.50 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +6.88 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.00 |
| York | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.50 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.62 |
| Goodwood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 4 | 27% | +7.38 |
| Under 6f | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wilkie | 9 | 2 | 22% | +6.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Neil Callan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.38 |
| Rachel Venniker | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 22 | 5 | 23% | +5.38 |
| Hood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2024 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +8.50 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −0.50 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Jul 25+21d | Ascot | LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap Held up towards the back early - shifted across and driven approaching halfway before being knocked off stride 1f out - dropped away in the closing stages to finish 14th | 14/17 | shd | 9-9 | 98 | 111C | 89A | Brandon Wilkie | 10/3F |
| 21 Jun 25+38d | Ascot | Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Settled on the far flank early - tracked the pace into contention - hit the front approaching the final furlong and edged closer to the rail - narrowly denied at the line | 4/28 | hd | 8-11 | 97 | 108C | 112A | Brandon Wilkie | 28/1 |
| 14 May 25+12d | York | Churchill Tyres Handicap Settled around midpack early - squeezed for space with two furlongs left before finding some late progress - unable to challenge the front runners and came home 7th beaten 4 lengths | 7/16 | ¾ | 9-7 | 98 | 103C | 100A | Oisin Murphy | 7/1 |
| 02 May 25+26d | Goodwood | Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Handicap Held up at the back - driven approaching final furlong then boxed in - shifted right close home - unable to threaten the leaders in the finish | 5/7 | ¾ | 9-4 | 99 | 119A | 98A | Brandon Wilkie | 10/1 |
| 06 Apr 25+184d | Southwell (AW) | Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap Went straight to front - lost command 2f out - dropped away inside final furlong - eventually finished 8th | 8/11 | ½ | 9-3 | 99 | 61A | 85A | Callum Shepherd | 11/1 |
| 2024 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 24+20d | Ascot | Bet MGM Handicap Tracked front pair - moved up wide with two furlongs left - pushed along to close final furlong - edged ahead close home to score | 1/10 | 9-2 | 95 | 135B | 103A | Oisin Murphy | 4/1 | |
| 14 Sep 24+24d | Doncaster | Betfred Portland (Heritage Handicap) Settled midfield down the middle - stepped through into contention over 2f out - couldn't match the front-runners' speed in the closing stages | 7/22 | nse | 8-12 | 96 | 96C | 108A | Brandon Wilkie | 18/1 |
| 21 Aug 24+11d | York | Symphony Group Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Held up towards the back along the far flank - pushed along and lost ground inside the final furlong - eventually finished 20th | 20/22 | 2 | 9-0 | 97 | 60C | 63A | Brandon Wilkie | 7/1 |
| 10 Aug 24+56d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Quick away and up with the front group - began to press forward over 2f out - hit the front inside the final 2f - drifted left in command approaching the last furlong - stayed on strongly to score | 1/10 | 8-13 | 87 | 108B | 100A | Rachel Venniker | 4/1F | |
| 15 Jun 24+21d | York | Fordy Marshall Land And Property Consultants Handicap | 1/20 | 9-9 | 83 | 84C | 111A | Brandon Wilkie | 11/2 | |
| 25 May 24+14d | York | William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap | 2/21 | shd | 9-3 | 79 | 101C | 105A | Brandon Wilkie | 17/2 |
| 11 May 24+22d | Ascot | Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Blue Ribbon Handicap | 2/26 | ¾ | 9-1 | 77 | 108C | 103A | Brandon Wilkie | 14/1 |
| 19 Apr 24+134d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Handicap | 8/16 | shd | 8-6 | 78 | 89C | 83A | Saffie Osborne | 28/1 |
| 2023 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Dec 23+12d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Celebrate Christmas At CCR Handicap | 3/8 | 2 | 9-8 | 79 | 97A | 87A | Daniel Muscutt | 11/4F |
| 25 Nov 23+14d | Lingfield (AW) | BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap | 3/9 | 2 | 9-9 | 79 | 97A | 88A | Marco Ghiani | 5/4F |
| 11 Nov 23+24d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Ccr Welcomes The Mayor Of Chelmsford Handicap | 2/12 | nk | 9-4 | 78 | 115A | 90A | Marco Ghiani | 10/3F |
| 18 Oct 23+22d | Kempton (AW) | Racing TV Apprentice Handicap | 1/10 | 9-12 | 72 | 108A | 106A | Brandon Wilkie | 15/2 | |
| 26 Sep 23+21d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The At The Races App Handicap | 7/11 | ½ | 9-10 | 75 | 102A | 79A | Jim Crowley | 5/1 |
| 05 Sep 23+19d | Goodwood | William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap | 7/11 | shd | 9-5 | 78 | 96A | 79A | William Buick | 22/1 |
| 17 Aug 23+14d | Windsor | William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Racing League Race 17 Handicap | 12/13 | hd | 9-5 | 80 | 77C | 66A | Neil Callan | 18/1 |
| 03 Aug 23+21d | Goodwood | World Pool Handicap | 9/11 | 4½ | 8-8 | 80 | 75A | 60A | Callum Shepherd | 13/2 |
| 13 Jul 23+372d | Doncaster | PPM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 2/10 | hd | 9-9 | 77 | 107A | 100A | Jason Hart | 9/1 |
| 2022 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Jul 22+23d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The At The Races App Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 9-5 | — | 92B | 84A | Neil Callan | 11/8F | |
| 13 Jun 22 | Lingfield (AW) | At The Races App Market Movers Restricted Novice Stakes | 2/10 | 1¼ | 9-5 | — | 79A | 76A | Marco Ghiani | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Holkham Bay won?
- Holkham Bay (GB) won 5 of 24 archived starts between 2022 and 2025, a strike rate of 20.8%. Placed 13 times in total (54.2% of starts).
- Who trained Holkham Bay?
- Holkham Bay (GB) was trained by William Knight on the most recent run on record, at Ascot on 12 July 2025.
- Who is Holkham Bay's sire?
- Holkham Bay (GB) is by Aclaim (IRE) out of Tumblewind (GB), whose sire is Captain Rio.
- What going does Holkham Bay prefer?
- Holkham Bay (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Holkham Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 98, from the run on 12 July 2025. The highest on record is 99.
- What is Holkham Bay's sire's record?
- Aclaim (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 2,551 runs since Mar 2021 (201 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.
- Who are Holkham Bay's siblings?
- Out of Tumblewind (GB), Holkham Bay (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Hucklesbrook (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Hucklesbrook (GB)). The wins came over 5f–6f. As at Nov 2026.