Horse profile
More Than Likely (GB)
by Coach House (IRE) out of Moss Likely (IRE) (Clodovil)
41 runs · 10 courses · from May 2018
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 29 Jul 2024 — 820 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jul 2024 · 9th of 10
7 wins · 4 courses
Last raced off OR 47
KTB Profile
More Than Likely won seven of 41 starts with her last success coming at Bath in Jul 2023 in a Class 6 handicap over under 6f on good to firm. She won three times at Bath and twice at Brighton, all in handicaps or novice auction races, and recorded four wins over 6f-7f. The mare, who raced on turf in 34 of her starts, last ran at Wolverhampton in Jul 2024 when she finished 9 of 10 in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 47.
Based on 41 archived runs · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 41lb off peak
- 7–41Wins / Runs
- 17.1%Strike rate
- 12 (29.3%)Placed
- +33.36£1 level staken=41 at SP
- 1.30Fair A/E n=41 · 1.14 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 56dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating47↓ 41lb off peak
47
47–88
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 88
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 105C | 88 | — |
| Good to Firm | 11 | 124B | 94 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 94A | 88 | — |
| Firm | 7 | 107A | 88 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 24 | 112A | 88.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 124B | 93 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 41 figures from 41 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since Jan 2008 (145 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | +5.7 | 2 from 7 |
| Good to Firm | 411 | 35 | 8.5% | −0.1 | 3 from 11 |
| Good | 518 | 40 | 7.7% | −0.9 | 1 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 231 | 22 | 9.5% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 199 | 22 | 11.1% | +2.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 54 | 5 | 9.3% | +0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,023 | 83 | 8.1% | −0.5 | 1 from 7 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 698 | 63 | 9% | +0.4 | 3 from 24 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,140 | 90 | 7.9% | −0.7 | 4 from 17 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 389 | 37 | 9.5% | +0.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 152 | 14 | 9.2% | +0.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 73 | 7 | 9.6% | +1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +5.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −8.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Moss Likely (IRE) (Clodovil)
3 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lichen Angel (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Qatar Delight (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Light Seeker (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 1 | 8% | +28.00 |
| Good to Firm | 11 | 3 | 27% | +0.41 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.25 |
| Firm | 7 | 2 | 29% | +12.20 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 19 | 4 | 21% | +48.41 |
| Class 4 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.25 |
| Class 5 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −4.80 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath | 17 | 3 | 18% | +48.50 |
| Chepstow | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Windsor | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Brighton | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.20 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.91 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.75 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 24 | 3 | 13% | +41.50 |
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 4 | 24% | −8.14 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicola Currie | 11 | 2 | 18% | +37.50 |
| Shane Kelly | 10 | 4 | 40% | −1.14 |
| Sean D Bowen | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| George Rooke | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tyler Heard | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| J F Egan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tommie Jakes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Charles Bishop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Angus Villiers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Finley Marsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stephen Cummins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 31 | 6 | 19% | +35.86 |
| Cheekpieces | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.50 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +17.50 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +33.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2019 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −7.09 |
| 2018 | 8 | 3 | 38% | −1.05 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Jul 24+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1) | 9/10 | 7 | 8-10 | 47 | 67A | 33A | Tommie Jakes | 200/1 |
| 08 Jul 24+5d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes | 5/13 | 1 | 9-4 | 50 | 88B | 56A | Sean D Bowen | 16/1 |
| 03 Jul 24+13d | Bath | Bet 10 Get 10 At Yeeehaaa.Bet Handicap | 8/9 | 1 | 8-13 | 50 | 71B | 50A | Sean D Bowen | 12/1 |
| 20 Jun 24+27d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap | 3/8 | 1¾ | 8-11 | 51 | 89A | 64A | Sean D Bowen | 11/1 |
| 24 May 24+9d | Bath | Octagon Consultancy Handicap (Div 1) | 8/11 | 2¼ | 9-7 | 53 | 66A | 53A | Nicola Currie | 12/1 |
| 15 May 24+252d | Bath | Bet 10 Get 10 At Yeeehaaa.Bet Handicap | 6/15 | ½ | 9-7 | 53 | 88C | 77A | Nicola Currie | 40/1 |
| 2023 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Sep 23+42d | Bath | Download The At The Races App Handicap | 9/11 | 1 | 9-4 | 55 | 80A | 54A | Saffie Osborne | 14/1 |
| 26 Jul 23+7d | Bath | Phil Mac Associates Handicap (Div 1) | 8/11 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 56 | 91A | 53A | Nicola Currie | 15/2 |
| 19 Jul 23+14d | Bath | CB Protection Handicap | 9/14 | nk | 9-8 | 56 | 105C | 67A | Nicola Currie | 9/1 |
| 05 Jul 23+26d | Bath | BresBet Proudly Supports British Racing Handicap | 1/9 | 9-6 | 52 | 90B | 82A | Nicola Currie | 13/2 | |
| 09 Jun 23+14d | Bath | Amarin Rubber And Plastics 20th Anniversary Handicap | 1/7 | 8-7 | 49 | 107A | 82A | Hollie Doyle | 16/1 | |
| 26 May 23+9d | Bath | M J Church Waste Solutions Handicap (Div 1) | 10/11 | shd | 9-6 | 52 | 76A | 56A | Charles Bishop | 14/1 |
| 17 May 23+248d | Bath | Star Sports Bet Handicap | 9/13 | nk | 9-1 | 52 | 75C | 59A | Nicola Currie | 40/1 |
| 2022 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Sep 22+59d | Chepstow | Vickers.Bet Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap | 10/11 | ¾ | 8-5 | 55 | 93A | 54A | George Rooke | 40/1 |
| 14 Jul 22+15d | Chepstow | Best Odds Guaranteed At Vickers.Bet Everyday Handicap | 8/11 | ½ | 9-5 | 56 | 124B | 65A | Nicola Currie | 22/1 |
| 29 Jun 22+9d | Bath | Ken Hall Memorial Handicap | 7/8 | 2¾ | 9-1 | 57 | 75A | 55A | Nicola Currie | 10/1 |
| 20 Jun 22+16d | Chepstow | Follow Vickers.Bet on Facebook Handicap | 4/12 | ¾ | 9-8 | 57 | 87A | 77A | Nicola Currie | 28/1 |
| 04 Jun 22+15d | Chepstow | Duralock Handicap | 5/5 | 1¾ | 9-0 | 58 | 91C | 54B | Saffie Osborne | 10/3 |
| 20 May 22+9d | Bath | M J Church Contracting Handicap (Div 2) | 1/12 | 9-8 | 54 | 99A | 88A | Nicola Currie | 40/1 | |
| 11 May 22+13d | Bath | Supporting Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap | 6/9 | 2 | 8-12 | 54 | 90A | 56A | Tyler Heard | 33/1 |
| 28 Apr 22+646d | Chepstow | Capital Windscreens 08000 269126 Replacement Service Handicap | 5/9 | 1½ | 8-3 | 57 | 90A | 59A | Tyler Heard | 100/1 |
| 2020 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Jul 20+19d | Chepstow | Toalsbet Dial-A-Bet 028 90 321 721 Fillies' Handicap | 7/7 | 1½ | 9-4 | 66 | 103A | 61A | J F Egan | 100/1 |
| 02 Jul 20+17d | Bath | Swineford Handicap | 8/9 | ½ | 8-12 | 69 | 75A | 59A | J F Egan | 100/1 |
| 15 Jun 20+229d | Chepstow | Chepstow Plant International Handicap | 9/10 | 1¾ | 8-13 | 72 | 64A | 55A | J F Egan | 66/1 |
| 2019 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 19+35d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Selling Stakes | 2/6 | 1½ | 9-1 | 74 | 83A | 68B | Shane Kelly | 4/11F |
| 25 Sep 19+11d | Goodwood | Heineken UK Apprentice Handicap | 7/9 | ½ | 9-0 | 75 | 90A | 68A | Tyler Heard | 12/1 |
| 14 Sep 19+17d | Bath | Lovely Louise Hudson Birthday Handicap | 3/6 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 76 | 88A | 74B | Angus Villiers | 7/2 |
| 28 Aug 19+37d | Lingfield | Roadmarking Excel Supporting Demelza House Selling Stakes | 1/6 | 8-12 | 78 | 105A | 76B | Shane Kelly | 10/11F | |
| 22 Jul 19+6d | Windsor | Download The Marathonbet App Fillies' Handicap | 4/7 | nse | 9-4 | 79 | 103A | 74A | Shane Kelly | 7/2 |
| 16 Jul 19+16d | Bath | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap | 2/4 | 2¾ | 9-2 | 79 | 103C | 78B | Shane Kelly | 8/1 |
| 30 Jun 19+27d | Windsor | Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Handicap | 4/5 | ¾ | 8-5 | 80 | 98C | 67B | George Rooke | 8/1 |
| 03 Jun 19+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap | 2/8 | 2 | 8-12 | 80 | 85A | 76A | George Rooke | 14/1 |
| 23 May 19+182d | Chepstow | Alliance Leisure Handicap | 7/10 | 2 | 9-6 | 83 | 92A | 61A | Shane Kelly | 12/1 |
| 2018 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Nov 18+26d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes, Home Of The Odds Boost Nursery | 6/6 | 1 | 9-7 | 85 | 94A | 69B | Shane Kelly | 10/1 |
| 27 Oct 18+51d | Newbury | Sir Gerald Whent Memorial Nursery | 13/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 88 | 85C | 73A | Shane Kelly | 20/1 |
| 06 Sep 18+43d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 1/7 | 9-4 | 86 | 94A | 88A | Shane Kelly | 7/4 | |
| 25 Jul 18+18d | Bath | Buzz People/EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 2/3 | ¾ | 8-12 | 86 | 84C | 65C | Finley Marsh | 2/7F |
| 07 Jul 18+11d | Nottingham | Go Casino Experience Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) | 2/8 | 1½ | 9-1 | 86 | 112A | 72A | Stephen Cummins | 10/3 |
| 26 Jun 18+15d | Brighton | Bet365 Novice Auction Stakes | 1/5 | 9-4 | — | 94C | 87B | Shane Kelly | EvensJ | |
| 11 Jun 18+14d | Brighton | Roger Is Not Quite 60 Yet Novice Auction Stakes | 1/6 | 8-9 | — | 99A | 81B | Shane Kelly | 6/5F | |
| 28 May 18 | Windsor | Sky Bet Fast Withdrawal Novice Auction Stakes (Div 2) | 3/11 | ¾ | 8-2 | — | 68A | 74A | Nicola Currie | 10/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has More Than Likely won?
- More Than Likely (GB) won 7 of 41 archived starts between 2018 and 2024, a strike rate of 17.1%. Placed 12 times in total (29.3% of starts).
- Who trained More Than Likely?
- More Than Likely (GB) was trained by Nikki Evans on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 July 2024.
- Who is More Than Likely's sire?
- More Than Likely (GB) is by Coach House (IRE) out of Moss Likely (IRE), whose sire is Clodovil.
- What going does More Than Likely prefer?
- More Than Likely (GB) has the best record on firm going: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is More Than Likely's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 47, from the run on 29 July 2024. The highest on record is 88.
- What is More Than Likely's sire's record?
- Coach House (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since Jan 2008 (145 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are More Than Likely's siblings?
- Out of Moss Likely (IRE), More Than Likely (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.