What is Tommie Jakes's strike rate?

Tommie Jakes has won 59 of 519 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tommie Jakes do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 102 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tommie Jakes ride most for?

Linda Perratt, with 169 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (10.1%).

What is Tommie Jakes's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 513 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tommie Jakes

519 rides in the last 5 seasons · 238 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 356 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

59–519

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=519

147 (28%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=513 · 0.97 incl. margin

+46.80

£1 level stake

n=519 at SP · +9.0%

£517k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (73 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 519 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 28.3% when favourite Linda Perratt: 10.1% from 169 LTO winners: 20.5% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (15.7%, n=102), clear of the rider's 11.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.5% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.18), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.29). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +54.14 to a £1 stake over 481 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Linda Perratt supplies 33% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.5%, n=34). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.5% over 40 rides, 8.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.1%−1.3

n=238 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −4.99

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.5%+9.1

n=73 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +10.68

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.8%−9.6

n=57 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −50.50

When favourite

28.3%

n=46 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −5.07

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.4%+0.0

n=481 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +54.14

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−5.7

n=35 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −24.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23.5% vs 11.4% · n=34

With George Boughey 21.8% vs 11.4% · n=55

On last-time-out winners 20.5% vs 11.4% · n=73

Off a 61-180-day break 2.5% vs 11.4% · n=40

On Good to Soft going 3.1% vs 11.4% · n=32

At Newcastle (AW) 15.7% vs 11.4% · n=102

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 289 41 14.2% +141.17

Good 105 9 8.6% −50.50

Good to Firm 73 7 9.6% −13.87

Good to Soft 32 1 3.1% −29.00

Soft 14 0 0% −14.00

Heavy 6 1 16.7% +13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 102 16 15.7% +91.16

Wolverhampton (AW) 56 8 14.3% −13.37

Southwell (AW) 36 5 13.9% +46.35

Kempton (AW) 34 5 14.7% +26.41

Lingfield (AW) 32 4 12.5% −3.63

Ayr 29 4 13.8% −7.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 29 3 10.3% −5.75

Brighton 25 1 4% −10.00

Musselburgh 20 1 5% −10.00

Hamilton 18 1 5.6% −13.50

Yarmouth 13 1 7.7% −10.25

Newmarket 12 0 0% −12.00

Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00

Newmarket 9 1 11.1% +10.00

Leicester 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 232 29 12.5% +52.91

Class 5 161 18 11.2% −42.00

Class 4 91 11 12.1% +55.89

Class 2 18 1 5.6% −3.00

Class 3 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 13 24.5% 0.94 −12.07

2nd–3rd fav 104 22 21.2% 1.24 +8.87

4th–6th fav 171 15 8.8% 1.07 −22.00

7th+ in betting 191 9 4.7% 1.42 +72.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Keep Me Stable (IRE) 21 4 7 7 Jun 25

Henery Hawk (GB) 18 4 8 11 Oct 25

Nazca (GB) 15 4 5 21 Oct 25

Bernie The Bear (IRE) 14 0 5 21 Jun 25

Starliner (IRE) 13 1 6 27 Jun 25

Judgment Call (GB) 11 0 3 13 Apr 25

Phoenix Star (IRE) 11 3 5 17 Dec 24

Reveal (GB) 9 0 1 13 Aug 24

Retirement Beckons (GB) 8 1 1 14 Feb 25

Moon Flight (IRE) 8 2 6 4 Feb 25

Suzi's Connoisseur (GB) 8 1 3 13 May 23

H Key Lails (GB) 6 2 3 27 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 238 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

151012961111161871510

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLinda Perratt

33% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.26

TrainerRWSR£1

Linda Perratt 169 17 10.1% +73.66

George Boughey 55 12 21.8% −0.90

Ismail Mohammed 43 5 11.6% +18.75

Michael Attwater 38 5 13.2% +2.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£517k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 29 wins

Penhallam (IRE) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£16,200

Moon Flight (IRE) — BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 4

£13,870

Moonspirit (GB) — Weatherbys ePassport Coconut Cup Fillies' Handicap Beverley · Jul 2024 · Class 4

£8,191

Notable horses

Keep Me Stable (IRE) Henery Hawk (GB) Nazca (GB) Phoenix Star (IRE) Alfheim (IRE) Storymaker (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Galileo Gold (GB) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,016 runs since 2008 (173 horses).

Heeraat (IRE) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,514 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.

Universal (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 519 · newest first

The latest 50 of 519 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2023 to 29 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 25 Nottingham Guarantee (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 125/1

28 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Flicka's Girl (GB)T: Michael Attwater Join The Midnite Movement Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 16/1

27 Oct 25 Lingfield (AW) H Key Lails (GB)T: Michael Attwater Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/2

21 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Nazca (GB)T: Linda Perratt Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 33/1

18 Oct 25 Catterick Fouroneohfever (IRE)T: George Boughey Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 1st 11/2

16 Oct 25 Brighton Bear To Dream (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Docker Hughes Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th 11/1

16 Oct 25 Brighton Huxley (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Parkfield Equine Solutions HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 50/1

16 Oct 25 Brighton Wind Summer (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 66/1

16 Oct 25 Brighton Thismydream (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Star Sports Brighton Owners Series HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 22/1

14 Oct 25 Leicester Didaar (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed leicesterraces Next Meeting Tuesday 28th October HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 8th 9/1

14 Oct 25 Leicester Born To Bright (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed Every Race Live On Racing TV NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 7th 9/1

13 Oct 25 Yarmouth Fast Bullet (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed MCI Celebrating Their 4th Year Anniversary HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 17/2

11 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Henery Hawk (GB)T: Linda Perratt Arc Weekend On Sky Sports Racing HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/2J

10 Oct 25 Kempton (AW) Al Amirah (GB)T: Ismail Mohammed British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 6th 80/1

09 Oct 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Cabeza De Llave (GB)T: Michael Attwater 'Timeform Sprint Series Qualifier' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

08 Oct 25 Kempton (AW) Frostmagic (IRE)T: Ismail Mohammed Unibet Supports Safer Gambling HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 2nd 8/1

07 Oct 25 Brighton Zaltalla (FR)T: Michael Attwater JenningsBet 200 Shops Nationwide HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 14/1

04 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Damzon (GB)T: James Evans Franklin Hodge HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 9/2

04 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Enzos Angel (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Position Payout At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 12/1

04 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Wisetanck (IRE)T: Lemos De Souza Rockspur CIC Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tommie Jakes's strike rate?: Tommie Jakes has won 59 of 519 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tommie Jakes do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 102 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tommie Jakes ride most for?: Linda Perratt, with 169 rides since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (10.1%).
What is Tommie Jakes's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 513 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.