Horse profile
Mostar Dreams (IRE)
by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Hope So (IRE) (Bated Breath)
30 runs · 12 courses · from Apr 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · Newcastle (AW), Haydock & Carlisle
Ran 14 days ago · 7th of 12
Last raced off OR 95
KTB Profile
Mostar Dreams is a mare who has won four of 30 starts, three of them in Class 4 handicaps. All four wins came in fillies events, three over 6f – 7f on turf and one over 1m – 1m1f on Standard AW. She has won twice at Carlisle, once at Haydock and once at Newcastle. Aged 5 at her last run in Oct 2026, she finished 7 of 12 in a Class 1 race at Ascot off an official rating of 95. Typically held up, she was ridden with patience in five of nine analysed runs.
Based on 30 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
- 4–30Wins / Runs
- 13.3%Strike rate
- 13 (43.3%)Placed
- −3.25£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 1.36Fair A/E n=30 · 1.14 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 31dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating95↓ 3lb off peak
95
69–98
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 109
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 109A | 93 | 3 · 109 / 95 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 110A | 77 | 1 · — |
| Good | 6 | 108A | 100.5 | 2 · 108 / 108 |
| Soft | 4 | 85A | 80.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 100A | 92 | 3 · 100 / 92 |
| Heavy | 2 | 104A | 68.5 | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 25 | 110A | 85 | 5 · 100 / 77 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 109A | 108 | 5 · 109 / 108 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 30 figures from 30 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs
- Held up 5 (56%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 3 (33%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 2 | 40% | +28.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 373 | 47 | 12.6% | +1.1 | 2 from 8 |
| Good | 688 | 65 | 9.4% | −2.1 | 0 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 332 | 34 | 10.2% | −1.3 | 0 from 7 |
| Soft | 410 | 37 | 9% | −2.5 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 135 | 8 | 5.9% | −5.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 928 | 138 | 14.9% | +3.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 69 | 3 | 4.3% | −7.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 880 | 96 | 10.9% | −0.6 | 3 from 25 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 878 | 103 | 11.7% | +0.2 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 792 | 103 | 13% | +1.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 187 | 22 | 11.8% | +0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 64 | 4 | 6.3% | −5.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Hope So (IRE) (Bated Breath)
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Dragonfly In Amber (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f–6½f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Dragonfly In Amber (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonfly In Amber (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 6f | Class 6 |
| Spangle Fortune (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 6½f | — |
| Fulminare (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 8 | 2 | 25% | +1.75 |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 14 | 3 | 21% | +1.75 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Class 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 6 | 2 | 33% | +8.75 |
| Haydock | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Pontefract | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ayr | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| York | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Thirsk | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hamilton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 25 | 3 | 12% | −4.25 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mulrennan | 8 | 2 | 25% | +1.75 |
| Andrew Mullen | 8 | 1 | 13% | +3.00 |
| Oisin McSweeney | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Mikey Sheehy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Barry McHugh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| M. P. Sheehy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lauren Young | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shay Farmer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Franny Norton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −2.25 |
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 10% | +1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 26+28d | Ascot | Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race) settled at the back early - pushed along over 1f out - plugged on late for 7th | 7/12 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 95 | 72B | 82A | Barry McHugh | 66/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+28d | Thirsk | Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap Stakes settled around midfield - nudged for effort with two furlongs left - dropped away quickly inside the final furlong and finished well held in 9th | 9/9 | 4¾ | 10-2 | 97 | 77C | 66C | M. P. Sheehy | 28/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+13d | Haydock | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Fought for control early - settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f remaining but unable to close going into the last furlong | 9/10 | 3¼ | 9-4 | 98 | 108A | 77A | Oisin McSweeney | 40/1 |
| 26 Jul 26+19d | Pontefract | William Hill Pomfret Stakes (Listed Race) held up towards the back - driven over 1f out to work past tired opposition - claimed third close home | 3/6 | 3 | 9-2 | 88 | 109A | 90B | Oisin McSweeney | 20/1 |
| 07 Jul 26+13d | Pontefract | Weatherbys Pipalong Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) Settled towards the back - asked for effort and made ground over 1f out - kept on in the final furlong to grab fourth near the line | 4/12 | 1 | 9-2 | 85 | 108A | 95A | Mikey Sheehy | 33/1 |
| 24 Jun 26+138d | Carlisle | Racing Staff Week Fillies' Handicap Settled in fourth early - moved left and made progress inside the final two furlongs - closed on the leader entering the last furlong and kept battling on the rails - edged out by a whisker | 2/6 | nse | 10-2 | 84 | 95A | 96B | Mikey Sheehy | 15/2 |
| 06 Feb 26+28d | Newcastle (AW) | Tipping Tom On SBK Bet Feed Handicap Fought for control early - settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f left then edged forward late finish 9th | 9/12 | nk | 9-8 | 84 | 92A | 79A | Oisin McSweeney | 9/1 |
| 09 Jan 26+44d | Newcastle (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap Settled towards the back - asked for effort with a furlong left - swept through emphatically inside the closing furlong - hit the front close home and stayed on to win | 1/6 | 9-11 | 82 | 72A | 88B | Oisin McSweeney | 5/1 | |
| 26 Nov 25+18d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfair Racing Podcasts Nursery Handicap Sat handy behind pace - pushed along a furlong out then squeezed for room late - found room again and kept battling to finish third | 3/7 | ½ | 9-11 | 82 | 100A | 90A | Cieren Fallon | 3/1J |
| 08 Nov 25+50d | Doncaster | Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Settled in the pack early - urged forward by halfway - unable to close from over 2f out - well held at the finish | 19/21 | 2 | 10-0 | 83 | 33C | 77C | Lauren Young | 20/1 |
| 19 Sep 25+14d | Ayr | Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap Held up around midfield towards the stands rail - lost touch approaching final two furlongs - trailing home last furlong - finished last of 20 | 20/25 | 4 | 9-10 | 83 | 57C | 60C | Paul Mulrennan | 5/1 |
| 05 Sep 25+15d | Haydock | Oakmere Homes Handicap Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - settled towards the back - angled right and pushed along inside final furlong - stayed on well to grab 3rd right on the line | 3/11 | nk | 9-9 | 83 | 93A | 91A | Paul Mulrennan | 15/2 |
| 21 Aug 25+11d | York | British EBF Fillies' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Checked early - fighting for control - settled towards back - boxed in and knocked off stride 2f out - moved left and finished strongly to close | 8/18 | nk | 9-5 | 78 | 99C | 87A | Daniel Tudhope | 16/1 |
| 10 Aug 25+20d | Haydock | Sky Bet Build A Bet Fillies' Handicap Slow into stride - settled at back of field - eased right for room 2f out - made rapid progress wide 1f out - driven to front inside final furlong - stayed on strongly to score | 1/7 | 9-10 | 78 | 80A | 95A | Paul Mulrennan | 5/1 | |
| 21 Jul 25+11d | Ayr | Fergie & Myra Happel Ayr Gold Cup Trial Handicap Sluggish start - settled towards the back - unable to make any impression - finished well beaten in 14th | 14/18 | ½ | 9-4 | 80 | 76C | 64A | Kevin Stott | 17/2 |
| 10 Jul 25+27d | Carlisle | British EBF Fillies' Handicap Settled towards the back - made progress from 2f out then pushed along inside final furlong - kept on late to finish fourth | 4/11 | 2¼ | 10-3 | 81 | 83B | 95A | Paul Mulrennan | 7/2 |
| 13 Jun 25+13d | York | British EBF Supporting Racing With Pride Fillies' Handicap Tracked the front pack from a wide berth - asked for effort with 2f left - dropped away inside the final furlong and eased off without further urging | 8/13 | 1½ | 9-1 | 82 | 85C | 81A | Paul Mulrennan | 4/1F |
| 31 May 25+12d | Haydock | Betfred 'Join Our Sports Club' Fillies' Handicap Held up eagerly behind pace-setter early - dropped back into third with 2f left before rallying into second inside final furlong - unable to trouble the winner - dropped away in closing stages to finish fourth | 4/11 | ¾ | 9-8 | 82 | 55A | 94A | Paul Mulrennan | 11/2 |
| 19 May 25+23d | Carlisle | PricedUp Handicap Fumbled the start - travelling strongly and settled towards the back - made rapid progress up the wide part of the track from over 2f out - drifted right but hit the front inside the final furlong - kept up to the finish to score | 1/10 | 9-2 | 73 | 101A | 101A | Paul Mulrennan | 11/4F | |
| 26 Apr 25+197d | Doncaster | Play At The Races StableDuel Fillies' Handicap Took a strong hold early - tracked the pack through midfield - made steady progress into contention 2f out - pushed into third close home but lacked the speed to get there in time | 2/8 | ½ | 9-8 | 72 | 91B | 92A | Paul Mulrennan | 7/2C |
| 11 Oct 24+19d | York | Ire Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Apprentice Handicap Tracked front group early - dropped away in the closing furlong - finished sixth | 6/18 | 1½ | 8-13 | 74 | 81C | 80A | Shay Farmer | 12/1 |
| 22 Sep 24+18d | Hamilton | Usave Business Energy Specialist Fillies' Handicap Slow to break - settled in behind the pace - pushed into second inside final 2f but drifted right - edged out again in the closing stages to finish third | 3/10 | 2½ | 9-5 | 75 | 110A | 81A | Andrew Mullen | 9/1 |
| 04 Sep 24+14d | Hamilton | PMA Recruitment Services & WE Contracts Fillies' Handicap Settled around midfield near the stands rail - closed to challenge with a furlong left - lost pace inside final 100 yards but stayed on to finish third | 3/9 | ½ | 9-10 | 75 | 104A | 84A | Andrew Mullen | 7/1 |
| 21 Aug 24+41d | Carlisle | Explosive Productions 20th Anniversary Handicap Settled towards rear - moved up strongly from 2f out - challenged for the lead inside the final furlong but edged out by a half-length | 2/10 | ½ | 9-6 | 72 | 103A | 93A | Andrew Mullen | 18/1 |
| 11 Jul 24+24d | Carlisle | 32West British EBF Fillies' Handicap | 8/9 | 1½ | 9-4 | 72 | 108B | 62A | Andrew Mullen | 10/1 |
| 17 Jun 24+23d | Carlisle | Follow Rhino.Bet On Instagram Fillies' Handicap | 1/10 | 9-10 | 69 | 85A | 81A | Andrew Mullen | 10/1 | |
| 25 May 24+11d | Chester | Via Roma Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/4 | 1½ | 9-2 | 70 | 61C | 59C | Franny Norton | 9/2 |
| 14 May 24+10d | Ayr | Book Bounce Bingo At Ayr Racecourse Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/6 | shd | 9-2 | — | 98B | 85B | Andrew Mullen | 7/1 |
| 04 May 24+12d | Thirsk | Vickers.Bet Independent Family-Owned Bookmaker EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/10 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | 59A | 76A | Andrew Mullen | 15/2 |
| 22 Apr 24 | Pontefract | Constant Security Services Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/8 | 2½ | 9-2 | — | 80A | 85A | Andrew Mullen | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mostar Dreams (IRE) won?
- Mostar Dreams (IRE) won 4 of 30 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 13.3%. Placed 13 times in total (43.3% of starts).
- Who trains Mostar Dreams (IRE)?
- Mostar Dreams (IRE) is trained by Adrian Keatley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is Mostar Dreams (IRE)'s sire?
- Mostar Dreams (IRE) is by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Hope So (IRE), whose sire is Bated Breath.
- What going does Mostar Dreams (IRE) prefer?
- Mostar Dreams (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Mostar Dreams (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 95, from the run on 3 October 2026. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Mostar Dreams (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,871 runs since Jan 2008 (357 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 928. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
- Who are Mostar Dreams (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Hope So (IRE), Mostar Dreams (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Dragonfly In Amber (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Dragonfly In Amber (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–6½f. As at Oct 2026.