Our Lucas (IRE)
Our Lucas (IRE) is 3 from 30. Hasn't won since Aug 2018. Last raced off 95, 23lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–30Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 7 (23.3%)Placed
- −19.13£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=30 · 1.00 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 65dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 73
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 102C | 83 | — |
| Soft | 6 | 125B | 96 | — |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 103C | 100 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 105A | 55 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 14 | 125B | 86.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 103C | 85.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 27 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 27 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since Jan 2008 (425 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 386 | 37 | 9.6% | −1.6 | — |
| Good | 1,811 | 207 | 11.4% | +0.2 | 1 from 10 |
| Good to Soft | 1,044 | 145 | 13.9% | +2.7 | 1 from 5 |
| Soft | 1,953 | 220 | 11.3% | +0.1 | 1 from 11 |
| Heavy | 856 | 90 | 10.5% | −0.7 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 664 | 50 | 7.5% | −3.7 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 192 | 19 | 9.9% | −1.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 743 | 58 | 7.8% | −3.4 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 653 | 62 | 9.5% | −1.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 684 | 69 | 10.1% | −1.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,889 | 241 | 12.8% | +1.6 | 2 from 20 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,680 | 211 | 12.6% | +1.4 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 736 | 66 | 9% | −2.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 147 | 24 | 16.3% | +5.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lista Lightning (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Piverina (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Lightning (IRE) | 19 | 1 | 6f | — |
| Piverina (IRE) | 29 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 6 |
| Electuary (IRE) | 14 | 0 | — | — |
| Phoenix Factor (IRE) | 14 | 0 | — | — |
| Cadeaux Singer (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 1 | 9% | −6.50 |
| Good | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.38 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.25 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.50 |
| Class 5 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.38 |
| Ayr | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.50 |
| Tipperary | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tramore | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Musselburgh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Thurles | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 20 | 2 | 10% | −12.88 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.25 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hughes | 5 | 3 | 60% | +5.87 |
| Dale Irving | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ross Chapman | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Derek Fox | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Patrick Corbett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Mania | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alain Cawley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| J J Slevin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stephen Mulqueen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| M P Fogarty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| A E Lynch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Splaine | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2020 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2019 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2018 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +3.87 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 18 | 3 | 17% | −7.13 |
| Chase | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Our Lucas (IRE) won?
- Our Lucas (IRE) won 3 of 30 archived starts between 2016 and 2021, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 7 times in total (23.3% of starts).
- Who trained Our Lucas (IRE)?
- Our Lucas (IRE) was trained by P M Cloke on the most recent run on record, at Tipperary on 6 May 2021.
- Who is Our Lucas (IRE)'s sire?
- Our Lucas (IRE) is by Jeremy (USA) out of Alassio (USA), whose sire is Gulch.
- What going does Our Lucas (IRE) prefer?
- Our Lucas (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Our Lucas (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 95, from the run on 6 May 2021. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Our Lucas (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Jeremy (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since Jan 2008 (425 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest at trips beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
- Who are Our Lucas (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Alassio (USA), Our Lucas (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lista Lightning (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Piverina (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.