How many races has Simulation Theory (IRE) won?

Simulation Theory (IRE) won 3 of 21 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 5 times in total (23.8% of starts).

Who trained Simulation Theory (IRE)?

Simulation Theory (IRE) was trained by Declan Carroll on the most recent run on record, at Pontefract on 30 July 2023.

Who is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s sire?

Simulation Theory (IRE) is by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Barawin (IRE), whose sire is Hawk Wing.

What going does Simulation Theory (IRE) prefer?

Simulation Theory (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.

What is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s official rating?

The most recent official rating on record is 61, from the run on 30 July 2023. The highest on record is 73.

What is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s sire's record?

Starspangledbanner (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,101 runs since Jan 2008 (658 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,182.

Who are Simulation Theory (IRE)'s siblings?

Out of Barawin (IRE), Simulation Theory (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Family Fortunes (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Family Fortunes (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.

Horse profile

Simulation Theory (IRE)

5yo gelding (at last run, Jul 2023) · Last trainer Declan Carroll · Last owner Mrs Sarah Bryan

by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Barawin (IRE) (Hawk Wing)

21 runs · 14 courses · from Aug 2020

As at 14 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily

No run recorded since 30 Jul 2023 — 1,172 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.

Last run Jul 2023 · 10th of 10 3 wins · Carlisle, Redcar & Yarmouth Headgear returns LTO Last raced off OR 61

KTB Profile

Simulation Theory (IRE) is 3 from 21. Hasn't won since Sep 2022. All 3 wins have come on turf — 0 from 8 on the all-weather. Last raced off 61, 12lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 21 archived runs · updated 14 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance All wins on turf OR ↓ 12lb off peak

3–21Wins / Runs
14.3%Strike rate
5 (23.8%)Placed
−8.89£1 level staken=21 at SP
1.12Fair A/E n=21 · 0.98 incl. margin
73Highest OR
53dAvg between runs

Official rating61↓ 12lb off peak

61 61–73

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 100 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Beverley, 16 May 2023

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.

Flat 21 figures · best 105^B · median 82

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 14 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)	8	105^B	84	—
Good to Soft	7	101^C	82	—
Good to Firm	4	91^C	81	—
Soft	2	87^A	70	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 14 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f	12	105^B	84.5	—
1m2f – 1m4f	5	91^C	82	—
6f – 7f	4	87^A	81	—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 21 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 56^A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Beverley, 16 May 2023 Official rating 61 at the last run, 30 Jul 2023

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race.

Flat 21 figures · best 84^A · median 72

Going	Runs	Best	Median	Since 14 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)	8	84^A	70.5	—
Good to Soft	7	82^A	73	—
Good to Firm	4	72^C	67.5	—
Soft	2	82^A	78	—

Distance	Runs	Best	Median	Since 14 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f	12	82^A	62.5	—
1m2f – 1m4f	5	84^A	74	—
6f – 7f	4	82^A	72.5	—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 21 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Starspangledbanner (AUS)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,101 runs since Jan 2008 (658 horses).

Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,182.

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Firm	25	3	12%	+0.9	—
Good to Firm	1,032	124	12%	+0.9	1 from 4
Good	1,728	183	10.6%	−0.5	—
Good to Soft	768	90	11.7%	+0.6	1 from 7
Soft	1,057	120	11.4%	+0.3	1 from 2
Heavy	291	33	11.3%	+0.2	—
Standard (AW)	2,200	236	10.7%	−0.4	0 from 8

Distance (all codes)	Runs	Wins	SR	vs sire	This horse
Under 6f	1,182	172	14.6%	+3.5	—
6f – 7f	3,542	393	11.1%	0	1 from 4
1m – 1m1f	1,373	135	9.8%	−1.3	1 from 12
1m2f – 1m4f	642	60	9.3%	−1.8	1 from 5
1m5f – 2m	266	25	9.4%	−1.7	—
2m1f – 2m4f	83	4	4.8%	−6.3	—
2m5f – 3m	13	0	0%	−11.1	—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

Barawin (IRE) (Hawk Wing)

3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Family Fortunes (GB) (4 wins).

The wins came over 5f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Family Fortunes (GB)).

Produce	Runs	Wins	Win trips	Best grade
Family Fortunes (GB)	43	4	5f–1m	Class 4
Sir Jack Layden (GB)	18	2	7f–1m4f	Class 4
Kelvin Hall (GB)	20	2	1m3f–1m4f	Class 4

Record by conditions

Going	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Standard (AW)	8	0	0%	−8.00
Good to Soft	7	1	14%	−3.75
Good to Firm	4	1	25%	−2.64
Soft	2	1	50%	+5.50

Class	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Class 5	13	2	15%	−4.14
Class 6	7	1	14%	−3.75
Class 3	1	0	0%	−1.00

Course	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Redcar	3	1	33%	−1.64
Kempton (AW)	3	0	0%	−3.00
Newcastle (AW)	2	0	0%	−2.00
Nottingham	2	0	0%	−2.00
Yarmouth	2	1	50%	+5.50
Pontefract	1	0	0%	−1.00
Doncaster	1	0	0%	−1.00
Beverley	1	0	0%	−1.00
Leicester	1	0	0%	−1.00
Carlisle	1	1	100%	+2.25
Southwell (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Chelmsford City (AW)	1	0	0%	−1.00
Sandown	1	0	0%	−1.00

Distance	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
1m – 1m1f	12	1	8%	−8.75
1m2f – 1m4f	5	1	20%	−3.64
6f – 7f	4	1	25%	+3.50

Jockey	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
Harrison Shaw	5	1	20%	−1.75
Zak Wheatley	3	0	0%	−3.00
Harry Bentley	3	1	33%	+4.50
Josephine Gordon	2	0	0%	−2.00
Daniel Muscutt	2	0	0%	−2.00
Benoit De La Sayette	1	1	100%	+0.36
Mr Simon Walker	1	0	0%	−1.00
Connor Planas	1	0	0%	−1.00
Rob Hornby	1	0	0%	−1.00
Harry Burns	1	0	0%	−1.00
P J McDonald	1	0	0%	−1.00

Headgear	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
None	9	1	11%	−1.50
Tongue tie	7	1	14%	−3.75
Hood	4	1	25%	−2.64
Tongue tie + cheekpieces	1	0	0%	−1.00

Season	Runs	Wins	SR	£1
2023	4	0	0%	−4.00
2022	12	2	17%	−7.39
2021	2	0	0%	−2.00
2020	3	1	33%	+4.50

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

Date	Course	Race	Pos	Btn	Wgt	OR	Spd	KTB	Jockey	SP
30 Jul 23+23d	Pontefract	Visit The Brand New Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran	10/10	½	9-7	61	61^A	45^A	Harrison Shaw	18/1
07 Jul 23+52d	Doncaster	Luke Normanton Takepayments Handicap (Rnd) Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran	12/12	1	9-5	64	55^C	45^C	Zak Wheatley	14/1
16 May 23+17d	Beverley	Happy Birthday Graham Roberts Handicap Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran	8/11	5	9-0	66	100^A	56^A	Zak Wheatley	7/2F
29 Apr 23+210d	Leicester	Coors Handicap Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran	3/10	shd	9-11	67	53^A	74^A	Harrison Shaw	15/2
01 Oct 22+18d	Redcar	Play Paddys Pick 5 At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran	4/11	½	9-11	67	82^A	78^A	Harrison Shaw	7/1
13 Sep 22+6d	Redcar	Racing TV Club Day Apprentice Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran	3/10	1½	9-11	62	95^A	82^A	Zak Wheatley	15/8F
07 Sep 22+16d	Carlisle	Cummersdale Handicap (Div 2) Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 5 ran	1/5		9-11	62	101^C	80^B	Harrison Shaw	9/4J
22 Aug 22+36d	Southwell (AW)	signsolutions.org Handicap Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran	5/14	½	9-6	62	105^B	80^A	Harrison Shaw	10/1
17 Jul 22+23d	Redcar	Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Claiming Stakes Class 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 2 ran	1/2		9-3	62	91^C	72^C	Benoit De La Sayette	4/11F
24 Jun 22+9d	Newcastle (AW)	Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Class 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran	4/11	½	10-13	62	76^A	84^A	Mr Simon Walker	6/1
15 Jun 22+70d	Nottingham	Download The Last Horse Standing App Apprentice Handicap Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran	3/7	½	9-1	62	86^A	70^A	Connor Planas	9/1
06 Apr 22+49d	Nottingham	Watch On Racing Tv Handicap Class 6 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran	8/12	hd	9-6	64	73^A	72^A	Rob Hornby	8/1
16 Feb 22+11d	Kempton (AW)	Join Racing TV Now Handicap (Div 2) Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran	10/11	3¼	9-8	66	78^C	51^C	Josephine Gordon	40/1
05 Feb 22+10d	Kempton (AW)	Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Apprentice Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran	5/5	3¾	9-4	68	70^C	51^B	Harry Burns	5/1
26 Jan 22+16d	Kempton (AW)	Unibet Casino Deposit 10 Get 40 Bonus Handicap Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran	4/12	1½	9-5	68	88^A	77^A	Josephine Gordon	25/1
10 Jan 22+45d	Wolverhampton (AW)	Mansionbet Beaten By A Head Handicap Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran	7/10	½	9-9	70	87^A	69^A	Daniel Muscutt	14/1
26 Nov 21+233d	Chelmsford City (AW)	Christmas Party Nights At Chelmsford City Handicap Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran	10/13	½	9-11	72	86^B	72^A	Daniel Muscutt	20/1
07 Apr 21+177d	Newcastle (AW)	Bet With QuinnBet Handicap Class 3 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran	5/5	5	8-11	73	82^C	50^B	P J McDonald	11/1
12 Oct 20+26d	Yarmouth	attheraces.com Nursery Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran	1/8		9-6	68	87^A	82^A	Harry Bentley	13/2
16 Sep 20+16d	Yarmouth	British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran	5/6	¾	9-5	—	76^A	65^B	Harry Bentley	20/1
31 Aug 20	Sandown	Twickenham Maiden Auction Stakes Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran	5/14	2¼	9-5	—	71^C	73^A	Harry Bentley	50/1

Quick answers

How many races has Simulation Theory (IRE) won?: Simulation Theory (IRE) won 3 of 21 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 5 times in total (23.8% of starts).
Who trained Simulation Theory (IRE)?: Simulation Theory (IRE) was trained by Declan Carroll on the most recent run on record, at Pontefract on 30 July 2023.
Who is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s sire?: Simulation Theory (IRE) is by Starspangledbanner (AUS) out of Barawin (IRE), whose sire is Hawk Wing.
What going does Simulation Theory (IRE) prefer?: Simulation Theory (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s official rating?: The most recent official rating on record is 61, from the run on 30 July 2023. The highest on record is 73.
What is Simulation Theory (IRE)'s sire's record?: Starspangledbanner (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 7,101 runs since Jan 2008 (658 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,182.
Who are Simulation Theory (IRE)'s siblings?: Out of Barawin (IRE), Simulation Theory (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Family Fortunes (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Family Fortunes (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.

KTB Speed and Rating

Pedigree intelligence

Record by conditions

▾Going

▾Class

▾Course

▾Distance

▾Jockey

▾Headgear

▾Season

Form

Quick answers