Mr Simon Walker
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 17% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).
The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 14.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −33.47 to a £1 stake over 120 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (23.7%, n=59) and on Standard (AW) going (22.4%, n=76). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 10% over 30 rides, 6.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.64 across 69 rides (13% strike, −21.14 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 809 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 809 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 28 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr Simon Walker's strike rate?
- Mr Simon Walker has won 24 of 144 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Is Mr Simon Walker in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mr Simon Walker's Fair A/E?
- 0.85, from 143 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.