What is Harry Burns's strike rate?

Harry Burns has won 64 of 644 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Burns do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 61 rides (11.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Harry Burns ride most for?

Simon & Ed Crisford, with 144 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.4%).

What is Harry Burns's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 642 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Harry Burns

644 rides in the last 5 seasons · 377 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 23 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

64–644

Wins / Runs

9.9%

Strike rate

n=644

163 (25%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=642 · 0.84 incl. margin

−195.12

£1 level stake

n=644 at SP · −30.3%

£720k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (80 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 644 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 23.8% when favourite Simon & Ed Crisford: 19.4% from 144 First rides: 10% LTO winners: 16.3% Claiming: 10.6% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.83), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.47). Simon & Ed Crisford supplies 22% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.4% vs 9.9%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%+0.1

n=361 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −45.23

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.3%+6.4

n=80 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −28.26

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−2.8

n=84 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +23.41

When favourite

23.8%

n=42 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −19.07

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.6%+0.7

n=577 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −165.78

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.5%−7.4

n=40 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −34.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Simon & Ed Crisford 19.4% vs 9.9% · n=144

With William Haggas 20% vs 9.9% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 9.9% · n=80

With John Butler 3.4% vs 9.9% · n=59

With Ian McInnes 4.8% vs 9.9% · n=42

With Joseph Parr 5.4% vs 9.9% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 366 36 9.8% −161.03

Good to Firm 112 9 8% −51.68

Good 109 11 10.1% +7.97

Good to Soft 28 6 21.4% +5.29

Soft 23 1 4.3% −18.67

Heavy 6 1 16.7% +23.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 80 9 11.3% −30.12

Wolverhampton (AW) 77 7 9.1% −40.96

Newcastle (AW) 67 7 10.4% −36.76

Kempton (AW) 61 7 11.5% −9.50

Southwell (AW) 44 3 6.8% −26.59

Chelmsford City (AW) 37 3 8.1% −17.10

Yarmouth 25 2 8% +4.00

Nottingham 20 3 15% +22.83

Brighton 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Windsor 16 0 0% −16.00

Newmarket 15 1 6.7% −11.50

Epsom Downs 14 2 14.3% −1.75

Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00

Goodwood 11 1 9.1% −7.50

York 11 2 18.2% +10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 220 15 6.8% −120.21

Class 5 215 23 10.7% −81.19

Class 4 125 16 12.8% +34.61

Class 2 44 5 11.4% −10.83

Class 3 40 5 12.5% −17.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 55 13 23.6% 0.76 −18.24

2nd–3rd fav 141 33 23.4% 1.32 +1.12

4th–6th fav 207 12 5.8% 0.72 −104.00

7th+ in betting 241 6 2.5% 0.83 −74.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Panama City (GB) 11 1 5 1 May 25

Carbine Harvester (FR) 10 4 5 29 Jun 26

Tommytwohoots (GB) 9 1 4 30 Oct 25

Arthur's Victory (IRE) 8 1 3 23 Jan 23

Vespasian (IRE) 7 0 3 6 Sep 25

Base Note (GB) 7 1 2 29 Mar 24

Beautiful Crown (GB) 7 0 3 31 Aug 23

Topo Chico (IRE) 7 0 3 30 Jun 23

Court Of Session (GB) 7 1 3 22 Jun 23

Nannie Dee (GB) 5 0 1 1 Sep 23

Stopnsearch (GB) 5 0 2 18 Aug 23

Liberty Mountain (GB) 5 1 2 28 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 377 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

129616671015820108

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSimon & Ed Crisford

22% of all rides
19.4% SR · A/E 1.38

TrainerRWSR£1

Simon & Ed Crisford 144 28 19.4% +7.77

William Haggas 65 13 20% +28.73

John Butler 59 2 3.4% −37.50

Joseph Parr 56 3 5.4% −42.75

Ian McInnes 42 2 4.8% −8.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£931k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 29 wins

Sam Hawkens (IRE) — Sky Bet, For The Fans Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Hamilton · Jun 2025 · Class 3

£18,039

Mae Amor (IRE) — Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Hamilton · May 2026 · Class 4

£15,462

Algiers (IRE) — Coral 'Beaten-By-A-Length' Free Bet Handicap York · Oct 2022 · Class 2

£15,462

Notable horses

Carbine Harvester (FR) Arthur's Victory (IRE) Rock Icon (GB) Global Prospector (USA) Lisdarragh (USA) Pedestal (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Iffraaj (GB) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,946 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 488.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 23.1% · 6–26

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,815 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,060 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Kodiac (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,530 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Shamardal (USA) 25% · 4–16

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Showcasing (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,575 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 987 · newest first

The latest 50 of 987 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2013 to 26 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Beauty By My Side (IRE)T: Joseph Parr Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 28/1

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Victory Sound (IRE)T: Mark Usher Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 14/1

21 Sep 26 Leicester Midnight's Dream (IRE)T: Joseph Parr Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 5th 13/2

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Amarachi (IRE)T: Joseph Parr Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 3/1J

17 Aug 26 Windsor Bellini Spirit (IRE)T: John & Rhys Flint Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 40/1

06 Aug 26 Brighton Regalism (IRE)T: William Haggas JenningsBet Ladies Day Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 5/2

31 Jul 26 Musselburgh Peregrine Falcon (IRE)T: Patrick Morris Graham + Sibbald And Neilsons Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1

31 Jul 26 Musselburgh Monhammer (GB)T: Linda Perratt East Air Conditioning Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 1st 3/1

29 Jul 26 Redcar Wild Dahlia (GB)T: William Haggas Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Apprentice Fillies' Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

29 Jul 26 Redcar Vanilla Skies (GB)T: William Haggas Start Your Racing Tv Free Trial Apprentice Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 100/30

28 Jul 26 Yarmouth Noble Guest (GB)T: George Margarson Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 5/1

28 Jul 26 Yarmouth Twilight Guest (GB)T: George Margarson Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Classified StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 20/1

23 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Triggerman (IRE)T: Patrick Morris Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 100/1

18 Jul 26 Doncaster Regalism (IRE)T: William Haggas British Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 12/1

10 Jul 26 Ascot Mythical Guest (IRE)T: George Margarson Tide Construction Apprentice Handicap (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 13/2

08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Regal Guest (IRE)T: George Margarson Marine Lodge HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 50/1

08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Sakura Impact (IRE)T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque ATI Tank Hire Memorial Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 3rd 50/1

29 Jun 26 Windsor Carbine Harvester (FR)T: William Haggas Find Us At fitzdares.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 17/2

20 Jun 26 Newmarket Under Arrest (GB)T: William Haggas JCB British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 16/1

13 Jun 26 Leicester Cartwheel (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Go West Play Live At LeicesterRaces Saturday 4th July HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Burns's strike rate?: Harry Burns has won 64 of 644 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Burns do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 61 rides (11.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Burns ride most for?: Simon & Ed Crisford, with 144 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (19.4%).
What is Harry Burns's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 642 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.